Wednesday 10 March 2021

The Thing About the Truth

 For a number of years, I've had this quote that I keep as a 'compass-point' in my life:

“Sometimes people don’t want to hear the truth because they don’t want their illusions destroyed.” (Nietzsche)

It's true in politics.  It's true in religion.  It's true in decision-making.  It's true in finance.  It's true in the news media. 

Sometimes....people just need simple, plain, and blunt truth. 

That Half-Percent Finnish DNA Connection

 When I went five years ago and did that DNA test, there were several odd things that came out of the end-result.  

One of those odd features is that around half-of-one-percent of my DNA comes from Finland.  I went looking at the past 200-odd years, and there's simply not any real path to explain this.

Between the 1890s and before WW I.....around 200k Finns bought passage into America.  

Where'd they go primarily?  Well....it leads to three US communities: Calumet, Michigan; Gloucester, Massachusetts; and Montgomery, Alabama.

After the war....roughly another 30k made it to the US before the front 'door' was closed off.

But I did the math analysis, and the chief problem here....the number would be way more than half-a-percent, if this came out of the 1890s to 1914 era.  

So I had to looking for something that occurred from the mid-1700s to mid-1800s.  Results?  Nothing. 

Finns, at least before the 1890s....weren't exactly known for being worldly travelers.  They tended to stay locally, farm, and were at the bottom of wealth establishment.  Finns moving into England or Germany?  Not in the 1700s or 1800s.  

Oddly enough, there is almost the same amount of Jewish Ashkenazi DNA as well.  The odds that the Ashkenazi connection and the Finn connection are one and the same?  It's possible.  But where the family connection enters the US?  Unknown. 

The connection back to Montgomery, Alabama?  That's probably the situation...going back to 1890 itself.  But it's mostly a deadend story.  

The George Floyd Jury Process

 It started up, and I would assume that this will take a while.

Every single detail of your life will be laid out in front of the prosecutor and defense folks.....your education, your family situation, your view of the police, your view of drugs, your ability to comprehend, your judgement capability, your financial background, and even your disposition on racism.

Frankly, on a dozen levels....if I were called up for 'duty'....I'd just say it's better that I not answer your questions, and just 'fire' me from the the process in the first minute.

The potential for threats...even five years after the case ends?  I could easily see some idiots getting my name and address....then trying to mess with him for pay-back.

My own judgement?  The minute you introduce some character who is a regular user of fentanyl....I'm finished with nice-guy feelings or giving people a chance.  I'd be the wrong person on  that jury.

The intention here with the process?  The prosecutor wants to line up a dozen people, and have one particular 'Alpha-person' who is willing to hype racism and anti-police toward the end of the whole case....leading the jury to a conviction.  The defense is looking for a 'Alpha-person' who is anti-drug, and pro-police....to hype their case at the end.

What I'll predict?  Two end-results possible: full acquittal (innocent), or a hung jury (probably 10-2).  Maybe if this were a 2nd degree manslaughter situation (not a charge), you might be able to say the one particular policeman did the knee stuff wrong....but since it's in the training manual....even that is a problem on conviction.

So, prepare for a circus, and for riots to occur at the conclusion.  Whole lot more looting to occur.  

Security Story

 I sat and read a piece where the suggestion has come up....to have a 'quick-reaction-force' (QRF) based in DC....permanently, because of the events on the 6th of January.

The position taken in this 'white-paper'?  There are three possibilities:

1.  A QRF organized under the leadership of the D.C. National Guard. The suggestion here was that you'd take military police from Guard elements in the fifty states....bringing each in for a period of 90 to 180 days.

I looked over this idea and started laughing.  Most Guard guys don't mind a two-weeker situation....ONCE a year.  Once you started talking about a 90-day deployment (away from their job, or the farm)....things get a bit negative.  Maybe 10-percent of Guard folks might go along with this, but the rest will be fairly frustrated.

Another problem here....various states would refuse to participate and if necessary, would dismantle their Guard program.  

Finally, they fail to say the magic number.  Are we talking about 3,000 Guardsmen in this rotational scheme?  If you looked around for National Guard Military Police units....there's not a big huge number here to draw from.

2.  This QRF idea would also be within the DC Guard....but creating a permanent military police battalion.  It would be formed with active-duty, Guard, and Reserve personnel.  

Problems with this?  I can't think of many units that have all three elements (active-duty, Guard, Reserve) existing today.  

It's basically suggesting that you'd have maybe 300 active duty Army folks, then around a thousand to three-thousand Guard folks that come in quickly from the region (Maryland, DC, Virginia) and form up within a couple of hours. 

Cost-wise, this is the cheaper idea....I'll admit. 

3.  Finally, this QRF would be regular civilian (federal) law enforcement.  It'd be capital police....pumped-up.

Again, they avoid discussing numbers, and you'd suspect that it'd have to be in the three-thousand range as a minimum.  It'd be like Wackenhut security folks....federally employed (kinda like the way TSA went).  

So I looked at how this would all function.

First, there's the issue of where you'd base these people.  I just don't see them based out of DC.  It'd have to be some military posting existing already....on the Maryland side, or the Virginia side.

Second, military folks on deployments....tend to get themselves into trouble.  It's a pattern and rarely ever avoided...especially Guardsmen.  Alcohol, gambling, partying, etc.  This Guard creation would continually be in trouble, and commanders would be fired every year.

Third, cost factor?  Just to bring around three-thousand Guardsmen for deployments, with quarters and TDY-pay for each year?  You'd be talking about fifty-million a year....before you even got to specialized training or equipment issues.  

Fourth, Guardsmen with time for this, on a regular basis?  That would be the destructive key to rotations.  A lot of Guardsmen complained over the year-long deployments to Afghanistan and Iraq.  Even if you made these 90-day trips....it'd take a lot out of folks.

What'll happen here, in the end?  Pelosi, Schumer and Biden would have to be in agreement, and I suspect they'd go to some expanded Capital Police deal....adding a 1,500 to 2,000 man federal security team.  Cost factor?  If you use TSA as an example....this would easily get up into the 500-million a year, if you count vehicles, training and intelligence-collection 'toys' (drones, for example).  

This would be a magnet for poor recruitment, and you'd end up with the fired policemen from across the nation....applying to be full-scale Capital Police riot-control.  If you wanted a Kent-state event....this group would be designed to orchestrate and create such an event.

My advice...whatever they think will be some good to come out of this 'creation'....will be a bigger mess to clean up in five years.  This just starts to look like some state capital environment in Peru or Bolivia.  You might as well prepare a truth commission to operate in twenty-four months....on how to dismantle this mess.