There are three 'games' that likely will come out of this Supreme Court episode:
1. I think the person selected will come from a state that has a serious Democratic versus GOP senator race going on, and will trigger an intense mess for the Democrat to defend his position.
2. The hearings probably won't start until the end of July, and I can't suggest a full-up vote occurring until the last week of August. That means that McCain's chance to vote against the situation....is going to require him to be flown to DC.....pushed into the Senate chamber in a highly weakened state....and the news media won't be able to focus much positive on him as his career drifts out. In other words, the last 'act' of the 'McCain-play' is a pretty sad state of affairs. Might this force McCain to retire now, and give the Governor a chance to play into this? I doubt it, I think McCain wants to hold the seat until his passing.
3. Finally, the next two months are entirely about the court vacancy....NOT about the Trump-Russians business, Stormy, faken news, and the news folks are fairly screwed to tell any other story.
Here, I might add one more slant....I don't believe that Kennedy is the last one for this period to announce retirement. I think within four weeks....a second name will come up. All of this really disturbs the marginal and limited Democratic political strategy for November.
Thursday, 28 June 2018
Soccer a White-Kid Sport in America?
Some fairly well known female American soccer player suggested that today, and it got front-page coverage in the sports news.
I sat and paused over it. In 1970, around the sixth-grade, we got introduced to soccer at my rural Alabama school.
The PE teacher stood there, and handed the twenty-odd kids in my group (all boys from the 6th and 7th grade) the ball and gave a brief two minutes of explanation. To be honest, I don't think Mr 'G' knew much of anything on the sport, other than having watched it played on TV. The two minutes of explanation really didn't help much.
So we set the ball down....picked up two sides, and tried to play for 35 minutes. It was a total failure.
The two goalies just stood at their ends, and the group of 18 kids kept the ball in a tight 50-foot circle, and just attempting to kick it, but it really never moved more than four feet this way or that way.
We came out the second day, and I volunteered to be a goalie. I observed the lack of movement over the ball for an entire 40-minute period.
Then we came out a third day, and the same results.
By Friday, someone probably put the suggestion to Mr 'G' that this wasn't much of a sport, and that ended the experiment. I think over the whole week....some of the kids didn't move more than 100 feet during the PE period, per day.
We never played it again.
White kids, as this lady puts it.....really just never grasped the game because of the lack of introduction. I think in fifty years.....little has changed. I suspect you could bring this up with Mr G today, and he'd probably tell you that this was the most stupid sport to introduce to Alabama kids. I might agree.
I sat and paused over it. In 1970, around the sixth-grade, we got introduced to soccer at my rural Alabama school.
The PE teacher stood there, and handed the twenty-odd kids in my group (all boys from the 6th and 7th grade) the ball and gave a brief two minutes of explanation. To be honest, I don't think Mr 'G' knew much of anything on the sport, other than having watched it played on TV. The two minutes of explanation really didn't help much.
So we set the ball down....picked up two sides, and tried to play for 35 minutes. It was a total failure.
The two goalies just stood at their ends, and the group of 18 kids kept the ball in a tight 50-foot circle, and just attempting to kick it, but it really never moved more than four feet this way or that way.
We came out the second day, and I volunteered to be a goalie. I observed the lack of movement over the ball for an entire 40-minute period.
Then we came out a third day, and the same results.
By Friday, someone probably put the suggestion to Mr 'G' that this wasn't much of a sport, and that ended the experiment. I think over the whole week....some of the kids didn't move more than 100 feet during the PE period, per day.
We never played it again.
White kids, as this lady puts it.....really just never grasped the game because of the lack of introduction. I think in fifty years.....little has changed. I suspect you could bring this up with Mr G today, and he'd probably tell you that this was the most stupid sport to introduce to Alabama kids. I might agree.
Wednesday, 27 June 2018
News Stuff
Republicans thinking the news media is pumping out fake news? 92%
Democrats thinking the news media is pumping out fake news? 53%
Well....that's basically how you got to this point of today, with Trump sitting in the White House.
The question is.....is this beyond the point of no-return? You know.....where it really doesn't matter who CNN brings in, or which hot-lady that ABC hires, or which five-person group that MSNBC presents on Sunday mornings.
The curious thing, if you realize as the VP of news production that no one is watching, and the ad revenue business is marginal.....why would you pay ten-million to some idiot who the public doesn't trust?
For the political folks, if the news guys can't carry your theme or message....what the heck can you do? And the crazy part of this story? Over 50-percent of Democrats agree with Republicans.
Democrats thinking the news media is pumping out fake news? 53%
Well....that's basically how you got to this point of today, with Trump sitting in the White House.
The question is.....is this beyond the point of no-return? You know.....where it really doesn't matter who CNN brings in, or which hot-lady that ABC hires, or which five-person group that MSNBC presents on Sunday mornings.
The curious thing, if you realize as the VP of news production that no one is watching, and the ad revenue business is marginal.....why would you pay ten-million to some idiot who the public doesn't trust?
For the political folks, if the news guys can't carry your theme or message....what the heck can you do? And the crazy part of this story? Over 50-percent of Democrats agree with Republicans.
The Crowley 'Fall'
If you picked up the news today from New York City.....Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez beat the current Democratic Congressman.....Joe Crowley....in the local Democratic primary.
Crowley? He'd been a big-name in DC politics, and was figured to be one of the three people who'd replace Pelosi.
Ocasio-Cortez? She's a 28-year-old local gal, who is basically known as a community organizer. Yes, a community organizer.
Big budget in this campaign? No.
Previous real experience? Marginally....none.
She basically used public appearances and social media to accomplish the act.
Crowley? He's finished. He's 56 years old, and he will walk out of the House in January 2019....having spent roughly 20 years as a politician for the New York public.
So, what really happened here? Some people talk about the front that Ocasio-Cortez used was in some form.....a Bernie Sanders front. There were elements of socialism in the offerings. But another element of this hype is that 27,000 total votes were between the two primary contenders. In the 2016 election.....147,000 total Democratic votes. In the 2014 election, roughly 67,000 total votes.
It really didn't take that many votes to edge Crowley out in the primary. Did Democrats just stay home? My guess is yes. Ocasio-Cortez found some core of voters to persuade in coming out, and Crowley just ran a pretty limited primary situation.
Crowley? He'd been a big-name in DC politics, and was figured to be one of the three people who'd replace Pelosi.
Ocasio-Cortez? She's a 28-year-old local gal, who is basically known as a community organizer. Yes, a community organizer.
Big budget in this campaign? No.
Previous real experience? Marginally....none.
She basically used public appearances and social media to accomplish the act.
Crowley? He's finished. He's 56 years old, and he will walk out of the House in January 2019....having spent roughly 20 years as a politician for the New York public.
So, what really happened here? Some people talk about the front that Ocasio-Cortez used was in some form.....a Bernie Sanders front. There were elements of socialism in the offerings. But another element of this hype is that 27,000 total votes were between the two primary contenders. In the 2016 election.....147,000 total Democratic votes. In the 2014 election, roughly 67,000 total votes.
It really didn't take that many votes to edge Crowley out in the primary. Did Democrats just stay home? My guess is yes. Ocasio-Cortez found some core of voters to persuade in coming out, and Crowley just ran a pretty limited primary situation.
Mob Political 'Subtractions'
In general, once you form up a mob to attend to some political activity, and get all hyped up that you can achieve your end-result by mob threats or mob mentality.....that's the point where your less-than-core members step back and walk away.
You can go and look over various events in history that go badly for mob 'staging'. It looks great for a number of days. People feel some thrilling achievement....mostly all fake in nature. And there's some hope that the mob will fix things.
In this case, I think the fall election (the mid-term) is now in danger for the Democrats. People will view various mob accomplishments and ask questions.....then feel the necessity to step away from them and support the victim group.
Yes, the mob achievements are hurting the Democratic message. I'm not even sure if the Democrats can say that the mob supports their strategy, or if the mob is reading off an entirely different script.
The sad thing here is that it'll reach some stage where the mob members think there's real authority and commit some serious actions....requiring the cops and judges to step in. Then some family will get a call that 'Barney' (their son) has been arrested and charged-up, with the potential of facing six years in prison for mob violence and achievements.
The really sad thing is that as Barney goes off to prison....he can't even vote or help his cause, because of his stupidity.
You can go and look over various events in history that go badly for mob 'staging'. It looks great for a number of days. People feel some thrilling achievement....mostly all fake in nature. And there's some hope that the mob will fix things.
In this case, I think the fall election (the mid-term) is now in danger for the Democrats. People will view various mob accomplishments and ask questions.....then feel the necessity to step away from them and support the victim group.
Yes, the mob achievements are hurting the Democratic message. I'm not even sure if the Democrats can say that the mob supports their strategy, or if the mob is reading off an entirely different script.
The sad thing here is that it'll reach some stage where the mob members think there's real authority and commit some serious actions....requiring the cops and judges to step in. Then some family will get a call that 'Barney' (their son) has been arrested and charged-up, with the potential of facing six years in prison for mob violence and achievements.
The really sad thing is that as Barney goes off to prison....he can't even vote or help his cause, because of his stupidity.
Tuesday, 26 June 2018
My View of the Harley Davidson Story
Basically, I could write a 100-line observation over this situation of Harley Davidson departing from the US, and only manufacturing motorcycles in India, Thailand, and Brazil....but after an hour or two of pondering....I'll limit it to 11 lines.
Now, ask yourself....is there anything that you can think of....made in India, Thailand or Brazil, that you'd pay a minimum of $8,500 and perhaps on up to $30,000? I know....that's the odd part of this story.
So, after they move.....would you really go and buy some piece of trashy steel made in some third-world country? And if it already had issues to start with....now you'd make it with folks being paid $5-an-hour at best.....is the $8,500 cheap cycle or the $30,000 grand-cycle....really worth that amount?
Yeah. I don't think any idiot would be willing to pay real money for something like this. Within four years, I think some Chinese guy will buy the company for about half-the-value that they are today. And you will end up with Chang-Davidson cycles.
As for the question....should Trump put up a tariff on importing Harley-Davidsons into the US? No. Just make them put a big label over the gas-tank....where the cycle was manufactured, so it's noticeable from six feet away. That should probably take care of the situation.
Now, ask yourself....is there anything that you can think of....made in India, Thailand or Brazil, that you'd pay a minimum of $8,500 and perhaps on up to $30,000? I know....that's the odd part of this story.
So, after they move.....would you really go and buy some piece of trashy steel made in some third-world country? And if it already had issues to start with....now you'd make it with folks being paid $5-an-hour at best.....is the $8,500 cheap cycle or the $30,000 grand-cycle....really worth that amount?
Yeah. I don't think any idiot would be willing to pay real money for something like this. Within four years, I think some Chinese guy will buy the company for about half-the-value that they are today. And you will end up with Chang-Davidson cycles.
As for the question....should Trump put up a tariff on importing Harley-Davidsons into the US? No. Just make them put a big label over the gas-tank....where the cycle was manufactured, so it's noticeable from six feet away. That should probably take care of the situation.
Sunday, 24 June 2018
My Advice to the Red Hen 'Boss'
Looking over the Sanders episode and how this Red Hen 'boss' handled it....I would offer the following advice.
1. Your entire life and future, revolves around that business making money. If you can't preserve profits and ensure a something on the plus-side....then you shouldn't be a manager.
2. Once you declare Sanders to be a non-customer....who else are you willing to proclaim as a non-customer? Would you put me on the list? Would you have a list of 3,000 Washington folks on that list? Would North Korea's Kim be on the list?
3. If you hired a bunch of social justice warriors to be the bulk of manpower.....are they capable of understanding the profit-motive?
4. When you located into the local area, did you notice that folks seemed to be a bit conservative? Maybe more than the typical amount?
5. I could understanding you prioritizing the client list if you were a Hollywood establishment, but this is Lexington, VA.....with a population of 7,000 locals. In general, every single dollar of profit matters.
6. Finally, I'd suggest that you go and reestablish your operation in some fairly different atmosphere....like NY City, or San Francisco.
1. Your entire life and future, revolves around that business making money. If you can't preserve profits and ensure a something on the plus-side....then you shouldn't be a manager.
2. Once you declare Sanders to be a non-customer....who else are you willing to proclaim as a non-customer? Would you put me on the list? Would you have a list of 3,000 Washington folks on that list? Would North Korea's Kim be on the list?
3. If you hired a bunch of social justice warriors to be the bulk of manpower.....are they capable of understanding the profit-motive?
4. When you located into the local area, did you notice that folks seemed to be a bit conservative? Maybe more than the typical amount?
5. I could understanding you prioritizing the client list if you were a Hollywood establishment, but this is Lexington, VA.....with a population of 7,000 locals. In general, every single dollar of profit matters.
6. Finally, I'd suggest that you go and reestablish your operation in some fairly different atmosphere....like NY City, or San Francisco.
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