Sunday, 8 August 2021

What Did Landlords Learn After the Eviction Drama of 2020/2021

 I suspect over the next hundred days.....two things will come up and be a sort of 'lessons-learned' experience.

First, I think landlords are going to be extremely tough on knowing the future rental clients, and ask for a complete background check.  It won't be a 100-percent of them, but I would imagine around two-thirds of all landlords will be checking the past history.  If you were part of this no-pay crowd?  You probably won't find that many landlords willing to give you a fresh new chance.   

Second, something of a legal nature is going to be added to rental contracts....where you sign for a 'damages-clause', and if you fail on rent for an excessive period (probably four months)....you agree to a fee (maybe up to $1,000 or more) to be paid as a settlement upon eviction.  

The rental properties of value?  Those landlords will not be happy over the losses, and this will be a harsh new reality for the renting crowd to get used to over the next decade.  

So to this final prospective of mine....I think the mobile-home properties will start to be fairly popular with the eviction crowd.  You will find a cheapo $6k used trailer and park it for less than $200 a month, in a crappy trailer-park.  

Ten Things That Don't Make Sense

 1.  The idea of a mandated vaccination digital passport being 'Ok'....but a mandated ID (either plastic, or digital) for voting not Ok?

2.  The idea that 25-percent of your daily news is 'gut-America' being well received?

3.  The continued fake-use of the word 'bipartisan' in politics?

4.  Geraldo Rivera looks the same today, as he did in 1991?

5.  If you asked a thousand people what the Watergate incident was about....only about 30 of them can answer that question. 

6.  News on CNN would cease to exist if the House/Senate took a two-month long no-work period, and all were forced to exit DC (go home).

7.  Probably over 30-percent of Americans can name the governor of NY (Cuomo) but not name their own state governor.

8.  There are now more people portraying hypocritical-fake behavior than genuine behavior.

9.  If you had a public poll over trust....with only the CDC, and FEMA.....FEMA  would likely win by a score of two to one.

10.   There's just as much interest in Charles Manson today....as in 1969.  Nothing has lessened.  

Hysteria-Prone

 In the old days (at least before 2000).....most people defined hysteria as a psychological disorder which meant you needed to visit a particular doctor and probably spend four weeks at a special clinic.  

These were people that professed that they'd seen hovering alien UFOs near their barn and they'd gone into a 'turbo-like' mental decline.  They weren't dangerous, but they weren't 'trusted' to the degree they'd been before.  

A great example of hysteria is the Salem witchcraft trials of 1692/1693.  In this small community of a couple hundred folks....a couple of these teenage girls had reached a stage of hysteria that they truly believed themselves or others were engaged in witchcraft.  In a matter of days, they had the entire village driven by this belief and were willing to destroy the stability of the village to get to the bottom of the witchcraft business.  

The chief people in the middle of this?  Oddly enough....those who weren't consumed with the passion or determination of the Puritan 'lifestyle' and religious cause.  Obviously, without the passion....they must be connected to Satan.

How many died during this witch process?  Nineteen.

If I look around today....via Twitter, Facebook, CNN, and a dozen-odd news or social media players....I see the same type of hysteria being played out.  

There is social justice hysteria.  There's Covid hysteria.  There's vaccination hysteria.  There's gender hysteria.  There's border hysteria.  There's eviction hysteria.  There's college loan hysteria.  There's environmental, climate-change and global-warming hysteria.  There's Marxism hysteria.  There's capitalism hysteria.  There's defund-the-police hysteria.  

If you flipped the local news on at 6 AM.....there's various examples of hysteria being played-out even in your local town or region.  As you drive to work.....hype-radio wants you to get hysteria over a dog-attack, fire-ants, or some crazy women who was naked along highway 44.  

In simple terms.....the mess is just feeding you day after day.  

So chill out....skip the news for a few days.  Go camping for a week.  Paint the barn roof.  Shoot off some fireworks.  

Life's too short to waste it on a hyped-up hysteria campaign.  

Saturday, 7 August 2021

Renters, Evictions and States

 CNBC actually did a four-star analysis piece....over eviction folks, states, and who owes the most.

So here's the thing....the average American owes $3,700 for back rent.  Yes, that's it.

I looked at the map, and its a curious piece.

What the average Alabama guy on the back-rent deal owes?  Between $2k and $3k.  

What the average California guy owes on back-rent?  More than $5k.

In 19 states, the amount is $2k to $3k.  Those particular states?  Mostly all 'red' states and in the south.

By their analysis.....around 11-million fit into the back-rent issue.

So, should all of this chaos been handled back six months ago....like early on in March of 2021, under a fired-up and getter-done President Joe Biden?  Well....common sense says yes.

My gut feeling is that the sixteen-percent of American renters in this bucket....would all prefer to avoid living out of a tent, and not being kicked out of their apartment/house.  But this would mean that Covid needs to shift back into being a marginal worry...something that Biden is simply unable to accomplish.  

So I recommend a read of the story, and compare the numbers yourself.

Why Did Pelosi Ask For a Sixty-Day Situation on the Eviction Moratorium?

 As things unfolded in the past week.....House Speaker Pelosi basically asked the President to use 'imaginary' powers to delay the eviction moratorium one more time (roughly sixty days).  Biden said sure, but he also said clearly....legal minds told him such powers didn't exist. 

So the question is....what did Pelosi have in the 'magic-bag' to work out if Biden's imaginary powers did give her sixty days?

I sat and pondered over this and finally came to this idea.  I think she wanted to draft up a package of a massive amount of funding (probably over 300-billion dollars)....that would be gifted out to every single eviction situation and bring the landlords all back up to zero losses.  Then on top of that....maybe some ninety day amount of relief....telling everyone to just go back to work.

An insult to people who worked through this period, and paid the landlords on time?  Yeah....without any doubt.

Will this strategy be laid out in the next week or two....within the House?  That's my humble belief.  Getting this past the Senate?  Hard to say.

The key thing to think about....all this Covid-downtime business....who is to say that you just need fast cash to resolve this and enough 'loot' to cover things to November?  In California for example....I don't see the economy in recovery for at least another year.  New York City?  Same way.

It's a stupid strategy, but the only way that you'd keep the 8-million-odd people in a residence, and not ending up as hobos on the street....living out of a tent under a interstate bridge.  

The 'Dossier' Story

 I read the National Examiner yesterday, and this one story sticks out.  Former National Security folks under Trump now say enough effort by China on personal data of people....reached a level where they can practically build a 'dossier' on every single American adult.

I sat and pondered over this.

My 'dossier'?  It probably says a bit over my preference for cheesecake.....my normal expenses for ice cream per year....a list of Amazon purchases over the last year....my preference of Ironman over Thor....my general dislike of the NY Yankees....my preference for railway travel....that last speeding ticket I had to pay....my preference for ice tea (no sugar added)....a weakness for Italian food, and the fact that the cat has sent the wife to the hospital for emergency stiches on two occasions.  

My brother's dossier?  It probably talks over his preference for catfish (without the garlic), his selection for dogfood, beer preferences and a list of ammo purchases. 

Lets be honest....whatever kind of dossier they think they have....about 99-percent of it is marginal information and really doesn't say much. Wo-wan probably sits there in the basement of the building....thinking mostly....these folks live pretty quiet and non-stressed lives.  

Thursday, 5 August 2021

My Biggest Question over Gobecki Tepe

 Out on the far southeastern section of Turkey.....on a small hilltop...there's this ancient ruins that was discovered around sixty years ago, and in the 1990s....they'd dug enough up to set up a pretty serious discussion.

Here is a stone 'religious-area' (fair amount of stone cutting done), which they can date back to around 7400 BC.  

What bothers the dig-crowd is that they had most humans of the time assigned the task of hunters....not the farmer or settler type.  So constructing this site (others around too)....there was a fairly long period (probably more than ten years) that stone carvers were doing this business.

But I tend to have an even bigger question.  

Once this was built....things stayed active for about a thousand years.  Then....someone came along and covered the area up.  They didn't dismantle or destroy the religious site....they simply buried it.  

Why?

Most folks who go through some anti-religious situation....go to great lengths to destroy what stands there.  These people didn't do that.  

Amount of effort to cover it up?  Even if you had three-hundred people....I'd take a guess that at least six to eight weeks (minimum)were spent in hauling the dirt up and covering the site.  

So what happened?  My humble guess is that ten to fifteen generations of folks from this region (draw a circle of 1,000 miles) made a 'walk' to this site every couple of years and locals who'd settled that region were getting frustrated with tens of thousands of people who'd show up.  So one year, the locals did a quick burial of the site and announced some mysterious event had occurred and wiped out the whole site.  

Maybe for another thousand years, locals knew the whole story but kept their mouth shut.