I probably read through five different scenarios this past weekend....on how President Biden would exit shortly after the November election.....due to mental decline.
The odds of this? No one can project...it might be a 50-50 situation.
There are three central elements of this:
1. It's very likely to be an impeachment starting in January with a new House group (Republicans in charge). If he resigned....impeachment would not occur.
2. No matter what he does....at least one hearing (maybe more) will occur with Hunter. I suspect in his mind....he believes he can pardon Hunter enough on the exit....to prevent any jail-time.
3. Finally, there is the issue of Harris moving up, and a new VP to be picked. If Joe resigns after Thanksgiving....there's ample time to select and have the Senate (with current votes) to approve the individual. After Christmas resignation? There be more problems on who she'd pick.
Choices? John Kerry, Hillary Clinton, Mark Udall. I don't think the active Senator group will be included. There might be some governors on the short list.
Improving public support? Look....Hunter has a dozen issues brewing and it's hard to see how this 'retreat' would resolve anything. Also....it's not like with Harris....you get a clean deck of cards, and just start over..
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