Tuesday, 19 September 2023

RFK Jr

 Quietly, RFK Jr said that if the Democratic Party denies him primary opportunities....he'll halt his primary campaign and become a third-party guy.  If I were in the DNC....I'd probably start to worry over this threat.

First, in a 3-way match....Biden-RFK Jr-Trump, there's a lot of crazy things that could occur.  

I'd suggest in California....it's possible that RFK could win the state.  There's probably five 'leaning' states where RFK with a lot of effort....could overcome Biden's vote.

Second, the 270 Electoral Votes?  In a 3-way, I'm pretty convinced that no one would reach the 270, and you'd really prefer not to walk into January 2025....having a state-by-state vote in the House.

Third, RFK doesn't need a major campaign effort.  He needs 'X' to function, and have some support of Joe Rogan and a dozen-odd podcast folks.  

So I'm leaning toward the DNC waking-up and saying to Joe Biden....'enough'.....you need to say something about your health, and get out of the race.....allowing Newsom to enter, and allow RFK Jr to be a participant.  

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