So you pick up the likely schedule of the Justice selection process, and look over the landscape.
The name announcement ought to occur by next Friday, and my humble guess is that McConnell will write down 12 October (Monday, three weeks prior to the election) to start this hearing business.
This means that the debates (Joe and Donald)....will be looking less and less important. 15 and 22 October are the 2nd and 3rd debates. I should note as well....the 15th will be held in Miami (if the Cuban gal is selected....this debate in Florida will center entirely on her abilities and Joe will be walking into a serious mess if he insults her in Florida).
Added to this....various Senators ought to be back in their home-states....fighting to be re-elected, and now? They will have to split their time, and openly discuss their feelings in DC.
The end-vote in the Senate? I would humbly suggest that it'd happen around the last Thursday/Friday of October, before the election.
Odds of the person passing? Fifty-fifty. Three Republican Senators (Mitt is in this group) have said they won't support this selection until January. The pressure on the Alabama Senator (Senator Jones, Democrat)? It's enormous and would probably cancel-out all of his efforts against 'Tubby'. There's probably four additional Senate races which will go fairly negative for Democratic Senators.
If they fail? All of the drama in November and December, with a 8-member court....will be laid back on the three Republicans and their approach to chaos.
So here's the landscape....it ought to be an election about Biden versus Trump, and Trump has inserted an entirely different discussion....which will eat up tons of TV journalist time. Thanks to RBG's frustration over controlling her replacement....she actually invented another angle to lessening Joe Biden's odds in the election.
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