We are about six months away from serious campaigning but the Democratic debates start already here in June, so the season is heating up. So ten observations to make:
1. Trump has virtually no competition in the primary, and there's a pretty good chance that he won't make more than twenty public speeches/appearances from January to April. So he's saving around 90-percent of his funding. From July on in 2020, he'll have a massive chest of money sitting there.
2. The effort to use mandated public tax submissions to restrict Trump from entering the state primaries or November election? Unless they make the rule for all state candidates, it won't work and the Supreme Court will settle this in quick fashion.
3. I would presently give Joe Biden and Mayor Pete the primary odds of being the final candidate. Warren, Sanders and Beto are secondary choices. The only VP out there (virtually guaranteed) is Georgia's Stacey Abrams (the loser from the Governor's race).
4. Whether people believe it or not....a major shift will occur in the House, and I'll go and predict that the Republicans have a majority of ten to fifteen seats once the smoke has cleared.
5. Fake news is discussed on a daily basis, and various people will have their Facebook accounts frozen because they passed around fake news.
6. Black males will go nationally at around 30-to-40 percent for Trump. Double of 2016. In some southern states, black females will move up to around 25-percent for Trump. The Latino vote will double in several states.
7. The top five campaign topics will be: the Census, college debt, immigration, the Wall, and anti-Trump talk.
8. A large portion of the public will openly comment that election campaigning is now a full-time situation....365 days a year....year in and year out. Election fatigue will be openly discussed.
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