Friday, 24 September 2010

2012?

I sat and read a forum comment today....where the idea of Hillary resigning early and then running for President in 2012 might occur.  I laughed for a minute, and then pondered upon this idea.

Frankly, we've never had a scenario where the President went into a primary race.....got beat by a challenger, and the challenger won.

Could Hillary carry Iowa and the first five primary states?  This is a odd question.  I think she could carry all six of the first states.  If this occurred....could the President come back?  Maybe.  None of the first six states are really substantial.  You also have to remember the method that the Democrats have their electors lined up.....there are dozens of folks who aren't assigned to states, and have independent votes on their own.  I'm thinking over half of these guys are pro-Hillary.

So it's a odd scenario.

Could the Republicans beat Hillary?  With the choice of Palin or Newt or Romney?  No, I just don't see any of the three doing it.  Chris Christie of New Jersey might be able to.

The odds here?   I'd laugh and give it a one in ten chance presently.  But if you see her visiting Iowa in the spring of next year.....you might want to ask why.

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