Sunday 16 August 2020

Why Is the Postal System So F**ked?

Over the last month, with all the hype going on by the political folks....you are left with two impressions:

1.  The postal system is so capable....that you'd trust it with your voting apparatus.

2.  The postal system is so f**ked-up, that it'd ruin the 2020 election entirely.

So I'll offer these seven observations:

1.  You could mail a hundred breakable items from various points in the US....to one single address, and 99 of them would arrive in one piece.  You could bundle up a hundred ballots, and find that fifty of them reach the right people, and fifty disappear.  No rhyme....no reason....no statistical data, just plain luck.

2.  Lets be honest and admit that probably seventy-percent of the personnel for the postal system....are kind, professional and capable people.  The other thirty-percent probably ought to be 'clerking' at some gas station or serving coffee at the Waffle-Hut.

3.  Fedex and UPS wouldn't exist, if the postal system wasn't so screwed-up.

4.  Probably ten-percent of the population will tell you that they haven't been in a post office in five years.

5. Once you have an utter failure in the works (the day after the election)....how will people react to the post office system? You could have well over 50-million Americans all frustrated and angry.  People thinking that they can survive this?  They'd probably would be 'cancelled-out'.

6.  BLM and Antifa frustrated enough over the postal failure that they'd burn down a hundred post office buildings?  Carriers packing pistols?

7.  Postal vehicles hijacked in the days prior to the election....stealing hundreds of thousands of votes?

There's some serious events coming out of this whole chaos.

Biden to Harris Hand-Off

Tomorrow, Monday, the Democratic Convention will start up and a thirty-day window will occur where Joe Biden will have a health issue (maybe dementia is admitted....maybe a fake heart attack....etc), and Senator Harris moves up a notch.  I've predicted this for about four months now.

It has to happen prior to the 29 September Presidential debate (the first debate).

Why Harris?  I think Democratic leadership considers her the 'beast' of attacking people on stage in debates.  The intent is to force three of these Harris-Trump debates to a vicious conclusion.

The sad thing here?  You can go back to the 2019 Democratic Debates and find that Harris didn't really impress folks that much, and these appearances never improved her odds against Joe Biden (even in her home-state of California).  So this national 'game' would be played out, and more folks disenchanted with her debate talents.

What Trump is running against at this point?  It's not Joe Biden, or Senator Harris.  Face it.....he's running against the political machine.  There's hype going on that he might actually be getting serious votes out of NY City (the police union just advocated for him) and with all the defund the police efforts across the nation....he's probably got a gain of two to three million votes over 2016 results.

But here's the serious part of the discussion.  For three decades.....the urban vote has been mostly Democrat....you can't find an urban area like NY City, SF, or Seattle that has voted Republican since the 1980s.  This is what brought Bill Clinton and Barak Obama into office....while losing a substantial amount of rural county vote in the US.

There are seventeen counties in NY state that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 (with a majority).  The remaining 45 counties voted in the majority for Donald Trump.  A flip of one-million votes changing this outcome?  I'd now say that all this Covid-19 business, anti-business values, and defund chatter....has accomplished the changeover.  I think a million votes more for Trump is now possible in NY. 

I'll even go out and predict the same issue now existing in Oregon, and there's a 100k vote change from 2016, and Trump might come very close in winning Oregon. 

The same issue might exist in Washington (the state) as well....with fewer people attracted to the Libertarian Party this year, and defund-the-police chatter disturbing the locals around Seattle/Tacoma.  Toss 150k votes off Hillary's results, and suddenly Trump has potential to win there in Washington.

Settle back and enjoy the next ten weeks, with all the theater hype of Biden disappearing and Harris as the front-runner.