Sunday 31 December 2023

If A China Invasion Of Taiwan Took Place

 First, I don't see the naval power of China being capable enough to last more than two weeks, with probably half the 'fleet' sunk by that point.  I also think the quality of the ships and subs would be tested to a significant degree....proving build-effort was at the same level as these crappy apartment buildings throughout the country.

Second, with the combined power of Australia, Japan, and the US on the landscape....the threat would be finished by the 30th day.

Third, as for the trade-embargo likely to be put into force....China's economy would be fully destroyed at that point...giving rise to Vietnam, India and Malaysia being the giants of the region.

Fourth, as this 'war' ends....I expect a massive exodus of Chinese men and women....trying to find another land to live/work.

Fifth, Xi?  He'll be removed by some Chinese General, and the country will go into some serious chaos over the next year, with starvation and riots.

Sixth, Putin's only serious partnership gone?  Yeah, and that would trigger some commercial talk about the future of economics in Russia.  They needed someone with deep pockets to buy natural gas and oil....with China gone, the pockets are a problem.

Seventh....over five-million Chinese men/women entering the US within two years?  Yeah....all walking across the Mexico/US border.  If you think things are bad now....go imagine the Democratic Party trying to figure some 'game' to hook up with ex-Chinese folks.  

This is a scenario that you'd rather not see.  

Five Things

 1.  There's probably around a half-million Americans now....who wake up in a state of panic over Trump.  These people stay charged up throughout the morning, and afternoon over anti-Trump talk.  At night, they arrive home and try to generate talk with their husband, wife, parents, neighbors or kids...about the evilness of Trump.  Some are rich...some are working-class...some are religious in nature....some have destroyed friendships or family relations over this 'passion'.  

I can't think of a situation like this...in the past hundred years.

2.  This odd thing popped in my head over LGTBQ-people.  The minute you bring up the B-people (the Bi folks)....you are admitting that there are only two genders.  I would imagine at some point in 2024....the B-people will be brought in and given propaganda that they have to rename themselves to include the sixty-odd 'other' genders.  This might not be that acceptable, and some of the B-people might say they can't handle a relationship with the T-people.

3.  There's some national anti-obesity 'group' who has come to suggest that yearly measurements have to start up in schools (even in the first grade).  Some element of shame intended?  Yeah.

The problem?  When the extra-chunky teacher or gym-instructor steps up to conduct this measurement.....the kid is going to say something 'hurtful' about chunky Ms Jones, and there's going to some disrespect going back and forth.

4.  Both Senator Sanders and Senator Sinema (AZ)...have refused to say if they are running in 2024 (only two up who should say 'something' by this point).  I don't think either are intending to run.  In the case of Arizona, I don't think the Democrats have anyone of status to run.

5.  The word 'flee' gets brought up a lot over folks leaving California and New York.  Typically, if you asked anyone over the age of fifty, if they have ever had to flee away from somewhere....they will have a immigration situation, and were fleeing away from Vietnam, China, North Korea, Cuba, Venezuela, or El Salvador.  

Somehow, we have put California and New York into the North Korea status, without thinking much of the status.