Friday, 10 January 2025

My Assessment Of This California Fire Business

 In the end  (probably the middle of next week)....I'll say near 250,000-plus are burned-out.  Most of them will have fire-insurance, but I'd take a fair guess (based on news accounts)....that 10-percent didn't have fire insurance.

So problem number one....while you might have insurance and be told in two to three  months....a check will come....you get some negative feelings about rebuilding/staying in California.

Then the issue of getting insurance money and rebuilding.  You ask a expert on it, and he indicates that if want a building permit....under normal conditions....it'd be 18-to-36 months before approval comes.  Then he says....with this mass mess......it might be 8-to-10 years now.  So you review options.....and by August....exit California.  My guess?  From the ultra-wealthy.....roughly 90-percent  leave.   From the middle-class....50-percent  leave.

Affect on the 2030 Census?  200,000 fewer people in the region.

People just dumping the empty lot onto the state, and refusing to pay property taxes?  I'd say by June....that's a major problem, and the state admitting that property tax income is a serious loss.

Lawsuits? Some lawyers will band together and 100-billion lawsuits are engaged....with the city, county and state being accused of incompetence.  Insurance coverage by the county and city?  They will be given a warning that massive increases will occur if they lose this case.  Property tax increases in 2026?  I'd go and suggest two to three times in terms of a increase  will occur, with even more people leaving.


Wednesday, 8 January 2025

The Unfair Advantages In Life

 Back in 1980, I took a community college class in logic-101.  It was taught by a visiting Italian professor, who went through 30-odd exercises per evening class....that mostly geared you to exercise your mind....determine pluses/minuses, and come to the rational best guess decision.  Oddly, at the end of the semester....there was simply a class meeting with no test.  We had to discuss rational decisions and how best guesses guided you in life.

Yeah, it probably was the best college class I ever took, and had value for  my entire life.

I've probably used logic at least forty times a day....for most of my life. It simply makes sense.

Unfair advantage?  I saw this story today and thought about this for an hour.  

Even if you talked over logical decisions and trying to resolve problems....I'd assume 50-perent of people are prone to be anti-logic, and have a mindset to always make a poor decisions.  

Processing The 3 Canadian Territories Into The US?

 Up on the northern 'front'....lays the Yukon (bumping against Alaska), the Northwest Territory (in the middle) and on the right....Nunavut.

Populations?  Yukon  (46.7k), Nunavut (41k) and the Northwest Territory at 44.7k.

None of the three are big enough (population-wise) to be states....however, if  you bump  Greenland into a deal and offer them statehood (having only 55,000)....you'd have bump these three eventually (say in a dozen years) as states.

Processing all three as one individual state?  It makes more sense, but status-wise....I think all three would complain.


New States And Their Likely Names

 1.  British Columbia?  The original folks from the region....Squamish tribal folks....gave the name  K'emk'emeláy̓ which happens to mean "place of many maple trees".

K'emk'emeláy̓ would likely be used.

2.  Alberta likely stays Alberta.

3.  Saskatchewan would likely change....the Cree tribe used the name originally of  “Kisiskatchewanisipi”.

4.  Manitoba?  It would revert to a Cree tribal name of 'Manitou'.

5.  Ontario?  Skanadario....meaning sparkling waters....to the regional Indians.

6.  Quebec?  It stays Quebec....that was the original Indian word.

7.  New Brunswick?  The Indians didn't really have a name for the area, but when the first folks arrived in 1690.....they got to calling it Prigmore's Swamp....after a local guy who lived in the region.

Personally, I like Prigmore Swamp.

8. Novo Scotia?  Well....the Indians used “Mi'kma'ki”, and the French called it “Acadia”.  Either name would work.

9.   Newfoundland?   The Inuttitut/Inuktitut name was Ikkarumikluak, meaning "place of many shoals".  Would work fine.

10.  Prince Edward Island? Local Indians called Prince Edward Island “Abegweit”, which means “cradled in the waves”. 

I should also note that as French settlers came in....they called it “Île St-Jean”.  Isle  of Saint Jean.....would be a nifty state name.

Am I going too far?  No.

I'd make this a regional vote process.....put down two or three name options, and just let people  pick their choice.

Tuesday, 7 January 2025

This Expansion Chatter

 A year ago, if you'd said that Canada and Greenland might be on some path to a US status....I would have laughed.  Today?  I think if you engaged the Greenland (56,000)....around 75-percent would at least talk over the deal  and ask questions. 

Part of this issue....there's a serious disconnect between two Greenland  groups....the 'elite' folks (numbering around 20 percent) are pro-Denmark, and want to keep that status going. The 'other' folks are more of a native Indian/Eskimo situation and lean mostly toward an independent status (dumping Denmark).

Offering a deal, and statehood? It's crazy but you might wake up by the end of 2026...with a five-year plan to bring them in as a state. 

I also think....as this starts to occur....Guam is likely to get a statehood status (172k population). 

As for Canada?  Look....polling typically suggests that maybe a quarter of the population (40-million) might look favorably at this idea of getting statehood status with the US.

Reality?  Economically...over the past decade....things have gone south, and there's a bitterness building up. It's possible that you might get near 50-percent agreeable to statehood  status.

But then it comes up....10 provinces, and 3 territories.....how would you design this?  Ten new states?  Maybe 13 new states?

So could we wake up in 2030, and find 15 new states?  I give it a 10-percent  chance.

Confusing?  Yeah, but that's the key gimmick of this 'sale'....actual 'change'.  

Are there going to be anti-expand folks?  I would imagine CNN is recruiting ten experts to play this role.  

Sunday, 5 January 2025

Ten Things I Tend To Believe Or Disbelieve

 1.  The US funds or runs at least forty-odd biological weapon labs outside of the US....it just makes me wonder what exactly of value do you have with so many?  It's like a paint-by-numbers picture, where I'm missing the '1' and '8'.

2.  If you are lined up to believe Joe Biden has dementia....what year do you  start?  2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, or 2024?  I'm leaning toward January 2020.  I also think the court system will come up shortly....saying the pardons and executive orders are invalid because of his dementia.

3.  I'd be willing to lay down a $1,000 bet....the Army medical folks won't admit what drugs they were prescribing to the Vegas special forces guy.

4.  Even if you put warning labels on booze bottles (booze causes cancer).....I still think out of 10,000 booze-drinkers....9,998 would still consume the same amount of booze.

5.   I'm leaning toward the alien-Grays existing, and that they might not be a friendly sort of alien.

6.   I expect by the end of 2025.....some effort to force all 75-and-older Senators/Congressmen to retire.

7.  I don't think any news attention will occur with Barak Obama, from 20 January on.

8.  Ball-play in the NBA is so bad....that I think the 2025 audience will shrink by 30-percent. 

9.  I suspect by the end of 2025....more than 100 bank brands will have collapsed....mostly holding commercial real estate  that is worthless.  

10 I think a US versus the Mexican cartel 'war' will start by May, and shock people to the extent of destruction.  The price of drugs in the US by August?  Triple what you were paying in April.

Saturday, 4 January 2025

The Re-Charge 'History' Of The Cyber-Truck Army Guy

 Thanks to Tesla....you can review the route taken by the supposedly dead Army guy from the Vegas Trump Hotel.

First stop for recharging after picking up the vehicle?  Leaving Denver, he arrives at Monument, Colorado....a 59-mile ride.  Yeah, you typically get 340 miles on one charge.  So it is awful  early in the trip to charge-up.

Second stop?  Trinidad, CO.  He got 148 miles on this charge-up.

I should note here....a typical complete charge would take 2.5 hours.  If you didn't need a full charge....then 60 to 90 minutes would be enough.

Third stop?  Las Vegas, NM.  130 miles accomplished on this 'leg'.

Fourth stop? 127 miles 'leg'....arriving in Albuquerque.

Fifth stop?  Gallup, NM.  144 mile leg.

Sixth stop?  Holbrook, NM.  95 mile leg.

Seventh stop? Flagstaff, AZ.   90 mile leg.

Eighth stop?   Kingman, AZ.  146 mile leg.

Finally arriving in Las Vegas and last charge-up.  107 mile leg.

So you do the math here....about every 100 miles of driving (assuming at 70 mph)....he's pausing for 90 minutes minimum....to charge-up.

Was there a more direct route?  Yes....but you would avoid that in winter....typically.

Is he charging up a lot?  This is a region with limited off-ramps, and limited charging stations.  You can't be picky.

Is he sleeping and resting in these pauses? Well....this part of the story....you don't know.  FBI says he didn't rent a hotel room....it was go-and-pause for the whole  trip.

Using camping gear?  Well...he bought the gear prior to the trip....so you assume he was camping in some way.

Most economic vehicle for this drive to Vegas?  Back in early 2024, it was in the $225 range (per-day).  It's NOT a cheap vehicle to rent.

If you were asking me for a vehicle to rent, then to drive from Denver to Vegas....out of a thousand  possibilities.....this would rank near the bottom.  

Do I believe any part of the suicide story, the gravitational drones, etc?  No....it just all seems faked-up.  It could be a paranoid shizophrenic episode, with a drug mixture....with one or two pieces of facts, and  the other 70-percent of the story being faked-up....either by this guy, the gov't, or some 'friend'.