Thursday 12 March 2020

The Hillary as VP Odds

A year ago, I would have a 1-percent chance.

Three months ago, I would have given a 10-percent chance.

Presently, with Biden's movement, the mental impairment situation, and the luck of the Democratic Party....I put the Hillary odds at 50-percent that she will be coming to the convention and around day four......be the VP choice. 

The script in this case?  I think Joe will go down one of two paths....the first announcing shortly after the convention that he can't do the job, and resigns from the campaign.  The second is to reach the 'win', and resign by summer of 2021 (if the House hasn't kicked him out for impairment by that point, and Hillary moves up.

The odds of a debate between Trump and Biden?  I would now put it at less than 30-percent chance.  Joe is a wild-card on open discussions and he could say dozens of things in two hours....to make people at home shake their heads.

As for the public buying off on the Hillary scenario?  Most Republicans would laugh.  From Independents.....they'd listen to the scheme and wonder how it'd all work.....mostly agreeing that Joe is nuts.

So having Hillary rise....with the fake Joe campaign vehicle?  It's a five-star comedy script for a movie, but in reality.....it just might work.  Could she win in 2024 under this script?  No. 

As for who would be Hillary's VP choice?  As amusing as it sounds....I think Beto would get the call and be the fake Mexican to fill out the rest of this crazy scenario. 

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