Trump, Impeachment, Republicans, and 2024

 So this is a series of questions and likely answers:

1.  Can Trump be impeached at this point?

No, the clock has run out and this is more of a staged production than anything else.

2.  Will Trump run in 2024?  

It's a loaded question.  First Trump is today 74...he'd be 78 in 2024.  Health-wise?  This is a guy who eats burgers each day for lunch, and dinner is some type of beef.  On the positive side....he's never smoked or drank in his life.  But he's carrying 40 pounds more than he should.

If you asked me....he might have two more years of great health, and then it's all iffy.  I would discount him as a major player after the mid-term....only because of health potential issues.  

3.  Trump's actions against the GOP establishment for the remainder of 2021 and mid-term election period of 2022?

I'd readily suggest that he'll have a list of dozen Republican House members and maybe 20 Democratically-held seats....to advocate a separate party (outside of the Republicans) in March 2022 (primary period).

I'll also suggest that from the twenty Republican seats up for re-election....he'll have a minimum of 15 alternate candidates identified and running to remove certain Republican Senators (Rubio and Murkowski are probably on this list).  From the 14 Democratic seats up....I might suggest a minimum of five will have Trump-candidates running in the mix.

It wouldn't shock me if ten Trump-candidates enter the Senate in 2022.  

4.  The landscape after the November 2022 mid-term election?

I would suggest that a minimum of fifteen House seats will be from this alternate party.  From the Senate?  It'll turn into a fairly dramatic drama.

If you run a November 2022 mid-term with a Trump-candidate, Republican candidate, and Democratic candidate....in most cases....a majority winner will NOT occur, which means a second election (in December) will occur in a number of cases.  

I would suggest in this scenario....it'll be the Democrat and the Trump-candidate, with the Republican guy falling out and then begging his people to vote for the Democratic candidate.

In this scenario....more than half of the voters that went along with the Republican Senator will be freaked out over what they are being asked to do, and cause them to leave the party in total disgust.  More destruction to the party?  No doubt.

5.  The 2023 period?

Throughout the period....journalists will try to hype the situation as the Republicans are 'rebuilding' and Trump-candidates can't possibly progress.  'Fake-press' will be uttered over and over.

Potential Republican Presidential candidates in 2023 to emerge?  The PAC money will be there but more than 70-percent of traditional Republican voters are finished with the party by that point.  

6.  The primary period of 2024?  

If Trump is still healthy....he'll show up in Iowa, South Carolina and Nevada....just to be a thorn in the side of the Republicans.  Trump will expand with 100-odd  seats in his view....most are Republican....some are Democrat.

7.  The real objective in 2024?

I think the real objective is to prevent anyone from getting 270 Electoral votes.  To this end, he'll win out-right twenty stats.

8.  The January 2025 Congressional Presidential Election?

This will be a messy adventure with the House left to vote for Trump or the Democratic candidate.  The Republican....even with 15-odd million votes won't be able to enter the 'race' because Trump and President Harris are the top two.

The state-by-state ballots?  Well.....difficult.  Various Republic House members will be told to vote for the Democrat and it's mostly paving the way for total destruction of the party.  Nothing after the summer of 2025 will exist for the Republicans....they are finished at this point.