So how did the 25-to-50 death count in Puerto Rico get to 2,975?
Well....this is an interesting little story. The George Washington University public health school.....did a 'independent study' to reach the conclusion that the total number between September 2017 to Feb 2018.....was 2,975.
Actual names and death certificates? Well....NO.
They simply did a statistical average and arrived at a nice round number of 2,975.
Could another university do the same independent study and arrive at 4,080 or 2,088? Yes. That's the amusing part of the story.
So it's a college thesis project that got sucked into some national news story? More or less.
Is this even worth discussing? Not really.
Sunday, 16 September 2018
Friday, 14 September 2018
A 19-Hour Flight?
In the next month, Singapore Airlines is going open up a NY City to Singapore route....non-stop. Hours involved? The experts say roughly 19 hours of airtime.
I sat and pondered upon this. You arrive at the airport....spend roughly three hours doing the bag-drag, ticket-counter, security check-out, and then sip through two beers while waiting for your boarding. Then you take off and spend nineteen hours in the air. Then you land....go through immigration, another bag-drag, ride the taxi over to the Singapore hotel, and sit down. Total hours? You can figure 26 hours minimum.
So how do you waste nineteen hours in the air? The longest flight I've ever taken in my life was Dubai to Sydney, with around 16.5 hours in the air. I wasted four hours at the very beginning watching two movies and munching through a fairly decent dinner. Then I sat at the bar (yes, they had an actual bar in the cabin) and sipped through two cocktails and a wine. Then I slept for six hours. I woke up....added up the hours, and realized that I still five more hours to go. So I went back, reviewed my 200 movies on the menu and found something to watch.
The problem with nineteen hours on your hand....is that you can only sleep about one-third of that. Boredom? You tend to get maxed out. Toss in the fact that sixty-percent of the passengers are in some cramped-up seating arrangement and begging for relief after ten hours.
Drinking your way through the nineteen hours? I can see a dozen-odd folks on each flight who will finish off six to eight wines, maybe a similar number of cocktails, and try to just blitz themselves to sleep. Course, you might wake up five hours in the flight, with some flight emergency going on, and suddenly realize you are too drunk to really care.
Will they even haven enough people to fly each day into Singapore? That's another question I'd be interested about.
Maybe this is a trend, but I'm kinda wondering how many people get all peppy and excited about nineteen hours in the air.....just one-way.
I sat and pondered upon this. You arrive at the airport....spend roughly three hours doing the bag-drag, ticket-counter, security check-out, and then sip through two beers while waiting for your boarding. Then you take off and spend nineteen hours in the air. Then you land....go through immigration, another bag-drag, ride the taxi over to the Singapore hotel, and sit down. Total hours? You can figure 26 hours minimum.
So how do you waste nineteen hours in the air? The longest flight I've ever taken in my life was Dubai to Sydney, with around 16.5 hours in the air. I wasted four hours at the very beginning watching two movies and munching through a fairly decent dinner. Then I sat at the bar (yes, they had an actual bar in the cabin) and sipped through two cocktails and a wine. Then I slept for six hours. I woke up....added up the hours, and realized that I still five more hours to go. So I went back, reviewed my 200 movies on the menu and found something to watch.
The problem with nineteen hours on your hand....is that you can only sleep about one-third of that. Boredom? You tend to get maxed out. Toss in the fact that sixty-percent of the passengers are in some cramped-up seating arrangement and begging for relief after ten hours.
Drinking your way through the nineteen hours? I can see a dozen-odd folks on each flight who will finish off six to eight wines, maybe a similar number of cocktails, and try to just blitz themselves to sleep. Course, you might wake up five hours in the flight, with some flight emergency going on, and suddenly realize you are too drunk to really care.
Will they even haven enough people to fly each day into Singapore? That's another question I'd be interested about.
Maybe this is a trend, but I'm kinda wondering how many people get all peppy and excited about nineteen hours in the air.....just one-way.
Bloomberg in 2020?
So the rumor has started out....Micheal Bloomberg (billionaire) might run on the Democratic ticket in 2020, against President Trump.
I would offer these six observations:
1. He'll have to develop a platform, and whether he likes it or not....it has to be combination of platform promises that Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton had in 2016. So folks might be expecting something new and different, but I just don't see how you'd get around the various factions of the Democratic Party without using the same 2016 'magic'.
2. From a primary review, and considering that at least a dozen Democratic candidates will be running....he's got problems in at least thirty states. If you used the core of southern states (Alabama, Georgia, La, Ark, Tenn and Kentucky).....I don't see him winning. In states like California? He might face stiff competition. In Iowa? I'm not sure if you'd find that much interest.
3. He would have to go and promise a continual business trend as in the effort of Donald Trump. The minute you suggest getting tough on business, commerce, and reversing the jobs trend.....you lose respect of the general public.
4. The black VP? Well, here's the thing.....in order to get some black voters to return (it's near 30-percent on blacks voting for Trump now).....you have to go and find this mythical black 'magnet' for independents to feel hyped up about. Corey Booker? Marginally fitting the description. Senator Harris from California? Almost a joke. You can virtually guarantee though....that it'll be a black VP candidate. Would this convince black voters to return to the safe Democratic candidate? No, I have serious doubts over that.
5. All of this primary business leading to no clear winner before the convention? I would suggest that you'd have three or four Democrats standing there with ten to fifteen states each. So the VIP leadership of the Democratic Party arranging things to fall into place? Maybe.
6. The odds that you'd have two other wild-card independent folks running in the 2020 election, against Bloomberg and Trump? Better than a 90-percent chance. I could see someone just putting a massive effort into winning Florida alone, instead of Trump or Bloomberg. You could easily be standing there in December 2020, with no one getting 270 votes, and this being a state-by-state battle in the House, to figure out the next President. This being intentionally designed by the mid-term wins here in 2018? Well....yeah, that's a possibility.
I would offer these six observations:
1. He'll have to develop a platform, and whether he likes it or not....it has to be combination of platform promises that Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton had in 2016. So folks might be expecting something new and different, but I just don't see how you'd get around the various factions of the Democratic Party without using the same 2016 'magic'.
2. From a primary review, and considering that at least a dozen Democratic candidates will be running....he's got problems in at least thirty states. If you used the core of southern states (Alabama, Georgia, La, Ark, Tenn and Kentucky).....I don't see him winning. In states like California? He might face stiff competition. In Iowa? I'm not sure if you'd find that much interest.
3. He would have to go and promise a continual business trend as in the effort of Donald Trump. The minute you suggest getting tough on business, commerce, and reversing the jobs trend.....you lose respect of the general public.
4. The black VP? Well, here's the thing.....in order to get some black voters to return (it's near 30-percent on blacks voting for Trump now).....you have to go and find this mythical black 'magnet' for independents to feel hyped up about. Corey Booker? Marginally fitting the description. Senator Harris from California? Almost a joke. You can virtually guarantee though....that it'll be a black VP candidate. Would this convince black voters to return to the safe Democratic candidate? No, I have serious doubts over that.
5. All of this primary business leading to no clear winner before the convention? I would suggest that you'd have three or four Democrats standing there with ten to fifteen states each. So the VIP leadership of the Democratic Party arranging things to fall into place? Maybe.
6. The odds that you'd have two other wild-card independent folks running in the 2020 election, against Bloomberg and Trump? Better than a 90-percent chance. I could see someone just putting a massive effort into winning Florida alone, instead of Trump or Bloomberg. You could easily be standing there in December 2020, with no one getting 270 votes, and this being a state-by-state battle in the House, to figure out the next President. This being intentionally designed by the mid-term wins here in 2018? Well....yeah, that's a possibility.
Thursday, 13 September 2018
A Puerto Rico Memorial
For a couple of weeks, I've heard this 'chatter' about 2,975 local folks in Puerto Rico had died from the hurricane business (instead of the couple dozen widely reported in the month after the event).
So I have this nifty idea. I think the Senators should get together and make a memorial-type statue in San Juan, and have all of the 2,975 names listed on the memorial.
Course, the question is.....is there actually a list of the dead folks? You know....the 2,975 folks?
It ought to be a big memorial.....worth at least 10-million in my humble opinion, and ought to have some fancy night-lights and maybe a scripture or two written on it to remember the folks who died.
So I have this nifty idea. I think the Senators should get together and make a memorial-type statue in San Juan, and have all of the 2,975 names listed on the memorial.
Course, the question is.....is there actually a list of the dead folks? You know....the 2,975 folks?
It ought to be a big memorial.....worth at least 10-million in my humble opinion, and ought to have some fancy night-lights and maybe a scripture or two written on it to remember the folks who died.
Google Talk
I sat and looked over political news this morning.....over how folks are hyped up over Google's executive talking after the November 2016 election, and how upset employees and managers were of the Hillary loss. At some meeting, the bosses even talked on how voters needed to be 'educated' or taught how to handle voting.
After the 1972 presidential election (a dismal defeat for McGovern, with almost 20 points separating him from Nixon)....a lot of the leadership were consumed with a pro-McGovern attitude, and started chatting about 'stupid' voters and how they needed to educate society on how to handle voting.
The thing that bothers me here....you see Google executives, along with those of Twitter and Facebook....resolved to some type of political games.
Would you expect that out of GM, Coke, Pizza Hut, Costco, or Honda? No.
If this kind of behavior were coming from the Kansas City Royals, Dallas Cowboys or Chicago Bulls? No, you wouldn't accept that either.
If this were Hollywood studios producing Marvel-theme movies related to politics or pro-Hillary type scenarios? No, you wouldn't accept that either.
Would it bother you if your burger chain was all hyped-up and attempted to be a pro-Hillary burger chain?
Would it bother you if your toilet paper makers were all hyped and attempted to be a pro-Hillary toilet paper company?
If I were holding stock with Google, Facebook or Twitter.....I'd be asking questions about work-time and political-time, and how this amounts to some kind of profit.
After the 1972 presidential election (a dismal defeat for McGovern, with almost 20 points separating him from Nixon)....a lot of the leadership were consumed with a pro-McGovern attitude, and started chatting about 'stupid' voters and how they needed to educate society on how to handle voting.
The thing that bothers me here....you see Google executives, along with those of Twitter and Facebook....resolved to some type of political games.
Would you expect that out of GM, Coke, Pizza Hut, Costco, or Honda? No.
If this kind of behavior were coming from the Kansas City Royals, Dallas Cowboys or Chicago Bulls? No, you wouldn't accept that either.
If this were Hollywood studios producing Marvel-theme movies related to politics or pro-Hillary type scenarios? No, you wouldn't accept that either.
Would it bother you if your burger chain was all hyped-up and attempted to be a pro-Hillary burger chain?
Would it bother you if your toilet paper makers were all hyped and attempted to be a pro-Hillary toilet paper company?
If I were holding stock with Google, Facebook or Twitter.....I'd be asking questions about work-time and political-time, and how this amounts to some kind of profit.
Tuesday, 11 September 2018
What was the Hillary 'Dirt'?
It's an odd part of this nightly news agenda story, which continually goes back to the Russians having 'dirt' on Hillary. At no point, in the past eighteen months.....has anyone said what exactly the Russians had for 'dirt'. It's amusing in a way.....it gets brought up, and then 'glazed over'. No one ever asks....what dirt?
Did the Russians ever have real 'dirt'? No one can say.
Did the Russians have fake 'dirt'? No one can say.
Did the Russians think they had dirt and really.....it didn't amount to anything? No one can say.
Did the FBI believe they had 'dirt'? No one can say.
Did Hillary believe they had 'dirt'? No one can say.
Did Trump believe they had 'dirt'? No one can say.
One could write a 500-page book on the whole story, except never say precisely.....what dirt really existed....if any.
It's just an odd thing. Here was the pee-dossier existing, but no such Hillary-dirt-dossier existing?
Did the Russians ever have real 'dirt'? No one can say.
Did the Russians have fake 'dirt'? No one can say.
Did the Russians think they had dirt and really.....it didn't amount to anything? No one can say.
Did the FBI believe they had 'dirt'? No one can say.
Did Hillary believe they had 'dirt'? No one can say.
Did Trump believe they had 'dirt'? No one can say.
One could write a 500-page book on the whole story, except never say precisely.....what dirt really existed....if any.
It's just an odd thing. Here was the pee-dossier existing, but no such Hillary-dirt-dossier existing?
Saturday, 8 September 2018
The North Carolina Story
This week, ICE (our border protection folks) came out to North Carolina and laid down a legal request for all voting lists in the state. North Carolina? They've gone to court to prevent the records going over to ICE. What'll happen? Some federal judge might be able to stall this for 60 days (my suspicion) but on appeals....ICE will get the records by the end of the year.
So what happens then?
They will NOT review for dead voters, or voters from other states who vote multiple times.
What they will review for? Foreign students who are registered to vote and on a student visa (easy to check), and then look at names that pop up under work-visas.
How many might pop-up? One can only guess. Wake Forest, Duke, and NCS attract foreign students. I might be willing to bet that at least 500 will show up as registered to vote. On the work-visa business? I might suggest that 5,000 to 15,000 might show up in registered to vote. All total? You might actually get near the 15,000 to 20,000.
But having this out in front and prior to the November 2018 election? Well....if I was stupid and illegally registered....I would NOT be going to vote, and maybe in the Duke area and around the Raleigh area....folks might be too scared to show up and vote.
The question is.....after you finish up the analysis and begin to go and pick up people.....like foreign students....then you do up charges, it's going to scare folks across the nation. But I don't think ICE is done. This will only be choice number one. My humble guess is that by August of 2019....they've gone and picked two to four additional states.
Over the next five years, ICE might continue and review all fifty states. I hate to suggest it.....but you might find well over 50,000 foreign students in the US....who are registered to vote. Foreign-work-visa people? There might be well over 300,000 nationally registered to vote.
All of this...as it leads out into the public and people have a chance to understand the dynamics of fake voters, will simply infuriate the public on how corrupted the voting system has become.
So what happens then?
They will NOT review for dead voters, or voters from other states who vote multiple times.
What they will review for? Foreign students who are registered to vote and on a student visa (easy to check), and then look at names that pop up under work-visas.
How many might pop-up? One can only guess. Wake Forest, Duke, and NCS attract foreign students. I might be willing to bet that at least 500 will show up as registered to vote. On the work-visa business? I might suggest that 5,000 to 15,000 might show up in registered to vote. All total? You might actually get near the 15,000 to 20,000.
But having this out in front and prior to the November 2018 election? Well....if I was stupid and illegally registered....I would NOT be going to vote, and maybe in the Duke area and around the Raleigh area....folks might be too scared to show up and vote.
The question is.....after you finish up the analysis and begin to go and pick up people.....like foreign students....then you do up charges, it's going to scare folks across the nation. But I don't think ICE is done. This will only be choice number one. My humble guess is that by August of 2019....they've gone and picked two to four additional states.
Over the next five years, ICE might continue and review all fifty states. I hate to suggest it.....but you might find well over 50,000 foreign students in the US....who are registered to vote. Foreign-work-visa people? There might be well over 300,000 nationally registered to vote.
All of this...as it leads out into the public and people have a chance to understand the dynamics of fake voters, will simply infuriate the public on how corrupted the voting system has become.
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