Sunday, 22 June 2014

Six-Californias Effort

This weekend, there's a petition drive in get enough names make it a ballot-measure for November of breaking up California into six states.

Shocking?  Well....if you know California history....there's been an effort to do this since the mid-1800s.  It's always been a topic of discussion, but when it came down to Republicans and Democrats supporting it....NEITHER ever felt compelled and were always against it.

The measure now?  There's some hostility and frustration by the public over the state budget, and it's continuing battle to approve a budget.  Taxation?  About half the folks in California will list their top three complaints, and local taxes will usually make into the top three issues.

How the states (six) would rank on liberals versus conservatives?  Jefferson (in the far north) would wind up with two major political groups (environmentalists and conservatives).  West California would end up being eighty percent Democrat.  The other four states would be mostly divided, with South California having a heavy Latino turnout and likely to be the more interesting of the states to watch.

The division of the six would challenge one or two of the states with heavy resident-mandated agendas and revenue requirements beyond their abilities.  My humble guess is that at least one of the states would be bankrupt within four years.  The Silicon Valley state would be some dynamic state run by IT professionals and rich billionaires, and might draw a lot of interest from international companies if they ran their own government structure.

The odds of this passing?  I'd give it less than a twenty-five percent chance.  However, if they could find one dynamic person (say a Clint Eastwood)....who could do a sixty-second commercial and ask some in depth questions of how California survives the next fifty years with the current stagnation and lack of cooperation on political agendas....some folks might stand up and fifty-percent of the voters might be possible.

All of this leads me to this single state that assesses this and gets it passed....merely opens the door for more states to separate (like Texas, or Florida), and suddenly in ten years we might have seventy-one states.'s worth dreaming about anyway.

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