Wednesday, 3 January 2024

Eight Things You Can't Sell Me On

 1.  Watching an WNBA game.  I'll just admit it....maybe some ball-play has improved in the past decade, but in terms of me spending two hours watching women play basketball....I'm just not interested.

2.  Politicians avoiding 1-hour, 2-hour or 3-hour podcasts.  I'll just say it....if you went onto a 4-star podcast situation and survived well....you boost your points.  The folks who avoid the podcasts?  They can't handle Q-and-A sessions.  I can think of fifty politicians who will never go and do podcasts because they just can't handle questions.

3.  Sitting at some fancy 5-star restaurant and paying $120 afterwards.

I just can't imagine some dinner being worth the money.

4.  People sitting at airports and wanting to watch CNN.

I suspect the vast majority of people would be happy watching some Animal Planet show with dolphins or wild Mustangs....more than watching CNN while waiting on a flight.

5.  A majority of kids finishing high school and capable of reading at the 12th-grade level and doing simple basic math.

Over the past decade, I've reached the mindset that most kids are marginally intelligent (maybe enough to pass 9th-grade level).

6.  The Warren Commission Report being legit.

Sorry, I've come to a point now that I see the entire 1964 production of the Warren Commission Report as bogus.

7.  Joe Biden being the face and whole front of the spring 2024 campaign (for literally all offices throughout the nation).

It just doesn't work.  You can figure out of every thirty words he says....there's a minimum of one goof or crazy suggestion.  Ordinary people sitting at home...sit and ponder....is this guy fogged-up or in some daze?  Is this the person to head the spring primary period for the party?  It just doesn't make sense.

8.  I need drugs to survive Covid.

After three bouts....I'd say no.  If you aren't in some weakened condition already, and have normal levels of vitamin D.....just stay hydrated and rested for a week.  The wonder-drug talk?  It might speed things up a notch but your body can do this on its own.

Political Chatter

 Some chatter yesterday that Trump has decided several states are now in play, and he intends to push on advertising in those states.

The list?  New York, New Jersey, Virginia, New Mexico, and Minnesota.

So I pondered over this. 

Can one use the 2020 numbers for legit analysis?  No.  Those numbers are likely to never repeat again....even if it's Newsome instead of Biden.

So I'd use the 2016 numbers.

New York in 2016?  Trump lost by 1.5-million votes.  Well....lot of negativity around NY City over the migration business presently.  If you went around the whole state....I suspect that around 1-million votes have shifted a bit, and Trump might be able to sell a 'fix-migration-agenda'.  

New Jersey in 2016?  Trump lost there by 550,000 votes roughly (out of 3.8-million votes cast roughly).  Again, the migration business will be a top subject and he might be able persuade several hundred thousand folks to shift votes.

Virginia in 2016? It was a 220,000 vote difference roughly.  Presently, Trump is scaring the work-in-DC crowd about federal employee cuts....so I seriously doubt  he can find anyone being pro-Trump.

New Mexico in 2016? Roughly a 65,000 vote difference.  The fact that almost half of the population of the state identify as Hispanic?  If he could shift 40,000 votes over...he'd win the state.

In Illinois?  It ought to be a safe state for Biden/Newsom....but I think  roughly 500,000 voters in the Chicago area would be willing to shift votes and admit that the migration crisis is harming the city.

2020 was a one-time glitch in the system where a lot of absentee ballots were in the system.  Without Covid?  It won't occur again.