Saturday, 24 February 2024

Why Haley 'Hangs' On?

 I suspect at least one or two deep-pocket guys (20-to-40 million) are keeping going, with some kind of instruction from strategists in the Democratic Parry.

The rest of my theory?

I think the DNC has done the polls.  President Biden can't turn this around....missing the 80-million votes of 2020, likely missing the Hillary Clinton 65-million, and likely coasting just over the 60-million point.

You can blame Joe's economic woes....the border crisis...lost of  black support....and the various military issues bubbling up.  

Joe dumping VP Harris and getting Newsom onboard?  I think they did the polling and found....even Newsom as VP won't work.

I also think the polls are done on Michelle Obama or Newsom as being the Presidential candidate at the convention, and that marginally bumps up.

This idea from the last day or two that Trump would be charged with Treason?  I think the fear of the loss....the fear of the DoJ being dismantled....the fear of the FBI and CIA being torn down....all of this adds up now.

The treason business?  With a conviction....then having Halley still 'running'....enough people would just stay home (in their mind) and make this a simple race for Newsom or Obama to engage.

Where this strategy goes wrong?  If you have no choice for Trump, and Halley is the loser-choice...virtually all of these votes will default to RFK.  Even if he can only mount a 30-state race....he'd likely get the votes above Halley and Newsom in the thirty states. 

I'm not saying RFK is the answer, but I suspect 95-percent of Republicans/Independents will see RFK as the last best choice.

Where this Treason stuff goes?  Well....imagining this binder they keep talking about with all the crap from 2016/2017....if Trump stood up and pulled the documents out and point at President Obama and then VP Biden as the ones needing Treason charges....we'd have a five-star mess develop.

The odds that forty-odd fake binders are being dragged around and the FBI sweeping in on raids...to find each binder all faked-up?  I could see this occurring and showing them to be a joke.

No comments:

Post a Comment