Monday, 22 February 2021

Explaining Moore's Law

 It's not a commonly discussed thing but it's worth two minutes to think about this situation.

Back in the mid-1960s....this smart guy, Gordon Moore, who was into electronic circuit development....sat down and did some calculations.

He looked at developments over the past decade, and then forecasted where things were going into the mid-1970s.  His prediction?  Knowledge and development were doubling roughly every 18 to 24 months.  

This idea just being circuits or electronic in nature?  Most folks have taken literally everything and applied Moore's Law into it (medical development, cars, cellphones, etc).

Here's this odd development with Moore's Law.  You can reliably project that whatever knowledge you are given in a four-year college, is probably dumped for the most part within five years after getting out of school.  Maybe the analytical part is still around, and the basic strategy to view things is there....but the rest of the $120k of cash-paid knowledge is zeroed out.

So there is this way of viewing this....that four years of a college is pretty much worthless, and it's probably been that way since the 1980s.  

The guys who graduated college and became teachers in 2000?  Well, unless we are talking English literature or grammar....their knowledge level from 2000....has been exceeded a minimum of five times and their value as teachers might be half of what it was a decade ago.  

Just something to think about.  

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