Wednesday 6 July 2022

My Gut Feeling With President Biden

 I sense that the November election will bring in more than enough Republicans to re-stack the House....probably 30 seats more than the Democrats.  I also think at least three Democratic Senate seats will flip (NH, NV, and AZ).  Georgia is a pure 50-50 bet.  Oh, and Alaska?  It'll flip....but to another Republican.  

January in the House?  I'm willing to bet at least three hearings to start, and an impeachment probe to start up.  Figure Jan, Feb, Mar and April will be used to investigate the allegations purely on President Biden.  May will be the Impeachment, and the project goes to the Senate....where it'll be a 50-50 situation.  

I think that two Democrats will side with the Republicans, and some conviction will be pushed to the 56 vote level.  The impeachment will halt....but then some state AG will pick up some tax issues with Hunter, and take this to the next level of charging him.  

The rest of 2023?  A fairly miserable experience for President Biden, and I think public appearances for the second half of 2023 will be marginal.

The fact that so many Democratic Senators laid down their courage for President Biden?  It hurts them in 2024.  I'll predict at least six of them give a signal that they've had enough and will not run.  

Hunter spending time in fed jail?  I'm of the opinion that he might get a year in prison, and spend less than 30 days there....before getting pardoned. 

By the end of 2025, no journalist will speak of 2023....it'll be mostly a forgotten part of our history.  

No comments: