Basically, the November election would work this way:
1. Because of the legislation by 16 states....all with normal Democratic leadership....if the national vote goes to one person, EVEN if their state population in the majority voted for someone else....their Electoral College votes would go to the national winner.
2. Those states? DC, California, Washington, Hawaii, Conn, Oregon, Washington, Colorado, Delaware, New Mexico, New York, Rhode Island, Mass, Vermont, New Jersey, Maryland, and Ill. It adds up to 196 Electoral votes.
3. In this game, they are playing out the scenario that even if Trump invested money and won these states in a normal fashion....because the Democratic guy had more votes....they'd get the important EC votes.
4. In this scenario, Trump would best Biden/Harris by one single vote nationally, and the 196 votes would go to Trump (even if Trump didn't win any of the 16), and it'd be a heavy dynamic vote and pain for the news media to explain the loss across the sixteen states.
Odds of this? Before Covid-19 and the Antifa business....I would have said marginally possible. At this point, I'd say it's a 50-percent possibility.
The agreement goes into force only when the states in the compact collectively have 270 electoral votes between them. Until that threshold is met, the states award their electoral votes like they always have. As of now, they’re at 196.
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