While I figure the chances are still 75-percent chance that he'll run in 2020 and likely win, the scenario of him declining the opportunity and saying he's accomplished most of his goals exists.
How this scenario would work?
1. By August of 2019, he needs to make a decision. My guess either way.....there's going to be a minimum of five Republicans to run against him in the primary. If he declines, he'll say so by late August 2019, and I think he's got one single person in mind to support and help win....Nikki Haley.
2. Haley would quickly show up in Iowa to make a few speeches and impress folks. The Trump machine would help pick up funding, and tens of thousands of pro-Trump folks would send $100 to start this campaign.
3. Opposition within the GOP to her? It'll be limited.
4. She'll have the votes prior to the convention to wrap this up easily, and she will select New Mexico's governor....Susanna Martinez....as VP. An all-woman ticket? That's my prediction.
5. Trump leading rallies in his 30 states of 2016? That's the big factor....Haley can pretty much guarantee that he'll be out in front and be the chief organizer of her economic plan. Everything on the plate today....continues on.
Sessions? Gone and forgotten in a matter of hours after the election. Charges out of this entire mess? Thrown out. People with convictions? Given pardons by Trump. The mess basically ends with the arrival of President Haley.
A wild and crazy prediction? Maybe. But it's only if he says no....he won't run. I still lean the other way.
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