Wednesday 14 April 2021

How You Progress From a 1-Percent Threat to a 99-Percent Threat

Once upon a time, if you were a kid, you were given a set of circumstances, and basically told....your life is 99-percent safe.  It was a script-deal and you had to go way out beyond life's general situation's.....to put yourself into mortal threat.

Then one day....there's some odd incident where a kid does something illegal and the police/prosecution folks basically overlook the episode.  At this moment, you progressed from a 1-percent threat level.....to a 2-percent threat level.

A month or two later....some guy is busted for selling drugs on school property, but charges are whittled down to a misdemeanor situation.  You move up to a 3-percent level.

As weeks, months and years pass.....different things occur.  Hijacking a car is ultra risky but you've figured out that even if the cops get you....the prosecution will only lodge marginal charges.  The fact that the lady in the car might have a pistol and shoot you?  In your risk assessment....you haven't really calculated this.

So here in the 2021 era.....a 17-year-old kid is now on a risk situation of 80-to-90 percent.  

Even if pulled over by the Police and there's some warrant for an illegal gun.....the kid has the risk assessment that he might as well run....they won't fire upon him or make the effort to hold him down.  If you'd spoken of this type of risk assessment in 1975....most everyone would have corrected you and set you on a 1-percent behavioral level.

How you correct things at this point?  Unknown.  

I might even go and project out that within five years....at least ten-thousand juveniles each year will meet an untimely end because of their threat assessment skills being so dismal.  More and more of them will start to carry weapons, and assess a confrontation with the police as a chance to gain 'respect'.   

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