I've sat and pondered over the numbers by the WHO.
Roughly 67,000 cases of the Coronavirus in the Hubei Province (Wuhan City). Of that.....2,803 deaths. If you use the latest WHO data....in the past 24 hours, there's been 42 deaths in the city from the virus.
But here's the thing....then you enlarge the data from the rest of China (the rest of the provinces)....it's only 13,000 more cases of sick people, and roughly 100 dead folks.
So this makes one ask the stupid question....why Wuhan got the bulk of the infected, and the bulk of deaths?
I would suggest that three significant factors fell into play:
1. Somewhere back in October of 2019....a couple of sick folks (probably from the fish market operation) showed up in serious condition and everything seemed to be pointed toward pneumonia. Doctors and nurses in the initial treatment area didn't protect themselves much in that initial round.
So a week into this.....as those seriously affected passed on, the medical staff, nurses, and doctors who were treating these folks became infected, and started to pass it along to others they were associating with and treating.
Adding to this initial period....the pneumonia-like folks were passing the disease onto other regular patients of the hospital system across the city. Folks who were there for knee operations, car accidents, or whatever....got infected, and went home to pass their coronavirus onto family members.
By mid-November, there was a heck of a lot of pneumonia going on....way more than the statistics should be, and triggered more of an investigation. By this point, it was too late.
Those doctors and nurses affected? They got pretty sick by mid-November and were checking into the hospitals themselves. More doctors and nurses were called in, and they were infected as well....passing it along at a hearty speed.
By early to mid-December, the authorities probably figured out the virus business, but the infection rate was way beyond their control at that point, and a massive number of nurses and doctors were missing....who would have helped patients to survive.
2. The pollution factor of Wuhan? This rarely gets brought up, but if you dig up the numbers....it's one of the densely polluted areas of China. It's been that way for at least two decades.....as the city of 11-million crew at fantastic speed.
No one talks about weakened breathing issues but if you were a guy who worked outdoor, or had the window to the office open.....you got a big dose of pollution daily.
I suspect with weakened lungs.....your odds with the medical system and the virus were severely limited.
3. Finally, I come to something that a lot of Americans and Brits talk about when visiting China....bad sanitary habits. Poor hygiene habits are often discussed and you will be given a list of a hundred things which visitors observe when going into China.
In the case of this virus.....it got plenty of help from local people, and the hygiene situation.
All of these three things add up.
I'll add this comment over the Italian numbers which might fit in as well.....when you look at the 35 Italian deaths (to this point)....I suspect if you listed the ages of these people, the bulk are over the age of 65. I suspect Wuhan's death count....with those over 65....is fairly hefty.
So if you were to look at comparisons.....I don't think a serious death count in Europe or the US will occur. When you do find rates going higher, it'll be because of poor sanitation, poor hygiene, over the age of 65, immunity issues, and lung problems.
Tuesday, 3 March 2020
Monday, 2 March 2020
More Deaths Than the Coronavirus
As of today (2 March), 52 people have been murdered within the city limits of Maryland for 2020. Police stat's.
Total dead from Coronavirus, from bulk of Asia (not China) and all of Europe....since 1 January (to 2 March)....is 55. WHO stat's.
What exactly should you worry about more in Baltimore? Murder, not Coronavirus.
Total dead from Coronavirus, from bulk of Asia (not China) and all of Europe....since 1 January (to 2 March)....is 55. WHO stat's.
What exactly should you worry about more in Baltimore? Murder, not Coronavirus.
Then Poof, Mayor Pete Was Gone
It was just a sudden thing.....there was Mayor Pete for literally a year....all hyped up and ready to move up from Mayor to President. Then suddenly, like a lightning bolt, he was gone.
Or maybe the question should be....was he ever really there?
To be honest, Mayor Pete had a brand that wasn't really captivating to 90-percent of Democrats. He had a weak resume. He wasn't that highly regarded in South Bend. Most blacks didn't have anything great to say over the guy. And it seemed like his chief purpose was to be the first gay President (too late for that....Buchanan was the first).
He did do time as a military reservist.....although folks figured out that he skipped officer training, and maybe his whole story was 'weak'.
My guess is that Mayor Pete will end up on MSNBC or CNN....by the fall period, and stick around for four years as some special analyst, then try to emerge in 2024 again. Course, he might run for Senator, and end up as Senator Pete instead.
Or maybe the question should be....was he ever really there?
To be honest, Mayor Pete had a brand that wasn't really captivating to 90-percent of Democrats. He had a weak resume. He wasn't that highly regarded in South Bend. Most blacks didn't have anything great to say over the guy. And it seemed like his chief purpose was to be the first gay President (too late for that....Buchanan was the first).
He did do time as a military reservist.....although folks figured out that he skipped officer training, and maybe his whole story was 'weak'.
My guess is that Mayor Pete will end up on MSNBC or CNN....by the fall period, and stick around for four years as some special analyst, then try to emerge in 2024 again. Course, he might run for Senator, and end up as Senator Pete instead.
My Advice on Swine Flu From a Decade Ago (Still Good Today)
Back in the spring period of 2009....in the midst of Swine Flu being "HOT", I wrote this blog (remember, I typically write for Alabama folks):
What should a Bamaite do in the midst of Swine Flu? This is a curious question. Since we are the likely ones to sit and ponder....lets not waste any time on this effort.
First, if you were a Baptist church goer....drop it. You should stay home and avoid crowds who might give you the flu. Watch Godzilla movies....bar-b-q....restore furniture....or maybe even do that oil change that you've been talking about with the tractor. It wouldn't hurt to read a paragraph from the Bible like every other week....just to stay tuned into the Baptist theme. Plus you can pretend not to drink.
Second....lay in a supply of Pabst Blue Ribbon beer.....at least twelve pallets. Tell the Sam's Club guy that things might get a bit serious and you want the pallets ASAP. Hide them under a tarp out back and ensure that few neighbors know about this.
Third....avoid relatives...especially the stupid ones or the ones in trouble with the law. This flu thing works out in your favor. You can even make up stories that you are sick when you aren't.
Fourth....get in a major supply of catfish, frozen ribs, and fried chicken. Expect to bar-b-q alot during this period.
Fifth....get in a supply of "Quarantine" signs. My suggestion is to use them on your neighbors....after the sun goes down. Put it up and then in the morning....see how they react. Act curious as you approach the sign and then keep asking how long they've been sick. When they deny they are sick....tell them that you heard that some medical folks from Auburn were around and think they quarantined a number of homes but you suspect its because they were identifying anti-Auburn football freaks. Then leave in a hurry.
Sixth.....whenever around Democrats...tell them you heard over Fox News that Democrats are more likely than Republicans to get the flu...something about sanitary practices. When they ask which show....tell it was O'Reilly. That'll get them to pinging.
Seventh.....while it is customary to shake hands as a southerner.....this might cause you to get the flu passed onto you. Always carry a small can of diesel around with you to wash with. If you start to have skin rashes....switch over to WD-40 and just spray it on.
Eight.....don't pass around or drink from the same whiskey bottle with anyone else under any circumstances.
Ninth....even if that neighbor gal is giving 5-star indications that she is free from her boyfriend, wearing a tube top, sipping whiskey from the bottle, and rather lusty....it just might not be the right time to get friendly with folks. But get a rain-check and tell her that you might be free in a month or two.
Ten....lay in a supply of cheap books on WW II, old-fashioned farming, how-to-make-whiskey and septic tank repair. You might be spending a fair amount of time at home.
What should a Bamaite do in the midst of Swine Flu? This is a curious question. Since we are the likely ones to sit and ponder....lets not waste any time on this effort.
First, if you were a Baptist church goer....drop it. You should stay home and avoid crowds who might give you the flu. Watch Godzilla movies....bar-b-q....restore furniture....or maybe even do that oil change that you've been talking about with the tractor. It wouldn't hurt to read a paragraph from the Bible like every other week....just to stay tuned into the Baptist theme. Plus you can pretend not to drink.
Second....lay in a supply of Pabst Blue Ribbon beer.....at least twelve pallets. Tell the Sam's Club guy that things might get a bit serious and you want the pallets ASAP. Hide them under a tarp out back and ensure that few neighbors know about this.
Third....avoid relatives...especially the stupid ones or the ones in trouble with the law. This flu thing works out in your favor. You can even make up stories that you are sick when you aren't.
Fourth....get in a major supply of catfish, frozen ribs, and fried chicken. Expect to bar-b-q alot during this period.
Fifth....get in a supply of "Quarantine" signs. My suggestion is to use them on your neighbors....after the sun goes down. Put it up and then in the morning....see how they react. Act curious as you approach the sign and then keep asking how long they've been sick. When they deny they are sick....tell them that you heard that some medical folks from Auburn were around and think they quarantined a number of homes but you suspect its because they were identifying anti-Auburn football freaks. Then leave in a hurry.
Sixth.....whenever around Democrats...tell them you heard over Fox News that Democrats are more likely than Republicans to get the flu...something about sanitary practices. When they ask which show....tell it was O'Reilly. That'll get them to pinging.
Seventh.....while it is customary to shake hands as a southerner.....this might cause you to get the flu passed onto you. Always carry a small can of diesel around with you to wash with. If you start to have skin rashes....switch over to WD-40 and just spray it on.
Eight.....don't pass around or drink from the same whiskey bottle with anyone else under any circumstances.
Ninth....even if that neighbor gal is giving 5-star indications that she is free from her boyfriend, wearing a tube top, sipping whiskey from the bottle, and rather lusty....it just might not be the right time to get friendly with folks. But get a rain-check and tell her that you might be free in a month or two.
Ten....lay in a supply of cheap books on WW II, old-fashioned farming, how-to-make-whiskey and septic tank repair. You might be spending a fair amount of time at home.
What You Ought to See via the Coronavirus 'Fog'
1. Based on the medical guys chatter....85-percent of folks affected will get what is a regular 'hard-flu' (seven day type), with 102 temperature for 2-to-3 days, coughs, and lack of appetite. The 15-percent group will get serious flu conditions and are under a threat (mostly smokers, have a secondary problem already, or are over the age of 65). Both groups however....are carriers and will pass the flu potential along....some even before they show symptoms.
2. The bad nature at Wuhan? Remember, they are a mega city at 11-million. They had a total of 67,000 people (WHO stats) who got the virus, and of that number.....2761 deaths. It's a fair number of dead. But going back into December, they had no idea what it was....except people were having serious pneumonia-like symptoms.
3. From the 3736 folks in South Korea affected....18 have died at this point (1 March). From the 239 folks in Japan affected....only 5 have died at this point. It would appear that lesser numbers of dead for westernized nations. Part of this might go to less air-polluted countries compared to China, or differing ways of handling what is basically pneumonia-like problems.
4. The Ebola situation around five years ago scared the crap out of people.....yet it eventually fell under control. MERs was the same way.
5. An Israeli company says it's within a couple of weeks of wrapping up their vaccine. IF true? They'd start production by May, and vaccine delivery would b accomplished by November.
6. The worst possible place in the US to be with this? SF, LA, Seattle, and Portland. With homeless people already crapping on the streets in this cities, this will pass through the system rather quickly and infection rates will shock even the experts.
7. If you want to avoid it? Pack yourself away in a house for the next six months, and avoid human contact.
8. There is zero need to put all infected folks into some massive compound run by the National Guard or some idiot federal administrator, you'd just make this ten times worse. Send the infected guy home and put them on a quarantine (with their family).
9. Attempting to spend billions? On what? Unless you intended to make luxury compounds for the elite of the nation who fall sick.....there is no need to get wasteful.
10. Use good sanitation habits....wash your hands on a frequent basis, avoid sick people, and use alcohol wipes a good bit.
2. The bad nature at Wuhan? Remember, they are a mega city at 11-million. They had a total of 67,000 people (WHO stats) who got the virus, and of that number.....2761 deaths. It's a fair number of dead. But going back into December, they had no idea what it was....except people were having serious pneumonia-like symptoms.
3. From the 3736 folks in South Korea affected....18 have died at this point (1 March). From the 239 folks in Japan affected....only 5 have died at this point. It would appear that lesser numbers of dead for westernized nations. Part of this might go to less air-polluted countries compared to China, or differing ways of handling what is basically pneumonia-like problems.
4. The Ebola situation around five years ago scared the crap out of people.....yet it eventually fell under control. MERs was the same way.
5. An Israeli company says it's within a couple of weeks of wrapping up their vaccine. IF true? They'd start production by May, and vaccine delivery would b accomplished by November.
6. The worst possible place in the US to be with this? SF, LA, Seattle, and Portland. With homeless people already crapping on the streets in this cities, this will pass through the system rather quickly and infection rates will shock even the experts.
7. If you want to avoid it? Pack yourself away in a house for the next six months, and avoid human contact.
8. There is zero need to put all infected folks into some massive compound run by the National Guard or some idiot federal administrator, you'd just make this ten times worse. Send the infected guy home and put them on a quarantine (with their family).
9. Attempting to spend billions? On what? Unless you intended to make luxury compounds for the elite of the nation who fall sick.....there is no need to get wasteful.
10. Use good sanitation habits....wash your hands on a frequent basis, avoid sick people, and use alcohol wipes a good bit.
Sunday, 1 March 2020
What Is a Hive-Mind Cult?
The best description is to up up the Star Trek episodes and observe the Borg guys/gals, and how they feel comfort within their operation....by thinking alike and feeling safe in their complete community. They don't want to challenge the tide, or reason through a decision, or suggest alternate versions of the path ahead.
In our present society, I would go and suggest that roughly 20-percent of people have gone to this state of mind. Some, I admit....exist on the extreme right-side of life. A fair number exist on the extreme left-side of life.
You can find certain religious people who've gone the extreme to indoctrinate their kids that they need to live within the religious 'zone'....to feel safe.
You can find certain environmentally conscious people who've done the same gimmick, and hype their kids to within the environmental 'zone'.....to feel safe.
You can find sexually aware people who've found the fellowship 'zone', and used various gimmicks....to feel safe. Some of the gimmicks involve intimidation, shunning, and social media lies....to make their point.
So, has this hive-mind cult thing hit maximum altitude? I would suggest that.
Part of this max hype goes to Eric Hoffer's 1950s book 'True Believer'. Hoffer went through a long introduction....talking about various groups in history who'd bluffed their way to some maximum degree with the public, and then found the public asking questions or shifting their focus back to another agenda.
With the hive-mind cults.....they done the same thing, and now face people asking stupid questions.
In our present society, I would go and suggest that roughly 20-percent of people have gone to this state of mind. Some, I admit....exist on the extreme right-side of life. A fair number exist on the extreme left-side of life.
You can find certain religious people who've gone the extreme to indoctrinate their kids that they need to live within the religious 'zone'....to feel safe.
You can find certain environmentally conscious people who've done the same gimmick, and hype their kids to within the environmental 'zone'.....to feel safe.
You can find sexually aware people who've found the fellowship 'zone', and used various gimmicks....to feel safe. Some of the gimmicks involve intimidation, shunning, and social media lies....to make their point.
So, has this hive-mind cult thing hit maximum altitude? I would suggest that.
Part of this max hype goes to Eric Hoffer's 1950s book 'True Believer'. Hoffer went through a long introduction....talking about various groups in history who'd bluffed their way to some maximum degree with the public, and then found the public asking questions or shifting their focus back to another agenda.
With the hive-mind cults.....they done the same thing, and now face people asking stupid questions.
Saturday, 29 February 2020
What Happens When Coronavirus Finally Hits 'Druggies'?
This is one of those questions that the health guys and journalists have skipped.
Last week, I start to ponder upon this. Around the US now....if you go and count up the meth folks, the heroin folks, and Bath Salts people....I would take a guess that the numbers are up around three million minimum. Around Portland, Seattle, SF, and LA.....you might be talking about a quarter-million easily.
My humble guess is that by the end of May....Coronavirus will finally start to hit the homeless crowd and druggie scene on the west coast.
The health officials will be stupid enough to quickly move these unhealthy into their hospital situation, and trigger a massive outbreak with medical folks affected.
Within six weeks, the dead numbers will go past 1,000 (weakened immune systems will be the talk of the experts on CNN), and a major crisis will be discussed by the governors of the three states....demanding that Trump 'save' them.
The problem will be....at this point, it's too late. Locals will be chasing the homeless crowds out of their neighborhoods....attacks by homeless folks on locals will occur, and total chaos will exist in these four urbanized areas of the west coast.
By the end of 2020, I would suggest that more than 100,000 deaths are reported on the west coast....with the vast majority being homeless people.
Last week, I start to ponder upon this. Around the US now....if you go and count up the meth folks, the heroin folks, and Bath Salts people....I would take a guess that the numbers are up around three million minimum. Around Portland, Seattle, SF, and LA.....you might be talking about a quarter-million easily.
My humble guess is that by the end of May....Coronavirus will finally start to hit the homeless crowd and druggie scene on the west coast.
The health officials will be stupid enough to quickly move these unhealthy into their hospital situation, and trigger a massive outbreak with medical folks affected.
Within six weeks, the dead numbers will go past 1,000 (weakened immune systems will be the talk of the experts on CNN), and a major crisis will be discussed by the governors of the three states....demanding that Trump 'save' them.
The problem will be....at this point, it's too late. Locals will be chasing the homeless crowds out of their neighborhoods....attacks by homeless folks on locals will occur, and total chaos will exist in these four urbanized areas of the west coast.
By the end of 2020, I would suggest that more than 100,000 deaths are reported on the west coast....with the vast majority being homeless people.
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