Sunday 23 August 2020

What Does 25-Billion Dollars Granted by the House Really Give USPS?

After all the chatter, and fake negotiation.....you sit there and wonder....if the 25-billion dollars does pass all the way through and is given to the Post Office folks....what does it really mean?

If you went out to buy a F-22 aircraft.....they run around 330-million EACH.  So the post office could go and buy 75 F-22 fighters, just as a comparison.

Their profit per year?  The post office typically makes in the range of $75-billion year.....so this is about one-third of what they'd take in.

New paint for every single building?

New battery-powered jeeps for delivery?

Special training seminars in Hawaii every month for the top 500 managers?

This is the part of the story which you wonder about.  The $25-billion may mean absolutely nothing. 

Your letter may still take 3 days to reach some town about 32 miles away.  As you drop it in the box.....some marginally capable guy will come and pick up the contents....driving it to a central office in the county, and then get loaded onto the 'state-truck' which takes it all the way from Florence, Alabama.....to Birmingham (116 miles) where thirty-two folks run a processing line to determine the next step for your letter, and route to another 'state-truck' to bring it back to Florence, but deliver it across the river to Red Bay.

You could have given the letter to 'Timmy' on his horse, and had it personally delivered to Red Bay with a 8-hour ride by horse.

If I sound skeptical of this whole thing, it just seems to be people eager to part with money, and having no real plan on how 25-billion really improves much of anything in the end.  It'd be like me trying to convince the wife to let me spend $12-thousand on a customized brewery system for the garage, and never mentioning that I'd only be brewing thirty gallons a year of beer, or that the beer would be marginally two-star in quality. 

The Land-Slide Scenario

Basically, the November election would work this way:

1.  Because of the legislation by 16 states....all with normal Democratic leadership....if the national vote goes to one person, EVEN if their state population in the majority voted for someone else....their Electoral College votes would go to the national winner. 

2.  Those states?  DC, California, Washington, Hawaii, Conn, Oregon, Washington, Colorado, Delaware, New Mexico, New York, Rhode Island, Mass, Vermont, New Jersey, Maryland, and Ill.  It adds up to 196 Electoral votes.

3.  In this game, they are playing out the scenario that even if Trump invested money and won these states in a normal fashion....because the Democratic guy had more votes....they'd get the important EC votes. 

4.  In this scenario, Trump would best Biden/Harris by one single vote nationally, and the 196 votes would go to Trump (even if Trump didn't win any of the 16), and it'd be a heavy dynamic vote and pain for the news media to explain the loss across the sixteen states.

Odds of this?  Before Covid-19 and the Antifa business....I would have said marginally possible.  At this point, I'd say it's a 50-percent possibility.