What I think happened with this Mitt Romney Op-Ed, criticizing President Trump?
I think some Russian collusion agents wrote it for Mitt and he just signed the bottom of the 'letter'.
There are Russian agents everywhere, and these were probably the same agents who helped Mitt in his 2012 election campaign (to lose).
//sarcasm off//
Wednesday, 2 January 2019
Tuesday, 1 January 2019
Senator Warren in the 2020 Presidential Race
Iowa's caucus matters.
For Democrats, statistically....if you can't pull out a first-place finish, then you have problems. I just don't see Senator Warren doing well (maybe a 3rd or 4th place finish in Iowa).
So you come to New Hampshire (a definite win for Warren), then Nevada, and South Carolina (both likely to be 3rd place 'wins').
As Warren goes off to aim for the 3 March event (nine primaries)....I can only suggest two sure-fire wins (Mass and Vermont). She might pull a second-place win in California, but for the remaining six states....it's a dismal 3rd or 4th place.
A week will then pass, and you come to the 10 March episode, with six primaries. She might have a chance in Michigan and Ohio, but it's dependent on the other candidates in the running.
I expect Warren to shutdown the operation by 11 March, with four to five state wins (at best).
I admit, if this was an awful weak group in 2020 (like the Hillary/Bernie year in 2016), then she could win forty states. But the minute you put her up in debates and then mix three or four decent candidates of Bernie's level, then her odds go rapidly into decline.
But this is mostly geared to get her into a VP or Secretary of State job.
For Democrats, statistically....if you can't pull out a first-place finish, then you have problems. I just don't see Senator Warren doing well (maybe a 3rd or 4th place finish in Iowa).
So you come to New Hampshire (a definite win for Warren), then Nevada, and South Carolina (both likely to be 3rd place 'wins').
As Warren goes off to aim for the 3 March event (nine primaries)....I can only suggest two sure-fire wins (Mass and Vermont). She might pull a second-place win in California, but for the remaining six states....it's a dismal 3rd or 4th place.
A week will then pass, and you come to the 10 March episode, with six primaries. She might have a chance in Michigan and Ohio, but it's dependent on the other candidates in the running.
I expect Warren to shutdown the operation by 11 March, with four to five state wins (at best).
I admit, if this was an awful weak group in 2020 (like the Hillary/Bernie year in 2016), then she could win forty states. But the minute you put her up in debates and then mix three or four decent candidates of Bernie's level, then her odds go rapidly into decline.
But this is mostly geared to get her into a VP or Secretary of State job.
Monday, 31 December 2018
The Truth About the Wall
After much thought, and pondering....I have come to five observations about the Trump-Wall.
1. Upon reaching such a wall....if you are young and fit, you can probably scale the Wall. Folks over the age of thirty...those in poor physical shape....won't be able to scale it. In a way, it's sending a message, if you are an older guy, or a out-of-shape gal....don't bother attempting to sneak into the US.
2. For the smuggler crowd who tended to lead folks through some 'secret' trail.....your entire strategy and long-term success is now dependent on scaling the wall. The odds of taking twenty folks (paying customers) and getting them over the wall? I might suggest that smuggler crowd will thin out and only those in the age group of 15 to 25 years old....will be smuggler 'bosses'.
3. Somewhere along this whole wall business, I suspect that some sensors or detection devices will be installed, and it'll just add more difficulty in entering.
4. A mythical 'legend' will start up over the wall. Just in some fake legend-status.....folks will discuss the matter and start to have second thoughts of making the trip up to the border.
5. At some point, Mexico will react, and have to build an entire wall along it's southern front, and start to protect it's own integrity.
1. Upon reaching such a wall....if you are young and fit, you can probably scale the Wall. Folks over the age of thirty...those in poor physical shape....won't be able to scale it. In a way, it's sending a message, if you are an older guy, or a out-of-shape gal....don't bother attempting to sneak into the US.
2. For the smuggler crowd who tended to lead folks through some 'secret' trail.....your entire strategy and long-term success is now dependent on scaling the wall. The odds of taking twenty folks (paying customers) and getting them over the wall? I might suggest that smuggler crowd will thin out and only those in the age group of 15 to 25 years old....will be smuggler 'bosses'.
3. Somewhere along this whole wall business, I suspect that some sensors or detection devices will be installed, and it'll just add more difficulty in entering.
4. A mythical 'legend' will start up over the wall. Just in some fake legend-status.....folks will discuss the matter and start to have second thoughts of making the trip up to the border.
5. At some point, Mexico will react, and have to build an entire wall along it's southern front, and start to protect it's own integrity.
Sunday, 30 December 2018
How I See Ocasio-Cortez (OC)
In a few short days, Ms Ocasio-Cortez will arrive in DC, and take up her job for the next two years. I tend to expect the news media (particularly CNN).....to have her up for opinion-pieces at least once every single week.
But I also expect that reality will dawn upon Ocasio-Cortez as she realizes that she is merely one of 435 members, and a number of her associates (from the Democratic group).....will see her as some 5th-grade kid operating a candy shop.
I will forever remember this scene at the end of the movie 'Being There', where you realize that Chance has hit the big time and doesn't really grasp the world he's entered. I see this fifth-grade kid mentality being in the same landscape.
Some journalists will suggest that her arrival is 'fresh' and uplifting. Some people sitting back in the homes will be laughing over the description and wonder how juvenile the journalist is.
But I also expect that reality will dawn upon Ocasio-Cortez as she realizes that she is merely one of 435 members, and a number of her associates (from the Democratic group).....will see her as some 5th-grade kid operating a candy shop.
I will forever remember this scene at the end of the movie 'Being There', where you realize that Chance has hit the big time and doesn't really grasp the world he's entered. I see this fifth-grade kid mentality being in the same landscape.
Some journalists will suggest that her arrival is 'fresh' and uplifting. Some people sitting back in the homes will be laughing over the description and wonder how juvenile the journalist is.
Saturday, 29 December 2018
On Vacations
My brother brought up the topic of vacations this weekend. As a kid in Alabama, you more or less....went on 'farm-adventure-trips'. My dad had three basic ingredients for his vision of a vacation: (1) the time away from the farm could be three days and two nights, (2) some element of this trip had to be tied farming, and (3) you tended to leave at 4 AM on day one.
For me, the most interesting trip was the one where we ended up at the 'Arch' in St Louis and actually rode to the top in that train-vehicle. I stood there for an hour admiring the 'Arch' and the amount of effort it took to construct it.
For me, the road-trip was 50-percent of the enjoyment of the trip because you got to see a lot of the country. Around a dozen years after the 'Arch' trip....I had a two-week period of leave with the Air Force, and drove from Louisiana....out to Arizona/Vegas, and then got onto Highway 1 in California and drove all the way up to Seattle.....then returned via the Rockies. After that, I got the road-trip thing out of my system.
The most chilled-out vacation I ever took? Around twenty years ago....I got talked into a trip to Denmark and rented a 1890s-built farm house about three miles from the Danish beach area for two weeks. Yes, this place had this odd mildew smell, but this was the two-week period where it only rained one single afternoon, and I rode a dozen times on a bike out to the beach. We brought tons of beef in a cooler and bar-b-q'ed almost daily. I probably had the lowest blood-pressure of my entire life at the end of that two weeks.
The most challenging trip? I had that 2017 Dubai-New Zealand trip which had nearly forty listed items tied into that 17-day period....from airline reservations, parking reservations for the car, hotels, car rentals, tours, shuttle bus pick-ups, etc. I probably spent well over a hundred man-hours in the planning stage and executing the arrangements. I had a binder in my carry-on bag which listed out times, phone numbers, emergency arrangements, maps to nearby restaurants, etc. My dad's arrangement business? Other than a packed bag and a box of cheap cigars.....that was it. Whatever happened.....happened.
For me, the most interesting trip was the one where we ended up at the 'Arch' in St Louis and actually rode to the top in that train-vehicle. I stood there for an hour admiring the 'Arch' and the amount of effort it took to construct it.
For me, the road-trip was 50-percent of the enjoyment of the trip because you got to see a lot of the country. Around a dozen years after the 'Arch' trip....I had a two-week period of leave with the Air Force, and drove from Louisiana....out to Arizona/Vegas, and then got onto Highway 1 in California and drove all the way up to Seattle.....then returned via the Rockies. After that, I got the road-trip thing out of my system.
The most chilled-out vacation I ever took? Around twenty years ago....I got talked into a trip to Denmark and rented a 1890s-built farm house about three miles from the Danish beach area for two weeks. Yes, this place had this odd mildew smell, but this was the two-week period where it only rained one single afternoon, and I rode a dozen times on a bike out to the beach. We brought tons of beef in a cooler and bar-b-q'ed almost daily. I probably had the lowest blood-pressure of my entire life at the end of that two weeks.
The most challenging trip? I had that 2017 Dubai-New Zealand trip which had nearly forty listed items tied into that 17-day period....from airline reservations, parking reservations for the car, hotels, car rentals, tours, shuttle bus pick-ups, etc. I probably spent well over a hundred man-hours in the planning stage and executing the arrangements. I had a binder in my carry-on bag which listed out times, phone numbers, emergency arrangements, maps to nearby restaurants, etc. My dad's arrangement business? Other than a packed bag and a box of cheap cigars.....that was it. Whatever happened.....happened.
Question of the Day
If Hillary had never married Bill Clinton....never gone to Arkansas....never bought cattle futures....never bought that Whitewater property....never developed the Clinton Foundation....and never been installed that stupid bathroom server for her State Department job....would she be President today?
Short answer in my mind? Yes.
It was Bill, his ambitions, the Arkansas years, and all that hype that made her into such a marginalized individual for national office.
Without the evil intent.....she's be a nicer person, and less 'shady'. She would have married some fake GOP guy, and eventually pretended to be like John McCain....a 'Republican in name only'.
Now I'll go back to slide down twelve shots of Jacky D's for this crazed moment of pondering.
Short answer in my mind? Yes.
It was Bill, his ambitions, the Arkansas years, and all that hype that made her into such a marginalized individual for national office.
Without the evil intent.....she's be a nicer person, and less 'shady'. She would have married some fake GOP guy, and eventually pretended to be like John McCain....a 'Republican in name only'.
Now I'll go back to slide down twelve shots of Jacky D's for this crazed moment of pondering.
Friday, 28 December 2018
The Trump Tax Return ''Torture"
When the Democrats arrive in January and get the whole hype of getting to Trump tax returns....there's a law which covers this. It basically says that the heat of committee (not his agents, or lawyers, or staff members).....but the Representative himself or herself....is the one who will go and read/review.
Here's the thing....each yearly return, for probably over twenty years.....has been in the 500 to 700 page situation. So even for a CPA-House Member to sit there and read the one single year in question....you'd be talking about an entire month. For a non-CPA-House guy? Just go and imagine the pain and torture of grasping this 500-page document.
Here's the thing....each yearly return, for probably over twenty years.....has been in the 500 to 700 page situation. So even for a CPA-House Member to sit there and read the one single year in question....you'd be talking about an entire month. For a non-CPA-House guy? Just go and imagine the pain and torture of grasping this 500-page document.
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