Imagine at 5 AM, Columbo gets this call from the chief.
He's supposed to go out to this neighborhood, where there is NO body, no evidence of a murder, and no one reported missing.
So Columbo shows up. Hours go by. Columbo is mostly knocking on doors and presenting himself. He asks folks about nefarious acts. The only two things that folks mention is someone's dog who craps in everyone's yard during the night, and food-poisoning at some bar and grill down near the 'pike'.
Columbo continues on, and eventually goes back to write a sixteen-page report for the Chief.....with notices about the dog crapper thing and some definite hygiene problems at the grill operation.
Other than two mentions and twelve hours of research.....that was mostly it.
So the question is....would you even watch a 90-minute Columbo episode like this? The general answer is that fewer than 10-percent of people would care, and most would flip the channel over to watch a rerun of Bonanza.
This is the reality of the current situation....no one much believes in this impeachment, there is no factual evidence which really proves anything illegal, and public sentiment is more focused on Christmas....than impeachment.
Thursday, 19 December 2019
Wednesday, 18 December 2019
The Ten Things to Take Away From the Senate Impeachment Episode
This is my list of predictions, on things that will come out:
1. The first two days will be wasted on procedural things and the subpoena list. The Democratic Senate members are royally screwed, and they already know it.
2. Joe Biden will be subpoenaed and will attempt to fight it. Figure four weeks wasted as courts have deal with this. If he is forced into the hearing....he's finished as a political figure, and his years of Senate service are probably to be forgotten real quick.
3. Hunter Biden will disappear (probably off to South Africa). His finance records from the Ukraine company will be entered as crime 'evidence' and the IRS will be interested in his income level. The money-laundering aspects? They will be apparent, with at least two other national governments now interested, and the Justice Department looking at how vast this really is. I don't think Hunter will ever return to the US.
4. The idea that Shifty and Nadler will be the 'prosecution-team'? They are out of the league facing them. One of the brightest legal minds in DC is Ted Cruz and will carve them every chance he gets.
5. Continual coverage by CNN? Even that won't help their numbers.
6. About a week into this, Rush Limbaugh will have what I'll call a 'fat-lady' singing moment, and lay out the problems of the past week, and that this opera is mostly finished. About 40-percent of the general public will say 'enough' at that point, and voice the idea of shutting down the entire impeachment. By the end of the second week....the amount will be up to around 60-percent.
7. The suggestion of another impeachment coming up in 2020? Forget about it. The damage to the process will have been done.
8. Trump's favor with Latinos and blacks? You can figure that he bumps up another five points...nearing 40-to-45 percent of the voting public within both groups.
9. Pelosi will stand and deliver some explanation at the conclusion, and it'll be so confusing....that members of the Democratic Party suggest that she's in some dementia situation.
10. At least forty different Trump-campaign video advertisements will be made out of the impeachment 'circus'. Folks will be surprised at the creative nature, and stupid quotes by the prosecution folks.
1. The first two days will be wasted on procedural things and the subpoena list. The Democratic Senate members are royally screwed, and they already know it.
2. Joe Biden will be subpoenaed and will attempt to fight it. Figure four weeks wasted as courts have deal with this. If he is forced into the hearing....he's finished as a political figure, and his years of Senate service are probably to be forgotten real quick.
3. Hunter Biden will disappear (probably off to South Africa). His finance records from the Ukraine company will be entered as crime 'evidence' and the IRS will be interested in his income level. The money-laundering aspects? They will be apparent, with at least two other national governments now interested, and the Justice Department looking at how vast this really is. I don't think Hunter will ever return to the US.
4. The idea that Shifty and Nadler will be the 'prosecution-team'? They are out of the league facing them. One of the brightest legal minds in DC is Ted Cruz and will carve them every chance he gets.
5. Continual coverage by CNN? Even that won't help their numbers.
6. About a week into this, Rush Limbaugh will have what I'll call a 'fat-lady' singing moment, and lay out the problems of the past week, and that this opera is mostly finished. About 40-percent of the general public will say 'enough' at that point, and voice the idea of shutting down the entire impeachment. By the end of the second week....the amount will be up to around 60-percent.
7. The suggestion of another impeachment coming up in 2020? Forget about it. The damage to the process will have been done.
8. Trump's favor with Latinos and blacks? You can figure that he bumps up another five points...nearing 40-to-45 percent of the voting public within both groups.
9. Pelosi will stand and deliver some explanation at the conclusion, and it'll be so confusing....that members of the Democratic Party suggest that she's in some dementia situation.
10. At least forty different Trump-campaign video advertisements will be made out of the impeachment 'circus'. Folks will be surprised at the creative nature, and stupid quotes by the prosecution folks.
Monday, 16 December 2019
The Thing About Van Drew and the 2nd District of NJ
After the smoke cleared, and people realized that Jeff Van Drew had changed his party status over to the Republicans....it required some survey of the 2nd District of New Jersey.
This is the district to the far south of New Jersey. It is 75-percent white and a working-class type district. Blacks make up only around 10-percent of the voters, and Latinos make up around the same number. Note: don't use Wiki for this Demographics business, because their numbers add up to around 110-percent.
While it's true that Obama won with 53-percent of the local vote in both 2008 and 2012.....Trump won with 50.6 percent (Hillary only carried 46 percent).
It's also true that if you use data from the 1940s to present....about every twenty years....the seat flips from the GOP to the Democrats, and then back.
The previous Representative? Frank LoBiondo. From 1995 on, Frank won with 60-plus percent of the vote. After he retired? Van Drew won with 53 percent of the vote (2018).
The odds of Van Drew winning in 2020, if he'd stayed a Democrat? I'd give it less than 30-percent odds. Part of this problem would have been Blacks flipping votes over to Trump, and the approaching Trump wave.
This is the district to the far south of New Jersey. It is 75-percent white and a working-class type district. Blacks make up only around 10-percent of the voters, and Latinos make up around the same number. Note: don't use Wiki for this Demographics business, because their numbers add up to around 110-percent.
While it's true that Obama won with 53-percent of the local vote in both 2008 and 2012.....Trump won with 50.6 percent (Hillary only carried 46 percent).
It's also true that if you use data from the 1940s to present....about every twenty years....the seat flips from the GOP to the Democrats, and then back.
The previous Representative? Frank LoBiondo. From 1995 on, Frank won with 60-plus percent of the vote. After he retired? Van Drew won with 53 percent of the vote (2018).
The odds of Van Drew winning in 2020, if he'd stayed a Democrat? I'd give it less than 30-percent odds. Part of this problem would have been Blacks flipping votes over to Trump, and the approaching Trump wave.
Friday, 13 December 2019
Trump and the Presidential Debates?
The story came out last night....Trump now hints that he may not participate in the 2020 Presidential debates.
Logic? He doesn't say much.
You would ponder over this? Bias reporters as the moderators. Stupid questions. Audiences made up of 'favorite-players'.
Presidential debates didn't start up until the 1960s and it's been marginally a plus-up for Republican candidates since Reagan.
So what's this all about now? I would suggest that Trump has laid the trap. To get him over to the table....you will have to play by his rules.
Just me guessing but I would think that he will require three central situations:
1. No audience. It'll be a camera crew in one theater, and no one else allowed.
2. The moderator will be a non-journalist. Maybe you could select some Iowa farmer, a Topeka barber, or a retired 1990s Braves pitcher. Trump might shock people by asking that one of the three moderators be a NY City taxi driver, or a Taiwanese-American businessman.
3. The topics will be canned and known by the two candidates for at least 24 hours prior to the debate.
The odds of the journalists and special agenda folks getting around this? Near zero. Because of the biased nature of the past five election debates....most people will agree that they are almost worthless.
Frankly, I've reached a point where if I watch a debate....I will immediately turn the TV off once it concludes, and avoid the dimwit reporters trying to tell me who won or who lost. It's terribly controlled....like some Italian opera, and you just start laughing over their fake nature.
Logic? He doesn't say much.
You would ponder over this? Bias reporters as the moderators. Stupid questions. Audiences made up of 'favorite-players'.
Presidential debates didn't start up until the 1960s and it's been marginally a plus-up for Republican candidates since Reagan.
So what's this all about now? I would suggest that Trump has laid the trap. To get him over to the table....you will have to play by his rules.
Just me guessing but I would think that he will require three central situations:
1. No audience. It'll be a camera crew in one theater, and no one else allowed.
2. The moderator will be a non-journalist. Maybe you could select some Iowa farmer, a Topeka barber, or a retired 1990s Braves pitcher. Trump might shock people by asking that one of the three moderators be a NY City taxi driver, or a Taiwanese-American businessman.
3. The topics will be canned and known by the two candidates for at least 24 hours prior to the debate.
The odds of the journalists and special agenda folks getting around this? Near zero. Because of the biased nature of the past five election debates....most people will agree that they are almost worthless.
Frankly, I've reached a point where if I watch a debate....I will immediately turn the TV off once it concludes, and avoid the dimwit reporters trying to tell me who won or who lost. It's terribly controlled....like some Italian opera, and you just start laughing over their fake nature.
Thursday, 12 December 2019
Antisemitism Story
While the impeachment chatter is the number one topic right now....the President went and created a secondary topic which will get him additional negativity....over Antisemitism. It's a curious twist coming up.
So it's mostly rumors, but apparently the Present will expand out the protections against Antisemitism to campus areas. This means that if you went and did something really stupid and labeled this effort at a college in some way Antisemitic....the federal guys would come around and drag you into court.
If he'd stopped there....it might have gone to page two, but then the rumor is....the executive order coming....will make Judaism as a race/nationality as well.....not just a religion.
The hate-speech crowd? Well, they will get all hyped-up over this.
Here's the odd historical part of this story. Way back, 2,000 years ago....the Romans came into the Judah region of the Middle East and were introduced to the Judah people. Rome meant this as a conquering episode, and figured that they've go in with the same strategy and tactics as everywhere else.
The conquering strategy was a miserable failure. The residents of Judah were connected....not by a king, royal council, or laws. They were one society based on their religion, and the 'book' that tended to bind society.
As the first conquering effect failed....Rome went back to the strategy session (involving the Greeks). They returned for a second conquering effort and recognized the religion and the people.....as one single society or race. From that point, Rome gained respect.
All of this may trigger a massive amount of hate-speech but in the end, it's Trump's table because of the 2016 election.
So it's mostly rumors, but apparently the Present will expand out the protections against Antisemitism to campus areas. This means that if you went and did something really stupid and labeled this effort at a college in some way Antisemitic....the federal guys would come around and drag you into court.
If he'd stopped there....it might have gone to page two, but then the rumor is....the executive order coming....will make Judaism as a race/nationality as well.....not just a religion.
The hate-speech crowd? Well, they will get all hyped-up over this.
Here's the odd historical part of this story. Way back, 2,000 years ago....the Romans came into the Judah region of the Middle East and were introduced to the Judah people. Rome meant this as a conquering episode, and figured that they've go in with the same strategy and tactics as everywhere else.
The conquering strategy was a miserable failure. The residents of Judah were connected....not by a king, royal council, or laws. They were one society based on their religion, and the 'book' that tended to bind society.
As the first conquering effect failed....Rome went back to the strategy session (involving the Greeks). They returned for a second conquering effort and recognized the religion and the people.....as one single society or race. From that point, Rome gained respect.
All of this may trigger a massive amount of hate-speech but in the end, it's Trump's table because of the 2016 election.
Tuesday, 10 December 2019
Impeachment: Two Charges?
Yep, just two charges.
So number one....abuse of power, and number two: obstruction of Congress.
In terms of powerful summaries? The obstruction of Congress will be easily fought back with obstruction of the executive government by Congress. The abuse of power? It'll rattle around and be mostly about the Ukraine business, and if Joe Biden was the target of Trump's enthusiastic call with the 'boss' of the Ukraine.
The necessity of Hunter and Joe Biden being called in to provide sworn testimony? Well, that's part of the bigger problem. Both will refuse to play along with the subpoena. Neither will show up, and the impeachment will falter very quickly with that charge.
Great drama? Well, if you got the natural gas company from Ukraine to come over and talk about their board and how Hunter fits into it (for five years)....it might be curious to hear the rest of the story.
I would offer this judgement....Joe Biden's ethical standards won't clear this mess, and he's finished for the 2020 election. It's sad to be in this mess....because of the cocaine-addicted son (Hunter). If Joe hadn't run.....he wouldn't have come into the cross-hairs of Trump's discussions with the Ukraine. He invited this upon himself.
Lousy charges with marginal outcomes.
So number one....abuse of power, and number two: obstruction of Congress.
In terms of powerful summaries? The obstruction of Congress will be easily fought back with obstruction of the executive government by Congress. The abuse of power? It'll rattle around and be mostly about the Ukraine business, and if Joe Biden was the target of Trump's enthusiastic call with the 'boss' of the Ukraine.
The necessity of Hunter and Joe Biden being called in to provide sworn testimony? Well, that's part of the bigger problem. Both will refuse to play along with the subpoena. Neither will show up, and the impeachment will falter very quickly with that charge.
Great drama? Well, if you got the natural gas company from Ukraine to come over and talk about their board and how Hunter fits into it (for five years)....it might be curious to hear the rest of the story.
I would offer this judgement....Joe Biden's ethical standards won't clear this mess, and he's finished for the 2020 election. It's sad to be in this mess....because of the cocaine-addicted son (Hunter). If Joe hadn't run.....he wouldn't have come into the cross-hairs of Trump's discussions with the Ukraine. He invited this upon himself.
Lousy charges with marginal outcomes.
Monday, 9 December 2019
Number Story
Its an interesting statistic.
The population of the US is around 322-million people (more or less).
Half of the population (161-million) live in 9 states. Yep, just nine states.
Georgia, Texas, NY, California, Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Penn and Illinois.
The other 41 states? They make up the other half of the nation's population.
If we dumped the Electoral College? Well, those nine states would be the basic line of politicizing....to entice the majority of those residents to side with X-party.
The population of the US is around 322-million people (more or less).
Half of the population (161-million) live in 9 states. Yep, just nine states.
Georgia, Texas, NY, California, Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Penn and Illinois.
The other 41 states? They make up the other half of the nation's population.
If we dumped the Electoral College? Well, those nine states would be the basic line of politicizing....to entice the majority of those residents to side with X-party.
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