Its an interesting statistic.
The population of the US is around 322-million people (more or less).
Half of the population (161-million) live in 9 states. Yep, just nine states.
Georgia, Texas, NY, California, Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Penn and Illinois.
The other 41 states? They make up the other half of the nation's population.
If we dumped the Electoral College? Well, those nine states would be the basic line of politicizing....to entice the majority of those residents to side with X-party.
Monday, 9 December 2019
Friday, 6 December 2019
Trump Impeachment II, III and IV?
Late Thursday, a comment came from a Democrat who said that even if Trump impeachment I fails....this will only lead to II, III and possibly more.
I sat and pondered over this.
In general, this impeachment episode will be handled to the Senate around Christmas week (assuming it passes the House with 218 votes). The Seante won't pick up the impeachment until 6 or 7 January. You can figure that within 30 days....it will end, and likely be voted 'down'.
So the odds of a second impeachment coming up? Presently, I'd say it's near a 99-percent chance.
But here's the big problem lingering. The news media will have burnt every single bit of enthusiasm to get the public all pepped up, and once that January episode ends, the public enthusiasm will drop like a rock.
So getting into March, with new evidence? More than likely. So more hearings in the House will occur, and by May....I would anticipate a new series of charges to be done by the House.
The Senate? They will take this....spend two weeks on this....with half as much interest by the general public, and vote it down.
So by August, another impeachment hearing period will start, and run through the same results....with impeachment handed to the Senate by late November (after the election).
Results achieved by the Democratic House members over a 2-year period? Mostly nothing, and this will be long discussed by the public. Some might even go and suggest that we need two Houses....one doing strictly impeachment around the clock, and the other doing business related to the nation and the public.
At some point, a Fox news reporter will rename the Democratic Party to the Impeachment Party, and this will be laughed about for weeks.
The saving 'grace'? Well, assuming Trump and heavy House numbers go to the Republicans in November....it all ends in early January, and the nation can finally go back to work.
As for the news media and trust? I would suggest that the networks will be tired of the message and confirming a lack of trust among the general public. Sad times.....if you think about everything talked about.
I sat and pondered over this.
In general, this impeachment episode will be handled to the Senate around Christmas week (assuming it passes the House with 218 votes). The Seante won't pick up the impeachment until 6 or 7 January. You can figure that within 30 days....it will end, and likely be voted 'down'.
So the odds of a second impeachment coming up? Presently, I'd say it's near a 99-percent chance.
But here's the big problem lingering. The news media will have burnt every single bit of enthusiasm to get the public all pepped up, and once that January episode ends, the public enthusiasm will drop like a rock.
So getting into March, with new evidence? More than likely. So more hearings in the House will occur, and by May....I would anticipate a new series of charges to be done by the House.
The Senate? They will take this....spend two weeks on this....with half as much interest by the general public, and vote it down.
So by August, another impeachment hearing period will start, and run through the same results....with impeachment handed to the Senate by late November (after the election).
Results achieved by the Democratic House members over a 2-year period? Mostly nothing, and this will be long discussed by the public. Some might even go and suggest that we need two Houses....one doing strictly impeachment around the clock, and the other doing business related to the nation and the public.
At some point, a Fox news reporter will rename the Democratic Party to the Impeachment Party, and this will be laughed about for weeks.
The saving 'grace'? Well, assuming Trump and heavy House numbers go to the Republicans in November....it all ends in early January, and the nation can finally go back to work.
As for the news media and trust? I would suggest that the networks will be tired of the message and confirming a lack of trust among the general public. Sad times.....if you think about everything talked about.
That Pelosi Moment
House Speaker Pelosi had finished up her comments late yesterday, and then started to proceed to walk off the stage....when this reporter asked if she 'hated' Trump.
She's almost off the stage....maybe two more steps and she's clear and done.
But this hate-question draws her back....oddly enough.
Blood pressure up? Yeah....way up. She turns and points to this guy (front row) and she's doing a lot of finger-pointing at him. Eyes twitching? Well....yeah, this is another odd part of this 90-second tirade.
There's at least a dozen 'hand-signals' involved, and direct eye-to-eye contact. At the 30-second point, she's maneuvered herself back to the podium to start another comment or two on the President.
There at the podium, she then delivers another dozen-odd hand-signals. Eyes still twitching.
Medicated? My humble opinion is that she is on some type of medication and this 90-second situation was just the stress and medication acting together.
She's almost off the stage....maybe two more steps and she's clear and done.
But this hate-question draws her back....oddly enough.
Blood pressure up? Yeah....way up. She turns and points to this guy (front row) and she's doing a lot of finger-pointing at him. Eyes twitching? Well....yeah, this is another odd part of this 90-second tirade.
There's at least a dozen 'hand-signals' involved, and direct eye-to-eye contact. At the 30-second point, she's maneuvered herself back to the podium to start another comment or two on the President.
There at the podium, she then delivers another dozen-odd hand-signals. Eyes still twitching.
Medicated? My humble opinion is that she is on some type of medication and this 90-second situation was just the stress and medication acting together.
Thursday, 5 December 2019
What Happens if 'Fantastic Five' are Subpoenaed to the Impeachment?
The 'Fantastic Five'? Shifty, Pelosi, Joe Biden, Hunter Biden, and the whistle-blower.
Well....I think all will subject the subpoena to the court system, and draw this out for six to eight weeks....meaning that the Impeachment is stalled in the Senate.
If the Supreme Court says they must appear? They will simply say nothing and use their lack of speech to motivate the situation.
McConnell will then say the Impeachment can't move on, and settle it with a end-vote.....no impeachment.
A one-star ending to all the drama? Well....yeah. McConnell will go and say that they could have brought the house down (like the fat lady singing)....if they'd just spoke up.
The public perception of this type of ending? I would suggest that people will sit there for days....admiring how this subpoena was the 'golden goose', and this really turned into a Sugar Bowl game between a number 88-ranked NCAA team and a 104-ranked team.
A drama without drama? More or less.
But here's the one odd thing. Trump can pick up the phone, call the Ukraine on the day after the impeachment is tossed out in the Senate, and do the exact same thing all over again.....this time with forty 'weasels' in the room (maybe even that US Army Lt Col). He might even call Nancy Pelosi over to the White House, and let her listen into the call.
Well....I think all will subject the subpoena to the court system, and draw this out for six to eight weeks....meaning that the Impeachment is stalled in the Senate.
If the Supreme Court says they must appear? They will simply say nothing and use their lack of speech to motivate the situation.
McConnell will then say the Impeachment can't move on, and settle it with a end-vote.....no impeachment.
A one-star ending to all the drama? Well....yeah. McConnell will go and say that they could have brought the house down (like the fat lady singing)....if they'd just spoke up.
The public perception of this type of ending? I would suggest that people will sit there for days....admiring how this subpoena was the 'golden goose', and this really turned into a Sugar Bowl game between a number 88-ranked NCAA team and a 104-ranked team.
A drama without drama? More or less.
But here's the one odd thing. Trump can pick up the phone, call the Ukraine on the day after the impeachment is tossed out in the Senate, and do the exact same thing all over again.....this time with forty 'weasels' in the room (maybe even that US Army Lt Col). He might even call Nancy Pelosi over to the White House, and let her listen into the call.
Wednesday, 4 December 2019
The Thing About Too Much Knowledge
Every three years, the PISA education assessment comes out over test results and the ratings given to countries. Asian countries tend to do well.....western countries tend to do less well.
I sat and picked up the standard test from 2015, and looked over the language and math tests (used for Brit kids, 15 year old). The language test was a breeze. The math test? It was a fairly indepth test with a worded scenario.
So they show up an oddly shaped apartment (four rooms and a terrace), and then they ask you to select from the nine possible images below (showing different ways to reach a formula with the measurements)....to reach the square footage for the apartment.
Yes, it is a trick question because the terrace isn't part of the interior. Because of the nature of this and the nine potential layouts of the measurement-game....you will sit and waste a good five minutes over the drawings to find the appropriate one (or plural).
This brings me around to this two-year period of high-school where I took algebra and geometry. It's a vast amount of knowledge that this teacher puts on the table, and you (around age 16 and 17) are assembling this, and trying to grasp where exactly you will need this in the future.
Then you go and wonder about the 500 students that he handled in a decade period, and if any of them went onto engineering classes, did explosives work, built dams, had to calculate cubic feet of a man-made lake, or needed to figure the amount of concrete needed for a 1,388 feet driveway from the main road to their house. Out of the 500 kids who were 'blessed' with the knowledge....probably less than 40 ever used this algebraic formula situation or geometric formula ever again in life.
It is part of this problem about value of knowledge, and if you are handing over to people who will readily admit for the next forty years of their life....they just won't ever again touch it again.
I sat and picked up the standard test from 2015, and looked over the language and math tests (used for Brit kids, 15 year old). The language test was a breeze. The math test? It was a fairly indepth test with a worded scenario.
So they show up an oddly shaped apartment (four rooms and a terrace), and then they ask you to select from the nine possible images below (showing different ways to reach a formula with the measurements)....to reach the square footage for the apartment.
Yes, it is a trick question because the terrace isn't part of the interior. Because of the nature of this and the nine potential layouts of the measurement-game....you will sit and waste a good five minutes over the drawings to find the appropriate one (or plural).
This brings me around to this two-year period of high-school where I took algebra and geometry. It's a vast amount of knowledge that this teacher puts on the table, and you (around age 16 and 17) are assembling this, and trying to grasp where exactly you will need this in the future.
Then you go and wonder about the 500 students that he handled in a decade period, and if any of them went onto engineering classes, did explosives work, built dams, had to calculate cubic feet of a man-made lake, or needed to figure the amount of concrete needed for a 1,388 feet driveway from the main road to their house. Out of the 500 kids who were 'blessed' with the knowledge....probably less than 40 ever used this algebraic formula situation or geometric formula ever again in life.
It is part of this problem about value of knowledge, and if you are handing over to people who will readily admit for the next forty years of their life....they just won't ever again touch it again.
The Weak Choices
Someone stood up and made a pronounced judgement statement this morning....saying that the general problem in this upcoming election year....is that the Democrats have sent up a rather weak and marginal group as candidate possibilities.
I sat and thought about this for a while.
The last time that the primary system had a strong delivery of three potential candidates (roughly divided evenly around the 50 states)....was 1972 (Humphrey, Wallace, and McGovern). If you remember the outcome....while Humphrey arrived at the convention with slightly more votes, the convention ended up drifting over to McGovern. Most will say it was a terrible choice, and that Humphrey might have taken a minimum of twenty states in the national election....McGovern took one single state, and it was a dismal defeat for the party.
The 1976 primary season was mostly about Jimmy Carter, a marginal Jerry Brown from California, George Wallace, Henry Jackson and Mo Udall. Carter had no trouble in winning that primary period.
The 1980 primary? Carter found himself in deep competition against Ted Kennedy. Had Ted done better on Super Tuesday, this would have been a curtain-call for Carter, and the convention would have been a more interesting situation.
The 1984 primary? It was for Gary Hart to lose (which he did). The competition was Jessie Jackson and Walter Mondale (who won in the end).
The 1988 primary? A list of nobodies: Jackson again, Simon (who no one really knew), a young Al Gore, and a governor out of Massachusetts (Dukakis) who couldn't connect to southern voters.
The 1992 primary? Paul Tsongas (who no one really remembers), Bill Clinton, and Jerry Brown once again.
The 2000 primary? It was a fairly weak primary season....Bill Bradley and Al Gore.
Since 2000, you can skip that talk. Even in 2016, people do remember Hillary and Bernie, but beyond that....the other two guys names are mostly forgotten.
The chief purpose of a primary period is to stir people up and get them dedicated to voting in November. If they aren't stirred up.....then a low-turnout will occur. Presently? I would suggest that at least one Democratic voter out of each three....isn't that thrilled and probably laughs over the bitter marginalized fighting among the dozen-odd candidates left at this point. The debates? They didn't really help.
As for the convention? It really needs to have some type of crazy action coming out of it....if they hope to get 65-million people to show up in November. Course, maybe they are hoping that three-million dead folks show up and make up for the lack of enthusiasm.
I sat and thought about this for a while.
The last time that the primary system had a strong delivery of three potential candidates (roughly divided evenly around the 50 states)....was 1972 (Humphrey, Wallace, and McGovern). If you remember the outcome....while Humphrey arrived at the convention with slightly more votes, the convention ended up drifting over to McGovern. Most will say it was a terrible choice, and that Humphrey might have taken a minimum of twenty states in the national election....McGovern took one single state, and it was a dismal defeat for the party.
The 1976 primary season was mostly about Jimmy Carter, a marginal Jerry Brown from California, George Wallace, Henry Jackson and Mo Udall. Carter had no trouble in winning that primary period.
The 1980 primary? Carter found himself in deep competition against Ted Kennedy. Had Ted done better on Super Tuesday, this would have been a curtain-call for Carter, and the convention would have been a more interesting situation.
The 1984 primary? It was for Gary Hart to lose (which he did). The competition was Jessie Jackson and Walter Mondale (who won in the end).
The 1988 primary? A list of nobodies: Jackson again, Simon (who no one really knew), a young Al Gore, and a governor out of Massachusetts (Dukakis) who couldn't connect to southern voters.
The 1992 primary? Paul Tsongas (who no one really remembers), Bill Clinton, and Jerry Brown once again.
The 2000 primary? It was a fairly weak primary season....Bill Bradley and Al Gore.
Since 2000, you can skip that talk. Even in 2016, people do remember Hillary and Bernie, but beyond that....the other two guys names are mostly forgotten.
The chief purpose of a primary period is to stir people up and get them dedicated to voting in November. If they aren't stirred up.....then a low-turnout will occur. Presently? I would suggest that at least one Democratic voter out of each three....isn't that thrilled and probably laughs over the bitter marginalized fighting among the dozen-odd candidates left at this point. The debates? They didn't really help.
As for the convention? It really needs to have some type of crazy action coming out of it....if they hope to get 65-million people to show up in November. Course, maybe they are hoping that three-million dead folks show up and make up for the lack of enthusiasm.
Saturday, 30 November 2019
Climate 'Something'
I was reading a lengthy piece this week over climate change (aka global warming, global cooling)....then they came to note that there is another wording change underway.
The new phrases? Climate collapse, and global meltdown.
Why? Well, this gets into branding and the folks in the middle of this type of business believe that they've over-used climate change.
I'm one of those people who were standing there in the 1970s....reading Newsweek's introduction to global cooling and remember the article.
But I also read a piece over at Electroverse this week, which did a long article on Chinese research. The Chinese have put a lot of research into sun cycles. They point that there is a 500 year cycle, which involves the sun, and that we are nearing the tail end of the sun's warm spell, and that in a few decades....it'll all flip with extremely cold and bitter winters.
So all this brand name changing....mostly to just get you into the right frame of mind, for their agenda? When you say the words meltdown or collapse.....it's generally not good news. It's like dam collapse, or nuclear meltdown. In your mind, you have these awful bad images.
How long before these two phrases disappear, and new ones come to replace them? I'd give it five to seven years.
The new phrases? Climate collapse, and global meltdown.
Why? Well, this gets into branding and the folks in the middle of this type of business believe that they've over-used climate change.
I'm one of those people who were standing there in the 1970s....reading Newsweek's introduction to global cooling and remember the article.
But I also read a piece over at Electroverse this week, which did a long article on Chinese research. The Chinese have put a lot of research into sun cycles. They point that there is a 500 year cycle, which involves the sun, and that we are nearing the tail end of the sun's warm spell, and that in a few decades....it'll all flip with extremely cold and bitter winters.
So all this brand name changing....mostly to just get you into the right frame of mind, for their agenda? When you say the words meltdown or collapse.....it's generally not good news. It's like dam collapse, or nuclear meltdown. In your mind, you have these awful bad images.
How long before these two phrases disappear, and new ones come to replace them? I'd give it five to seven years.
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