Sunday, 5 April 2020

My Theory on the NY City Infection Rate

Having spent time in NY City (three occasions).....I would suggest that extreme use of the subway system, with symptom folks on-board and coughing.....lead to the subway system being a conveyor of the virus.  So one sick passenger, in a thirty minute ride and coughing.....gave it over to a dozen other folks, and each of them days later.....gave their symptoms over to a dozen folks each.  You can do the spreadsheet, but it'd only take four weeks to collapse the health system in that fashion. 

This is the reason why the NY City virus model....won't work in Alabama or Tennessee.  This would also explain why the virus hasn't really exploded in California (it's not a four-star location for mass transit). 

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