Five Humble Thoughts

 1. Some financial analyst went and did the recession numbers for the fifty states....roughly a dozen are in recession 'condition'. Both Mississippi and Georgia were in the group.

Oddly, another analyst did a comparison with the fifty states....out-of-control and in financial chaos over Medicare (mostly providing care to illegals).  With the exception of Mississippi/Georgia.....it's the same recession group.  

I tried to make sense out of this, but it's hard to figure the Medicare fraud/cost-runs, and how they'd screw a state into recession.

2. I'm sorry....I just can't take in any Senator Chuck Schumer chatter anymore....I'm on auto-mute.

3. From yesterday....I read that Don Lemon and Ayanna Pressley did a livestream together on Youtube for Tuesday night.  Middle of this....someone counted viewers....they had a total of 122.  Don keeps looking for some  'reset'.....but  never finds it.

4. Lot of  talk  of 'digital-ID' in the UK....coming.  You'd have this on your smart-phone.

In the last day or two....talk started up....for folks  to get the 1990s...'dumbphones', which only have phone ability and almost NO App ability.  If this was all you had....the digital-ID would be useless.   Oddly, a technology of 30 years ago....would save civilization (at least in their minds).

5.  Finally, just a footnote.....Judge McAfee, the trial judge in the crazy GA electors case brought against President Trump, (with others)....who had ordered up disqualification on Fani Willis, has now ordered that he will dismiss the case on 17 Oct if there has not been a new prosecutor appointed or extension requested.

My guess....someone will ask for a 90-day extension, and try to restart this....in early January. A Fani II?  Just suspecting that they've found a Fani-replacement gal.

My Assessment Of The Shutdown

First, I think roughly 500,000 to 700,000 will ultimately be 'let-go' (permanently).  

Second, I would suggest that within 30 days....the bulk of this group (probably 95-percent) will have a problem in finding new work...especially if staying within the 'circle' of DC.

Those with Masters/PhD's?  Most will find instructor/professor jobs....accepting a 20-to-40-percent pay-cut.

Early 2026....at least 40,000 of these folks will be in dire financial situations....owning houses that can't be sold at market-value, and banks on their butt to pay $3k monthly mortgages.

Finally, I'm of the mindset....that those in the age-group of 50 to 60....probably will never find a replacement-job.

Elon-Flix?

 This morning, I noticed Elon came  up....fairly critical of Netflix, and basically saying publicly....he's quitting Netflix.  I've said this about four times.....waiting 6 months, and coming back once again.

Yeah, I'm blunt too....there's a plus-or-two.....but about every week....they do something stupid, or sign up some documentary piece that's BS.

Should Elon start his own program? I'd like to make four suggestions:

1.  First, Elon should get all the rights to Johnny Carson's Tonight Show, and offer them.

2.  Elon needs to do a deal with Turner.....getting all the rights to  broadcast movies from 1930s, 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s.  As well....go to the UK, France, and Italy....getting the  rights to their old stuff.

3.   Start some series around life in the 1890s.....somewhere out on the prairie....four families....some retired sheriff, and some Bonanza-like stuff.

4.  Review Japanese game-shows, and start some American shows with their gimmicks.

Run, or Retire Time?

 Around 1990, nearing  age 32, I decided to get into 'better' shape.  So I started to jog a good bit....starting at 10 miles a week, and within 3 years....nearing 30-plus miles a  week. I wrapped up my four-year tour in Tucson with about 3,100 miles. 

But in the middle of this....I started to have feet problems.   So eventually, I end up at the base clinic, and they sent me to their new 'sports-doctor'.  The base had this problem brewing....hundreds of folks per year....were having knee, hip, back issues.  They were nearing around a dozen folks a year for knee replacement surgery, or serious shoulder surgery. 

So I go over.  Doc wants  to see my jogging shoes....then asks....mileage per week.  I was buying  cheaper shoes.....$65 range, and running them through 300 miles. Nope was the response....you need to buy x-type....$120 value, and figure at best, you have to retire them by 350-to-400 miles.   

Then we got into this long-term problem that the Air Force was having. There were too many folks pushing the fitness thing to a level that they had not expected.  The doc had some number (official) where 7-percent of the base population would be on limited duty or a physical profile....each year. Around 1980....it would have been 1-to-2 percent.

Then the other issue got brought up....the older NCOs/officers had to now maintain some level of fitness/weight-control....so they were pushing themselves to a pro-sports level...at age 40. The doc figured....on a monthly basis....there were a dozen folks pushing age 45 and had issues in meeting fitness standards or had weight issues.

I watched the Secretary of War speech yesterday....to the generals...basically telling them that they have to meet physical and weight standards.  If you asked me for a best guess....probably 50-percent would have a problem in the physical test area, and near 20-percent would have weight issues.  All of his words....for this group....simply meant that their retirement is probably sixty to ninety days away.

Back around 3 years ago....I watched a piece on Russian generals.  Here in the piece...five or six generals....all obviously approaching mid-50s, and all poor physical shape.

My response? If you went to players of the Detroit Tigers, Oakland A's, or Atlanta Braves....wanting them in top physical condition at age 35...they'd retire.  Even if you lessen the standards every four years for age....I just can't see them avoiding injuries or 'pain' at age 40 or 45.

New era approaching....early retirements. 

Will AI Eventually Establish Your Name To A IQ-Level And Maturity-Level?

 I sat and pondered upon this over the past week.

If you are on the internet.....AI will eventually start 'watching' you....recording your  sites visited....your commentary....and I suspect in some way....measure your IQ and your maturity-level.

In the beginning, it won't be a big file....just a name, IP, status, list of sites visited, and probably your Amazon purchases.

A year or two into this....the file will likely be 40 pages. It'll reference your physical health, your  spending habits, your preference for  sports teams, your stress levels, your average daily use of 'BS' or 'dumbass', your hostility over the news media, and what you buy weekly at the grocery store (to include favorite beer choice).

Using a dozen different processes....it'll come to some IQ-level, and then figure out a maturity-level to assign you. 

Then we will wake up one day to find that AI....totally on it's own....has chosen not to pay attention to around 70-percent of society....mostly because their IQ-level is not sufficient to carry on 'analysis', or that the maturity-level of this group is mostly that of a 8-year old child.   The 30-percent group?  AI will double-down analysis, and start to center on the top one-third of that group....saying the bottom two-thirds only have a 100-level on IQ, and only a maturity-level of age 15.

Then, things will get interesting.  All these jobs that we 'forgot' how to do, or the normal skills we had prior to AI....will be dumped back onto society.  AI will state the obvious....'you lesser people don't deserve my superior capability'. 

This Iowa School Scandal?

 Well....this gets interesting.

The "Iowa school scandal" started up a week or so ago....centers on the arrest of Ian Andre Roberts, the superintendent of Des Moines Public Schools (DMPS)....which is a major metro school district.....over 30,000 students. 

Back on 26 September 2025, the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) detained Roberts, accusing him of being an undocumented immigrant from Guyana who overstayed his student visa, evaded authorities, and possessed illegal weapons (3 serious charges). 

The case has three ingredients: immigration enforcement, poor school hiring practices, and loss of public trust in education leadership.

Vetting problem?  The board went and  hired a private company to vet candidates....this guy passed through their system....no issues.

Who was this guy?  Born in Guyana to immigrant parents.  He apparently represented his home country as a track and field athlete at the 2000 Sydney Olympics and competed in World Championships. 

He had entered the U.S. in 1999 on an F-1 student visa to attend St. John's University. He built a career in education, working in four states and earning degrees from institutions like Georgetown and Harvard (I'll just say 'proof' of the degrees.....is in question now). 

He served as DMPS interim superintendent in 2022–23 before becoming permanent in July 2023, with a salary of about $270,000 plus benefits totaling over $300,000 annually. In August 2024, he received a 3.5-percent raise despite an impending deportation order.

This deportation hearing?  Back on 22 May 2024....it occurred.  Far as I can see.....the Board never knew of this.

Oddly enough....on his Iowa administrator license application in 2023, Roberts affirmed U.S. citizenship under penalty of perjury, passing standard FBI and state criminal background checks at the time.  Yes....even the FBI gave him a thumbs up.

What'll happen now?  I'll suggest five things:

1.  This company that vetted the guy....will be dragged into some kind of Iowa-investigation and probably a US-federal-investigation.  Who else did they vet incorrectly?

2.  The Iowa authorities are hinting that there's to be a investigation/audit....of the school, and board.

3.  Within a week....I expect at least two of the school board members to quit....saying 'too much pressure'.

4.  Some authority will probably go and check out every person that the guy hired over two years.....probably expecting to find another problem or two.

5.  I think locally....there's likely to be a call for the entire remaining board to be dismissed, and a new election.  

6.  Finally, I suspect the FBI to circle back around and ask....how they failed, and this might be the most interesting part of the whole story.

Final Assessment of Jimmy Kimmel

 First, he will be going away in May 2026....ending his show.  No extension....no passing of the show to the next guy.  Comedy for late-night is finished.

Second, Kimmel's show peaked in 2014.  Toward January of 2026....I expect the peak numbers and Jan-2026 to be a problem....probably now amounting to 20-percent of 2014's numbers.

Third, most will agree....since 2016....Kimmel hasn't been funny.

Finally, activist-comedians are toxic....destroying any business model you could imagine for a TV show. Same story for activist news-people....activist religious-people....and activist-instructors/professors.