Wednesday, 11 April 2018

Ryan and the 'Script'

After Rep Ryan announced he was out of the running in Nov's election....I sat and paused over the likely reasons here.

1.  I think Ryan anticipates that a Democratic win will occur this fall, with slight edge to the Democrats in the House.  The Senate will remain at 52 to 54 GOP members.

2.  I think Ryan anticipates that the Democratic House will draw up impeachment papers.  The question will be if five or more GOP Senators cross the line and accept on the charges.

3.  I think Ryan anticipates an impeachment process for 2019, and he likely jumps into the Presidential primary by the end of 2019.

Maybe I'm wrong. 

Dimwit Politicians and Facebook

I sat this afternoon and watched fifteen minutes of Zuckerberg and the idiots at Congress talk.  So one idiot came up to ask why underage kids are allowed to 'share'.

His whole three minutes of hype was to suggest that kids from 13 to 17....can be members of Facebook, and share....with other kids.  The Congressman felt that was totally wrong, and that while as Facebook members....they could be in the club....but just not share.  The suggestion here....was to prevent kids from ever publishing, commenting, or sharing.

I looked at the idiot and it hit me.....he really didn't know what Facebook was about, or the whole thing of sharing photos, hype, articles, or info. 

I imagine that a quarter of Congress is like this.....they have no understanding of technology and what it all means.

You could tell....Zuckerberg was just sitting there and waiting for some 10-ton criticism, and this was like some fly landing on your hand. 

Defining Hate Speech

Generally, I hate NASCAR.  

I also hate Bitburger beer, and most American-made beers.  

I also hate revivals (particuliary in the summertime when they purposely turn the AC off).  

I also hate flights taking longer than six hours.  

I also hate young somewhat educated college punks trying to talk or hype socialism or anti-capitalism.  

I also hate freaked-out psychotic strangers who are trying to talk to me over being controlled by satellites.  

I also hate driving a Ford Mustang and having to refuel the car every 150 miles.  

I also hate bad movies with no real script and bad acting.  

I also hate politicians giving a 3x5 card explanation for something they won't support, but they can't really talk much beyond the 3x5 card excuse they were given.  

I also hate fake political agendas.  

I hate college professors who've lost their enthusiasm and drive, and just stand there to deliver a lackluster one-hour talk.  

I also hate the NCAA bowl selection business, but frankly I've given up watching the bowls, so it doesn't matter.

I sat today....looking over the hype from yesterday where some Senator tried to ask Zuckerberg of Facebook to define Hate Speech, and he kinda begged off.

He's sat through these fake talks with the Germans, and they preached hours of Hate Speech stuff to his people with the threats of what the saviors of mankind (the German people) would do to Facebook in terms of a financial penalty if Hate Speech appeared on line in Germany.

No one can really say when Hate Speech started to exist as some 'crime'....some suggest the early 1990s.....some suggest about fifteen years ago.

What most go and say is that once you establish any kind of hate toward race, religion, sex or such.....that could incite violence or a reaction....you conducted hate speech.

The fact that you hate fake religion?  Well....you have to step around it and just say that it doesn't interest you.  The fact that you hate Republicans?  Well....you'd have to step around and just say they are 'stupid'. 

To be honest, back before the 1970s....you could have been hateful in dozens of ways and it would have been acceptable.  Today, you need to control this urge to talk about your feelings, and just hold back until you get home.....smoke some weed.....pull out a six-pack of PBR beer.....or get the chainsaw out to cut down a tree in the backyard.
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So here's the thing.....Hate Speech can't be defined.  If you did attempt to define it.....you'd wake up tomorrow to be told they are now onto Hate Speech version number 601, and next week, you'd be on version 602. 

Zuckerberg's Day

I've probably wasted 90 minutes of my time this morning looking over video clips of Zuckerberg's dramatic time in front of the senators yesterday.  I've come to three observations:

1.  Any belief on Zuckerberg's part that he's prime material for the 2024 national election for President....is a joke.  He did a marginal job of defending the company, and recent events.  I do agree....geek-wise, he probably knows his stuff.  But in terms of being a true CEO?  No.....he's just not that kind of guy, and it'd be a joke for him to think in eight years.....he could run for President.

2.  The defense of a liberal slant on management decisions because they are located in Silicon Valley?  It was fairly amusing.  A real CEO would have to realize the effect, and immediately reorganize the group, with the management folks being moved off to Wisconsin, or Michigan.  Instead, they will just keep going forward with liberal-slant values and management practices. 

3.  Facebook is ultimately a 'tool' which can be used politically.  Social media.....is not really social media....it's simply a mass-movement tool, to focus people on the newest problem, the newest hype, the newest frustration, and set the 'herd' upon the next problem.  I think those people who look upon the Zuckerberg testimony from a distance.....will come to view Facebook as 'unsafe'. 

Tuesday, 10 April 2018

What'll Happen In California

I've sat and watched over the last three months.....probably twenty different news reports talking of the state pension cuts, the real estate going up on the market, and people making the decision to leave California.  I've come to four observations.

1.  A lot of the state or local employees who had the five-star pension deals are now waking up to realize....yes, the state can cut the pension deal by 50-percent.  I watched the affect on one lady (65 years old) who had $49,000 a year coming in, and then got the letter that the cut would be bringing her down to $19,000.  Taking that and her social security.....she'd do OK, but not living in California. 

So you imagine thousands upon thousands of life-time Californians (some even grew up there in the 1960s), who now look at a marginal pension, high property taxes, and a difficult landscape.  Why would you stay?

2.  This crowd has taken to an evaluation.  Staying there?  I have my doubts.  I think a wave has started, and as each week passes and people see 'Joe' moved to Vegas....'Jean' moved to Idaho....and 'Marvin' moved to Mississippi....the enthusiasm to take the marginalized pension, and just vacate the state.  This means that you will put the house that you've had for twenty-five years or more up, and take the profit to be part of your new lifestyle.

3.  So, as these houses come onto the market.....in the first stage.....people will flock in and buy them.  A year or so into this wave....more houses are on the market than buyers.  People are now sitting on a owned property....living two states away....and finding that selling is next to impossible.  Then they discover a year later, that renting is now difficult, unless you take a 40-percent cut on rent. 

4.  So then you get to the thrilling part of the game.....you have a home....you can't find renters....you can't find buyers, and you got fewer and fewer cops around.  You wake up one day to hear from a neighbor that some idiot and his family got in and are living in the house...squatting.  You try to get the cops and authorities to react....they won't.  Someone starts to collect data....finding 15,000-plus squatters existing in southern California (my guess in five years).  The number will be escalating every week. 

5.  While all of this is going on....companies look at long-term planning and realize the taxation issues, the crime, and the reckless behavior of political folks are making this a lose-lose situation....so they start to planning on leaving as well.

When you and look at the 2025 to 2035 era approaching....California isn't the place where anyone would really want to live.  It's a hopeless situation with all those folks planning great retirements five years ago, and now are in some stage of leaving the state to survive.

Not Used on Facebook

Sadly, I must admit that of this eight-million membership group whose data was sold off to the evil Cambridge Analytical crowd.....I'm not in the data sold.  I kept waiting for the 'message' yesterday from Facebook, and it never came.

So I wasn't in the data group that helped Trump win the election, at least how Cambridge Analytical brags. 

Why?  I would speculate that while I do have a Facebook account....I just don't click on anything much.  In a normal year.....I might click eight to ten times off some story that is featured on Facebook.  So my 'click-score' is probably on a scale of one to ten.....near a 'one'.

I expect some folks to be extremely angry over being included in the data sold off to Cambridge Analytical, and being Hillary-supporters.....they might get pretty hostile.  Some folks might even have to take an afternoon off from work, to pout at home or discuss matters with with their mental-health doctor.  Me?  I'm a bit upset that my data wasn't used....but it's not worth drinking a beer over or discussing this with some bartender. 

Saturday, 7 April 2018

End of Facebook Coming?

I noticed in this morning's news that the 'number-two' of Facebook....Sheryl Sandberg....came out in a blunt way and said that if users had the expectation of 'private and personal' data....then they'd have to pay for it.

In her statement, if you read the whole thing....she basically said that Facebook isn't stealing your data....you are intent on inputting the data into the system, and they simply store it for you. 

How much would it cost to have private data?  Well....she skips that part.

I would imagine that it'd have to be in the range of $4 a month ($50 a year roughly) to get some privilege like this.

The question would be.....would a person pay $50 a year for that private data option?  I have my doubts.  And if you did create this option.....with half of the Facebook customers using it....how valuable would the remaining data become?

But the other side of this discussion....is whether Democratic-like people would have a problem with Facebook selling their data to GOP-like organizations....or vice-versa?  I think 50-percent of the general public would get hyped up and aggravated over the mere suggestion that their data might be in the hands of some Clinton-like figure or Trump-like figure.

All of this leads me to wonder if this becomes a harsh reality for Facebook, and users start to depart or lessen their activity.