After looking at the videos, the 200 'experts' chatting on the event, and the limited number of facts, I've come to five observations:
1. While this Iranian military vessel comes up and they 'remove' (take) something off the side of the vessel....you can't be sure of what they took. There's no evidence left there, that you can pin onto Iran (at least not yet).
2. Taking the crew off that rescue vessel (from the oil tanker being abandoned)....was just plain stupid. It has no return value, and if you claimed that you rescued them....folks just sit and laugh over the suggestion of such.
3. Oil prices will escalate over the next month. Insurance rates go up, and shipping companies will ask for 25-to-50 percent more to transport out of the region.
4. Did Iran put the mines or shoot the torpedos (no solid evidence of either to establish truth)? It's pretty stupid as a tactic, and likely to hurt your 'friends' more than the US. It wouldn't surprise me if some third-party laid the mines out there and Iran gets the blame. The fact that you could go to a dozen countries (even North Korea) and buy sea-mines via a commercial company? No one has brought that up, but it's very possible.
5. Does this all give Saudi Arabia more evidence to get hyper on arming-up? Well....yeah.
So my response would be simple. Don't aggravate or attack on Iran. Simply start a convey pattern to lead tankers out of the Gulf with three or four US vessels leading the tankers (set to every other day), and set a five-mile path of 'doom' for any Iranian military vessel coming near the convoy (just blast it enough that they get the message). Move five US and Brit attack-subs into the area, and allow them to hunt any Iranian sub entering the convoy path, and destroy it (without announcements). All of this will lead folks to suggest a oil pipeline (from Iraq, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia) over to the Red Sea.
On the stupidity level....if this was an Iranian strategy....it's a full-up '10', and doesn't really solve much of anything.
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