Sunday, 3 July 2022

This Trump Chatter

 Some kind of weird rumor this weekend....in the very near future (maybe next couple of days)....Trump is supposed to announce 'something' (believed to be his intention to run in 2024).

Do I believe it?  No....way too early.

Here's the thing though....if you did this presently....it would force Biden in some way to be even more political than he is presently, and that's a disaster for the Democratic Party.  It'd also force Governor Newsom into a earlier schedule, and stake out positions.

In a Trump-Biden rematch?  Could Biden match 81.2-million votes again?  It's entirely dependent upon absentee ballots being allowed at the rate of 2020.  I just don't see that being accepted.  So the vote for Biden in a rematch would be less?  I'm guessing about 20-percent less (figure in the unhappy folks who voted in 2020 for Biden).

So I'm of the belief that it can't be a Biden situation, and that Newsom has to be the candidate to run.

If this was a campaign with Trump and DeSantis as VP?  Newsom would have to go out and really hunt for a VP that can 'talk' (something that Harris is worthless on).  Personally, I can't think of any Democratic female who is at that level of debate  capability.

This whole campaign built upon the success or failure of California versus Florida?  Yeah....more or less, and you can laugh over this aspect.

But here is the other odd aspect....to counter the enthusiasm for Trump....you'd have to crank up the Proud Boys fake agenda, with the Antifa/FBI 'boys' showing up for trouble, and BLM staging more national riots.  Biden showing no tendency of controlling this?  Yeah....it adds to the misery of Democratic voters in these major cities like Atlanta, Minneapolis, etc. 

Are Democrats in some fear of this scenario?  Do you really want Trump to return for four years, then follow DeSantis for eight years as President?  It has to freak them out.  I'd be hiring up every Antifa actor possible and putting on a 5-star circus.  

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