Monday, 13 April 2015

Hillary Clinton

As of this past weekend, Hillary Clinton is now running for the 2016 Presidential election.

Generally, the news media is showing some enthusiasm and talking up the fact that we've never had a female President.  We've also never had a midget President.....a albino President....a mentally handicapped President....a bi-polar President....a Jewish President.....or a transgender President.

Hillary's one brief opportunity for a win came and went in 2007/2008.  For most of a year....she had people in Iowa and working hard to sell the message.  All she had for competition was a no-name Senator from Illinois.  She assumed the Bill Clinton-image was owned by her and she could use the same image to win.......a false assumption.

I compare this to a theory of mine.....the Buick-Chrysler Cordoba theory.

A Buick is always a somewhat dependable car with a decent appearance, and appreciated by a large segment of society. You generally know when you are in the presence of a Buick. There’s a decent ride and things tend to work.

With the Chrysler Cordoba, there’s some image of style and luxury, but as you step into it....there’s faults. The smooth ride is bumpy. Things ought to work but you keep seeing issues which worry you about dependability. You step into it at midnight in the worst possible neighborhood, and it stalls.

Bill Clinton and Barack Obama could bring the image of the Buick across to the public, with the help of the news media. Hillary, with all the help that they might provide....can only establish herself as the Cordoba character.  Sadly, the only positive things that most people remember about the Cordoba were the fine corinthian leather seats and some luxury image.....the maintenance issues and poor quality made folks forget about the Cordoba.

A no-name senator from Illinois was able to sell his image in Iowa and easily beat the machine that Hillary had an entire year in Iowa with significant funds. Whatever problem she had in 2008....is still there and it’s the Cordoba image which people just won’t buy into.

I would say this.....Iowa is a make-or-break situation.  If Hillary fails to get a majority of votes (if five people are running....each will get some percentage).  She has to place number one in Iowa or I think the campaign is screwed up.

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