Subtracting Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders From the Race

Based on Bernie's health stuff and Joe Biden's Ukraine problem....I would suggest that both are 'gone'. 

We are four months out from the Iowa caucus, which has some impact on the whole race.  If you remove those two....it's really a different race.  It's mostly all Warren. 

Robert Francis (Beto) is spinning his wheels, as is Mayor Pete (forget about blacks voting for him).  Booker is running out of money, and Senator Harris hasn't really thrilled that many Democrats. 

So what started out in the spring of 2019 with almost 20 candidates....we are basically down to just one single serious candidate?   Yeah.

It's bad enough that some strategists are putting the idea out there that former NY mayor Bloomberg....might announce something in November, and suddenly get into the race.  The fact that he'll be 78 years old in Feb 2020?  Well, that is another minor issue.

Unless something happens to split the vote up....I think by the 3rd of March....Super-Tuesday, it's finished.  If Warren wins all of these, there's not much need to get excited or thrilled over the primary season.  Fewer voters turning out after 3 March?  That's my prediction.  This will hurt in states like Ohio and Florida.