Wednesday, 17 December 2014

This US-Cuba Hype

Since 19 October 1960.....we've had an embargo and closed relations with Cuba.  The reason?  It's best not to ask this but I'll try to make it simple.

Cuba had a bogus government running things throughout the 1950s.....which had a quiet relationship with various mafia families of the US.  The banking sector, the hotel sector, and anything related to cash-flow.....had some element of the bogus government or US mafia figures involved.

The revolution that came up in 1960?  It brought Castro and his empire into existence.  Most folks figured that a year or two later....with the embargo....the Castro folks would come to be non-existent.  They were wrong.

Every single President since Kennedy.....has been quietly waiting.  LBJ, Nixon, Ford, Carter, Reagan, Bush I, Clinton, Bush II, and even Obama....all had a simple list of things to take down the embargo.  Free elections was the mandatory item....which the Castro team could never get to some agreement over.

What will happen in this case?  I think some dimwit will be picked as a chief talker for the White House.....some retired Senator, and in less than five days.....work up a fantastic agreement.  The President will sign the document in March, and talk about this for weeks.  The Senate?  Oh, well....that's not going to rate too well.....if there aren't any free elections in the deal.  The odds of the treaty being approved by the new Republican senate in 2015? Zero chance.  And probably zero chance in 2016.  The lack of free elections will be the chief problem.

The President will work up a visit by April for himself.....going down and dining with the whole Castro team....chatting up the new relationship....which officially doesn't exist without Senate approval.  He knows that....and will talk about it for the whole of the remaining two years.

Sounds like a wrestling script?  Yeah.

The positive for regular folks if there was a treaty completed and you could fly into Cuba?  Well....you folks with crappy health insurance....could just drop it, and use Cuba's cheap healthcare deal for any requirements.

Got a gallbladder mess?  Go to Mobile....catch a ferry over to Cuba in eight hours and you get your surgery done for less than $500.

American business folks in a rush to get some deals in Cuba?  Don't count on this happening.  The hotel business?  Who the heck wants to drive around a failed Communist state and look at dilapidated buildings and crappy beaches?  There's just not any tourism that can be sparked out of this mess.

So, it's hype.....mostly free hype, and that's the best that the President can build onto.

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