Thursday 26 November 2020

Redrawing Districts Chatter

 As the smoke has cleared from the elections across the fifty states....one odd aspect stands out.

After the Census is concluded and certain state lose/gain House seats....Republican-run states won the majority of the state districts election to write the redistricting plan, if they are in the gain-situation.  

Total number?  if you look around, it's 188 seats that Republican states will draw the districts for.  The Democrat-controlled states?  73 seats.

The gain states?  Virginia, Oregon, North Carolina, Florida, Texas, Arizona and Colorado.

Losing a seat or two?  Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, Penn, Rhode Island, NY, and Minnesota. 

The odds of various districts in Texas, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado, Arizona, and Florida being drawn to ensure a GOP winner in future elections (starting in 2022)?  Around a 100-percent chance.  You could see Florida redrawn to such a degree....that three or four districts are no longer 'safe' Democratic seats.

Odds of a contested district redrawing?  Oh, that's a 100-percent chance as well.  But here's the thing....you have to take this to the Supreme Court, and the odds are slightly against you at this point.  

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