Sunday, 20 May 2018

What If Trump Doesn't Run?

Last year, I would have given this a one-percent chance of occurring.  Presently, I'd say it's about a 25-percent chance of occurring. 

First, it's obvious that Sessions and the whole collusion accusation all fit into some solution of taking down the Trump administration.  If you went into a second four-year period....the work of Sessions continues on, even if he's not there.

Second, I think most of what Trump wanted to accomplish....will be done by the fall of 2020.

Third, I think two Supreme Court seats will be nominated by Trump by the fall of 2020.

Fourth, a lot of the hype is tied to the November 2018 mid-term election.  If the GOP ends up with 58 Senate seats, and retains most all of it's House seats.....then I think Trump might stay on for a second term.

Fifth, and last.....what comes after Trump if 2020 is the last year? 

I don't think there's a grand list of GOP folks that the public would support anymore.  After seeing the Trump administration....fake GOPism, the Bush incompetence, and the McCain era would force a number of folks out of the competition.  Democrats thinking there's some need for a fresh new Democratic face?  That would be a joke, I think.

No, I don't give the Democrats much of a chance in this 2020 election if Trump doesn't run.  Although the scenario is out there....maybe Hillary will run again?  Could the Republicans rig up another loser election and help her out....like in 2016? 

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