Thursday, 7 April 2016

My President Bernie Scenario

Maybe I'm wrong, but here is my Bernie-as-president scenario.

We reach the Republican convention in mid-July, without Trump having the necessary votes to win on the first ballot.

Somewhere between the first and second ballots.....some unknown Republican character emerges and in the blink of an eye....on the eye ballot....Trump and Cruz lose votes, and this unknown third-party wins the nomination.

There is shock and disbelief, with a third of the convention members packing up that night and flying out....being disgusted with the outcome and unable to sit there....or feel excited over the outcome.   Trump voters say that's it....they won't vote for this individual.....NOR will they vote for any Republican for the rest of their life.

Somewhere in the midst of this convention period, Hillary announces that charges will occur and she can't run for President.

The Democratic Convention starts on 25 July in Philly.  Bernie has a positive feeling at this point.  Oddly, another unknown character arrives, and suddenly around half of Hillary's voters flip over.  Bernie is charged up and angry, with half of Hillary's folks mad.  The first ballot doesn't get a winner, but by the second ballot....enough Bernie votes are found and he makes this miracle win.

News people, lobbyists and political figures are in utter shock.

As we go into November's election....Trump's people are furious and carry out their threat.  They vote massively for Bernie, and for Democrats across the board.

January arrives with President Bernie, sixty-one Democrats in the Senate, and a 62-percent Democratic House.

Bernie selects an extreme far-left judge for the empty Supreme Court position, and by mid-summer.....has replaced two additional Supreme Judges because of their health issues (one liberal and one conservative).  The two new ones are moderate liberals.  The stack of the court will be six liberals and three conservative.

By November, the Bernie administration will have decided to drop out of NATO, and to downsize the US military.

Even some of the old-time Democrats in the Senate aren't able to hold back this Bernie enthusiasm.

Journalists will be sitting there for the whole first year, in a state of confusion.  No one wants to talk politics anymore.  The Trump are hard-wired to vote against any Republican.  Various state legislatures went Democrat and there's talk that it might be ten years before recovery occurs.

Presently, I think both parties have a major problem and the public won't buy off on some weird convention outcome.

The Effect of the Republican Convention

There is this scenario underway that may concern some folks.  If we get to the Republican Convention and Trump doesn't have the votes to automatically win...it goes into the next round, and things may get hectic....with Cruz or possibly some other party winning the nomination.

How angry will Trump-voters be?  Angry enough to carry out the vow and not vote in November's election or vote Hillary.

The effect on the twenty-one Republican Senators running also in November?

Let's say that 35-percent of the normal Republican tally throughout the US are Trump-enthusiasts and carry out a threat to dump their votes on a straight ticket to the Democrats.  Of the twenty-one Republicans.....my humble guess is that a handful (maybe three) would have enough votes to survive, but the mass majority would fall.  The same is true for the House members as well.

So, here's this odd scenario in January of 2017, where a strong Democratic House (more than 55-percent) and a absolute majority of Democrats in the Senate (sixty-plus) would walk in and have President Hillary Clinton.

What might Hillary do with such a majority?  Unknown.  For two brief years, she'd have enormous potential to remake the government and carry out various actions with no significant worry.

The Republicans?  Hoping to rebuild in 2018 or 2020?  Forget about it.   That 35-percent Trump group would likely be permanent anti-Republican and it'd take at least a decade before the Republicans could rebuild their core.

Just How Stupid Can You Get Situation

There on Monday, at the Bloomington campus of Indiana University.....some student noticed some Catholic priest dressed in a white robe and a white rope-belt, and quickly identified the guy as a Ku Klux Klan member and carrying a whip.  Then the brilliant kid put out the message on social media that blazed across the campus in a matter of minutes.

So, then a hall manager put out an email warning students of a potential threat with the KKK wandering around,   Possible threat was uttered.

Folks are a bit peeved about how this quickly went out of control, and that it's fairly easy to recognize a Catholic priest in the white robe outfit.....well....it ought to be.  And the idea of identifying a rope-belt as a whip?  That takes a little bit of imagination.

What happens if some circus were to do a town-walk-through (like the old days) with live elephants, and goes near a university?  You'd have to expect some kid putting out an emergency message that wild elephants are roaming the campus.

I'm almost of the mind that college is too harsh of an atmosphere for 18-year old kids, and that you ought to mandate a kid be a minimum of twenty years old before he attends a university.