In the past six months, I've probably seen social media commentary over 500 (promi-level 1, 2 and 3 types)....that indicate in the event of Trump winning in November....they will be leaving the US. Originally, I didn't really spend much time pondering over this BS. In the past month....I probably spend 10 minutes each week thinking over this....as more and more people suggest they will leave.
How many people will actually carry this out? Just a wild estimate on my part, but I'd say in the 5,000 to 10,000 range.....with most being people who've accumulated over $10-million. These are mostly people who've at least traveled a bit outside of the country and have some 'adventure' in themselves.
Where will they go? I examined the forty-odd places and give them some ranking:
- Ottawa/Montreal? Probably acceptable until the first harsh winter, and retreat will occur by the 2nd winter.
- Manitoba/Vancouver? Between the rainfall/snow.....most will give up.
- Mexico? Between the violence and cartel action....not likely to attract anyone.
- Caribbean? A quarter of this group will engage in this region, but depart after the first real hurricane action.
- Peru/Ecuador? After gang action and break-ins.....the few who selected this region....will leave.
- Chile? Earthquakes will scare the crap out of them, and trigger them to leave.
- Australia/NZ? Snakes will be the driving force to trigger re-evaluation in Australia. As for NZ.....pure boredom will creep up by the 3rd year and trigger re-evaluation.
- Spain? After suffering through 46 C (115 F) temperatures and drought in the first summer....a re-evaluation to return to the US will occur.
- London? About 8 months into this new life.....the amount of violence on the streets of London....will trigger an assessment about leaving.
- Germany? By the fall of 2025 (German election time).....some realization will creep in....that they have political trouble as well.
- Greece? A long period of happiness will occur (2025 to 2029)....then some realization that you've developed a drinking problem and then realize that life seems to be moving at three-quarters speed.
My general suspicion is that 75-percent of people by the end of two years of the Trump-exit...will have quietly re-entered the US....gotten into some mental clinic to handle their TDS, and seem to be taking drugs to control their feelings.
The Greek exit folks will be the only ones happy in the end.
By August of 2026....AMC will have a weekly reality series about five or six of these people, and their efforts to survive the period. By summer of 2027.....at least six different series will be offered by various networks.....as a form of entertainment.
So the obvious thing that I notice from all of this.....for each person exiting the country....more than 9,000 folks will be entering. Just an odd sign, if you ask me.
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