Friday 3 July 2020

Seven Observations of the Remaining Political Season

1.  Looking back to September-October of 2019 and the fifteen-odd political choices of the Democratic Party....it would make a world of difference if Senator Warren or Bloomberg, or Mayor Pete had just been more competitive or believable to the general public.  Then at this point, we wouldn't be talking about Hunter Biden, the Ukraine episode, Joe's dementia, or Joe's behavior over the past thirty years.  It's like we were dealt some poker hand, and the best you can say is that you are holding a pair of 'fours', and three other guys are grinning in an excessive way.

2.  The NY Times is basically worthless at this point, and anything they say....people are generally skeptical about.  They have achieved the CNN 'standard'.

3.  Trump (having a billion of campaign funds) doesn't have to buy a single minute off any local station.  He'll fund 60-second commercials to be made, and flow out via social media.  General profits that stations would anticipate this time of year?  Probably half of the norm.

4. If you attempted to measure public enthusiasm.....a topless 30-second clip of Madonna would probably get more views than a 3-minute interview of Joe Biden.

5.  If your strategy was to use BLM to recover lost black votes....you might want to go back to the idiot who suggested this, and ask where they got this idea.

6.  If you notice now....thirty days after the defund chatter started up in Minneapolis.....just in the last 24 hours....local black leaders/ministers are now fairly critical of the defund or dis-establishment idea.  They do agree, they are better ways of policing but getting rid of the police isn't one of them.  All of this defund chatter makes an abrupt stop at non-urban communities. 

7.  Jobs are typically the ironclad magnet of votes in any US election.  No one can show any dynamic where Joe Biden's strategy is a continuation of the current jobs market.  That really says a lot when you think about. 

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