Thursday, 6 February 2025

Do I Believe Most Gov't Workers Taking Trump Buy-Out Will Retire?

 The number mentioned at this point (nationally) is 40,000.  Some people believe by the end (say mid-March)....it'll be near the 80k to 100k level.

So, I will suggest this....the bulk of them are in the age 50 or above....so they are mostly looking at the use of their TSP (gov't IRA) age use (55 or above), and they will market their house....going for some cheaper lifestyle. 

If they live California....they will up and leave.  If they live in the DC area.....the property will  be up for sale in March.  

The folks who are in their 30s to age 54?  Well....they will test the market, and I imagine that they will think there's jobs out there....still in their price-range.  Most, after 6 months....will grasp that this idea is crazy, and they will have to accept a 30-percent pay-cut.  Some FBI folks are probably finished....and will be looking at a teacher's job.

Some mental syndrome developing?  I would take a guess that 5-percent will be seeking some mental stress help by mid-summer.  

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