The Iran Strategy

In the coming weeks.....as election fever tightens up, and the President reaction factor becomes an issue....there will stand Iran in the shadows.  They'd like to toss a curve toward the administration and prove their status in the world.  There are some problems here....they simply don't have the military to make a huge fight.  So they need to use their limited assets in a particular way.

Asset number one.....the thirty foot patrol boats with four guys in each.  Basically, it's a suped-up fishing boat with Atash number one at some machine gun on the front, and Astash number two at some machine gun on the rear, with fancy blue-suited officer (in beard and sunglasses) directing everybody, and some petty officer at the steering wheel....guiding the twin-Evinrude motor boat along.  Imagine sixty of these little boats coming out of Iran....along the 50 mile straits.....like a bunch of bumble bees.  They whack at five or six super-tankers trying to exit or enter the straits.  Even if they don't sink any.....the amount of damage would be enough to scare every major tanker operation into halting movement of precious oil.

Asset number two.....the McHale's navy PT boat....with a couple extra machine gun Atash's onboard....and a kid who has the button to fire four torpedoes....at some unlucky oil tanker.  Just one firing and a miss, would be enough to make all tankers stop movement.

Asset number three?  A couple of vessels whose job it is....to lay down mines.  Through the press today.....it was laid out that just a thousand mines laid out in the straits....would be enough to shut down the channel area for a month while the US would have to go and clean up the mess left there.  One month of no oil movement?  You can figure oil would double in cost.

This isn't a four-star navy.  In fact, there are probably twenty-five countries with a more complete and capable navy than Iran has.  The simple truth is....you only need a small force to make everyone's life miserable in the oil tanker business.

So in the coming months, you can anticipate a number of Astash guys standing around and trying to arrange for injuries....to avoid being on duty on the day that Mullah Joe orders the navy to bring the American navy to it's knees.  The sad truth is that the moment that this ragtag group of groups resembles a threat....every single vessel....even the thirty-foot cruiser....will be identified as a threat and sunk.  Just being within twenty feet of the cruiser, will be enough to get you within the destruction range of a $100k US missile fired by some unmanned drone.

As the months proceed on.....just settle back for some comical Iranian strategy to take place, and you can sit at your Lazy-boy recliner and watch a videoclip of a $100k missile being wasted on a $8k cruiser, with $3k in machine guns onboard, with four Astash guys moving onto Jihad heaven and some bunch of virgin babes waiting for them at the front gates.