Saturday 16 October 2021

What Does 'Irish Democracy' Really Mean?

 The Irish people learned long ago....that democracy revolves around politicians doing things which have no plus-up or benefit.  So they invented this society situation where you just avoid doing things that the law says you must do, or mandate you into doing.

If the law says you should only have 3 ales in one sitting at the bar.....you sit and keep drinking without counting (meaning you might have consumed six ales).  

If the law says you can only purchase a used car under these conditions.....you might stand there and violate the conditions without much discussion or guilt.

If the law says the sitting/standing capacity of the bus is 42 people....you might be the driver and just forget to count.  

For this reason, Irish politicians are happy because they can write a hundred laws per year with no benefit other than front-page material, and the Irish people are happy because they don't really observe or obey the hundred laws anyway. 

The Next Biden 'Stumble'

 It's been a crazy year for President Biden, and you'd think that the stumbles would eventually be seen ahead of time, and avoided.  Well....no.

Around the 28th of November, the Navy will start processing non-vax folks 'out' (honorable discharge is the term used presently).  

How many Navy folks are vaccinated?  Unknown, but a month ago....they said it was around 82 to 84 percent.....meaning around of the 332,000....meaning around 59,000 would be in the line to be discharged.

How I expect the 28th to arrive?  Just a humble guess that 10k to 15k will suddenly get the vaccination, but 45k to 50k will be in the line to be ushered out.  

These people worried about jobs?  No.  They probably already have the resumes filled out and mailed to future employers.  

Hurting deployment or operational capability?  OH YEAH.  In fact, I doubt any unit in the Navy will be fully capable of 100-percent capability for at least a year, and probably even going up to two years.

Only a Navy problem?  No.  They actually have the better vaccination rates. The AF, Army and Marines all have a lesser number of vaccinated people.  In fact.....active duty folks are much higher than Guard/Reserve people.

All added up with active duty....I would suggest at least 100,000 and possibly going up to 200,000 if you count Active/Guard/Reserve total.....being discharged out.

What'll happen?  I expect within two weeks....hearings to start in both the House/Senate....centering on the Pentagon and asking how missions will be accomplished.  The 4-star crew will just be sitting there and grinning.....knowing that virtually every single mission is affected.   Some naval vessels which were slated to start a patrol in early January....will have their mission delayed or cancelled.  

Somewhere around mid-November.....massive chaos will erupt in the White House as Biden now tries to explain this blunder, and international leadership will ask the question....is the US finished as a first-tier country?

The discharge game to be recalled?  I don't think the Biden-crew responsible for this mess....really wants to admit they screwed up.

But you have to wonder....from late November....for about three months, this Pentagon chaos will reign....turning into a major topic....whether Pentagon is capable of handling any emergencies.  

This all begs the question....if this is the next stumble, what comes after this?  Is there already brewing a major chaos for January....that we simply aren't seeing presently?