Thursday 21 January 2021

The Odds of the 25k National Guardsmen Staying Until April

 Well, here's the thing....if the idea is to launch the impeachment 'show' in the Senate for early Feb....you can figure the whole month will be eaten up with various delays, demonstrations, riots, etc.  

So the Nat'l Guard isn't going away.

The potential for the Guardsmen to get scared and fire on unarmed Americans?  It's probably a 50-50 chance....which will just infuriate the general public more.

As crappy as the conditions are for them....marginal sleep schedule....poor management....officers running around to keep people lined up and not talking about this being 'wrong'....this amounts to a four-star clown show.

The talk by the DC mayor that the Guard needs to go (leave DC)?  Just talk....nothing else.

The talk or rumors that Antifa/BLM might be in the mix for a day or two?  It just begs for a longer deployment.  

So all of this 'show' lengthening your $1,600 check business?  Well....yeah, that's really the problem with the show at this point.  The Senate can't possibly get to important business like that until probably April.

If the impeachment show concludes with a conviction?  It'll just drive demonstrations up another notch and require the Guard to be there through the entire summer.  You can expect this group of 25,000 to probably swap out by the end of March, and some fresh group (maybe from red states) will show up and present another problem on trust.

Long-term....none of this makes much sense.  You'd almost think you were in Paraguay or Ecuador.  If they (Paraguay or Ecuador) were to position Nat'l Guardsmen for three-plus months, you'd suggest some kind of coup has taken place.

The Guardsmen starting to joke about coup-participation?  You'd laugh but they have to be standing there on guard and wondering where this guard-duty is leading onto, and if it will ever end.  

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