Tuesday, 4 August 2015

The Thursday Debate

Well...it's the opening point of the 2016 election and the long anticipated Thursday night debate is to arrive with a 'bang' (at least the news folks think that).

If you look at the ten people who will be on the stage and the limited time of the debate....each guy will be lucky to have two minutes to a question and I doubt if that many people will get much out of the episode. For the quick-witted politicians.....an extra jab or two, and maybe five of the folks in the running will be quietly pushed aside and finished off long before we get to Iowa in January.

There are a couple of folks who can do marginally well in debate forums.....Rubio, Bush, and Scott Walker.  Cruz is more capable than most of these people in debate and he might be the one to really gain points from impressions made.  As for Trump?  If he's in attack-status....he'll make the lesser capable candidates look lousy and help to end their campaigns early on.

One might note here.....there's still not a word from the Democrats of a debate and zero chance of any debate coming up before October.  I personally have my doubts that a full-up debate will occur this year from the Democratic Party.  Hillary isn't much on debate skills and there's just not any real enthusiasm from the public for some debate.

Bottom line?  Trump has a stage to speak from and the level playing field that journalists have been toying with and pretending that exists.....will be a forgotten item in a couple of days.  It'll be strictly a four man race from the end of August on.....Trump, Cruz, Walk and Bush.  Rubio may take up a stand in Florida to subtract votes from Bush....but beyond that.....he won't generate national interests.  And the rest will find little public interest.

No comments: