My Gut Feeling On Seven Things

 1.  This WNBA player, Brittney Griner, held in a Russian jail situation over arriving in the country with cannabis vape.

Years ago, I watched the 1978 movie.....Midnight Express.  Stupid American, trying to fly out of Turkey, drugs on him.  The movie impressed upon me.....once you visit a foreign country....you keep your act straight, and avoid drugs at all cost.  Evidentially, Griner never saw the movie.

2.  Busing illegals to NYC or Washington DC.

No one is forced onto the buses, and the ride cost nothing (food seems to be provided).  So, what's the big deal?  Lot of chatter about jobs in NYC being empty.

3.  The Russian spiral in the Ukraine.

At some point in the next two months....I expect a major part of the Russian front to collapse, and 10,000 Conscripts retreat in mass....getting clobbered every step of the way for 48 hours.  Those who survive?  They will never take orders from the Russian commanders again.  This war goes into maximum turbo decline at this point.

4.  DC schools say kids must be vaxed-up for the entry into school here in August, or be denied entry.

Just guessing here, but I might assume more than 2,000 kids and their parents don't comply.  At that point, schools might as well go and dismiss more 100 teachers.

5.  Just how much of a lame-duck is President Biden after the mid-term?

On a scale of one to ten.....probably a '8'.  For the party....he's of no value for 2023, and it'd be better if he just didn't appear that often in public.  

Politically-speaking....2023 looks pretty crappy for the Democratic Party, unless you get AOC or Newsom out in front daily....making speeches.

6.  San Bernardino County (what is everything between Riverside and Bullhead City, AZ.....is having a vote this November to succeed from California?

Yeah.  Not that it's really legal or resolved via the Constitution....but they say that they want their fair share of 'funds' from the state, and they aren't getting them.

How big is the county?  Roughly half the size of the state of Alabama.  But I should state this....25-percent of the county is Fort Irwin (the Army post), and another 35-odd percent is fed desert land.  Five-percent is national forest land. 

Who would they flip to?  In their fantasy....either Arizona or Nevada.

From the state leadership....no one takes this serious.  It would be an interesting thing to entertain.

7.  Iowa not being first for the 2024 primary?

Rumor started up....the head of the Democratic Party wants either Nevada or New Hampshire to be first.....or to have all four on the same day.

Why?  I don't think Newsom can win in Iowa, and they need some kind of 'protection' to get him to the convention.  Newsom in Nevada, SC or NH?  Well....he might have 60-percent odds in Nevada, but less than 30-percent in Iowa, SC or NH.