Over the past ten-odd days, NBC News went to a great length to find a video, which had footage of Trump with this Epstein guy (noted in the news, and currently sitting in jail because the judge won't issue a release).
What's odd about this...is that the video comes from almost thirty years ago.
It's amazing....to consider all the vast investigative journalism that exists with NBC News, and you haven't really seen much of any of this.....for almost twenty years. Suddenly now? It shows up?
People sit there in disbelief, and laugh over NBC's great effort, and why they couldn't see anything like this over the Obama period. So many resources, and they simply sit there....with no instruction or desire to demonstrate their capability, unless it fits the agenda.
Friday, 19 July 2019
Wednesday, 17 July 2019
If Everyone Just Went Back 'Home'
It brought up my interest when the chatter came up, and President Trump finally said something to the effect....if you aren't happy here, maybe you ought to go back home.
Some folks are hinged on the term racism, but I'm trying to figure out where this angle fits.
If he did mean it in a racist-way, where exactly would I go?
You see, I have roots that kinda lead back to Kirby Bedon, UK (maybe from 400 years ago). Prior to that 'adventure'....then my folks were living for around 400 years in the Chester area of England (way over on the western side of the country).
Prior to Chester, we were Norman-folks and got all involved in some invasion angle by our Norman king, and we were connected to the northern coast of France.
But to be honest, we'd only been in Normandy for about two generations, and before that we were Danish folks. And if you go six to eight generations prior to that, we seem to have some time in the Latvia and Lithuania area.
So if I did get hyped up like the CNN guy suggests I should be.....where exactly was Trump referring me back to? Kirby Bedon? Chester? Normandy? Denmark? Latvia?
And with that .7-percent Congo DNA....could I establish some connection to head on back to the homeland of Congo?
But onto the bigger question....if I was referred to this suggestion of Trump....why am I unhappy? Shouldn't that be the bigger question with the CNN folks? If Trump isn't racist, and these people are actually unhappy....where does that lead them, or me?
Maybe the bigger question of this whole discussion....why are folks so unhappy?
Some folks are hinged on the term racism, but I'm trying to figure out where this angle fits.
If he did mean it in a racist-way, where exactly would I go?
You see, I have roots that kinda lead back to Kirby Bedon, UK (maybe from 400 years ago). Prior to that 'adventure'....then my folks were living for around 400 years in the Chester area of England (way over on the western side of the country).
Prior to Chester, we were Norman-folks and got all involved in some invasion angle by our Norman king, and we were connected to the northern coast of France.
But to be honest, we'd only been in Normandy for about two generations, and before that we were Danish folks. And if you go six to eight generations prior to that, we seem to have some time in the Latvia and Lithuania area.
So if I did get hyped up like the CNN guy suggests I should be.....where exactly was Trump referring me back to? Kirby Bedon? Chester? Normandy? Denmark? Latvia?
And with that .7-percent Congo DNA....could I establish some connection to head on back to the homeland of Congo?
But onto the bigger question....if I was referred to this suggestion of Trump....why am I unhappy? Shouldn't that be the bigger question with the CNN folks? If Trump isn't racist, and these people are actually unhappy....where does that lead them, or me?
Maybe the bigger question of this whole discussion....why are folks so unhappy?
Trump and Washington State
How hard would it be for Trump to win the state in 2020?
From 2016 results, Hillary was able to take 1.75-million votes....Trump was limited to 1.22-million votes. The Libertarian guy? He took 160,000 (roughly 5-percent of the votes). Normally, you'd go and say it's be awful hard.
So you shift and look at 2020.
Trump would have to and convince half of the Libertarian voters of 2016, to shift over to him (giving him 80,000 of those votes). It's quiet possible.
Then you gaze at the map. Hillary won only urbanized counties....the rest of the state (roughly two-thirds of the counties) went to Trump. In the case of five of the Hillary counties.....it was not a blow-out....it was marginally for her.
Toss in some key advertising....the slant on capitalism versus socialism.....Democrats who left their party in the past two years, I think you could suggest 250,000 votes flipping from 2016 to 2020....over to Trump. That would bump Trump slightly over the threshold, and show the state as a red-win state.
The last time that happened? 1984, with Reagan.
But there is one key element since 2004....massive registration and voter turn-out. There's like an entire era that closed out in 2000, and voter-surge occurred in 2004, and has repeated in 2008, 2012, and 2016.
So either you go and convince these older Democratic voters to flip their votes, or to stay home (to send a message).
From 2016 results, Hillary was able to take 1.75-million votes....Trump was limited to 1.22-million votes. The Libertarian guy? He took 160,000 (roughly 5-percent of the votes). Normally, you'd go and say it's be awful hard.
So you shift and look at 2020.
Trump would have to and convince half of the Libertarian voters of 2016, to shift over to him (giving him 80,000 of those votes). It's quiet possible.
Then you gaze at the map. Hillary won only urbanized counties....the rest of the state (roughly two-thirds of the counties) went to Trump. In the case of five of the Hillary counties.....it was not a blow-out....it was marginally for her.
Toss in some key advertising....the slant on capitalism versus socialism.....Democrats who left their party in the past two years, I think you could suggest 250,000 votes flipping from 2016 to 2020....over to Trump. That would bump Trump slightly over the threshold, and show the state as a red-win state.
The last time that happened? 1984, with Reagan.
But there is one key element since 2004....massive registration and voter turn-out. There's like an entire era that closed out in 2000, and voter-surge occurred in 2004, and has repeated in 2008, 2012, and 2016.
So either you go and convince these older Democratic voters to flip their votes, or to stay home (to send a message).
Tuesday, 16 July 2019
Alcohol-Free Beer Story
So I tried to make sense out of this two-line story in today's news:
Malaysia (mostly a Muslim country in the Pacific) gave out this warning to Malaysian breweries....NOT to sell/produce alcohol-free beer. Reason? The very hint of this....confuses Muslims about whether they can drink it.
I sat there pondering.
Alcohol-free beer, which I've consumed probably two in my life....has ZERO alcohol content. Yes, it kinda tastes like regular beer, but it's more like a wheat-like taste (maybe like taking wheat bread and throwing it into a blender with a cup of water).
Calorie-wise? Most will fall between 40 and 60 calories per bottle (12 ounce).
Is it totally alcohol-free? People tend to argue about this point. Rather than the standard 3-percent alcohol....a fair number of the alcohol-free beers will have .1 to .3 percent alcohol in them. But lets be honest....a overly ripe banana will have about the same percentage of alcohol (.1 to .3 percent).
So why this warning? I think it's mostly because some government folks like to worry about you and your morals.
Malaysia (mostly a Muslim country in the Pacific) gave out this warning to Malaysian breweries....NOT to sell/produce alcohol-free beer. Reason? The very hint of this....confuses Muslims about whether they can drink it.
I sat there pondering.
Alcohol-free beer, which I've consumed probably two in my life....has ZERO alcohol content. Yes, it kinda tastes like regular beer, but it's more like a wheat-like taste (maybe like taking wheat bread and throwing it into a blender with a cup of water).
Calorie-wise? Most will fall between 40 and 60 calories per bottle (12 ounce).
Is it totally alcohol-free? People tend to argue about this point. Rather than the standard 3-percent alcohol....a fair number of the alcohol-free beers will have .1 to .3 percent alcohol in them. But lets be honest....a overly ripe banana will have about the same percentage of alcohol (.1 to .3 percent).
So why this warning? I think it's mostly because some government folks like to worry about you and your morals.
Monday, 15 July 2019
Trump, in Black and White
There are a hundred things that occurred in 2015 and 2016, which basically set up this landscape in which Hillary went onto lose, and Trump went onto win.
But since that day, the black and white landscape has simply continued on.
The news media (cable news, newspapers, Time, Newsweek), along with social media (Facebook, Twitter, YouTube), and the internet players....replaced Hillary, and become the opponent of Trump. And the public simply agrees with the Trump passion to continue the 2016 campaign, into 2017, 2018, and 2019. In some ways, the campaign cycle never ended.
Then you toss in the small-time players....retirees, farmers, working-class people....who seem to have no problem in writing out a check for $100 to the Trump campaign. That wouldn't have happened in 1984 or even 2000. In fact, some guys probably have no problem in throwing $50 a month toward the Trump campaign.
Maybe it's a theatrical type performance that we simply enjoy watching. Watching some CNN situation develop and AOC goes live to make a 90-second idiot statement about about some topic, and suddenly our smart-phone vibrates and we realize that we just got a Twitter statement by Trump himself....over something that AOC said five minutes ago.....saying how stupid this AOC comment was, and not even giving the news media an hour to talk over her words. So now the CNN guy is having to react to this live situation....MORE to the Trump comeback....than AOC's words of ten minutes ago.
All of this leads back to New York City....where Trump sat and watched the news element at work for over fifty years, and developed a New York style of comeback....which few can master.
The Pee dossier? For most politicians....it would have taken them down (even President Obama). For Trump, he just flipped the whole thing over and asked....is there anything really true here? No. Oh....well....why are we bothering to discuss it then?
This 2020 election? It's actually a 'show' that most of us would really like to watch, and be entertained by. Democracy at work? Hell no.....but we've already moved on and generally disbelieve this whole fake discussion of democracy. We want the Trump Show....in plain black and white.
But since that day, the black and white landscape has simply continued on.
The news media (cable news, newspapers, Time, Newsweek), along with social media (Facebook, Twitter, YouTube), and the internet players....replaced Hillary, and become the opponent of Trump. And the public simply agrees with the Trump passion to continue the 2016 campaign, into 2017, 2018, and 2019. In some ways, the campaign cycle never ended.
Then you toss in the small-time players....retirees, farmers, working-class people....who seem to have no problem in writing out a check for $100 to the Trump campaign. That wouldn't have happened in 1984 or even 2000. In fact, some guys probably have no problem in throwing $50 a month toward the Trump campaign.
Maybe it's a theatrical type performance that we simply enjoy watching. Watching some CNN situation develop and AOC goes live to make a 90-second idiot statement about about some topic, and suddenly our smart-phone vibrates and we realize that we just got a Twitter statement by Trump himself....over something that AOC said five minutes ago.....saying how stupid this AOC comment was, and not even giving the news media an hour to talk over her words. So now the CNN guy is having to react to this live situation....MORE to the Trump comeback....than AOC's words of ten minutes ago.
All of this leads back to New York City....where Trump sat and watched the news element at work for over fifty years, and developed a New York style of comeback....which few can master.
The Pee dossier? For most politicians....it would have taken them down (even President Obama). For Trump, he just flipped the whole thing over and asked....is there anything really true here? No. Oh....well....why are we bothering to discuss it then?
This 2020 election? It's actually a 'show' that most of us would really like to watch, and be entertained by. Democracy at work? Hell no.....but we've already moved on and generally disbelieve this whole fake discussion of democracy. We want the Trump Show....in plain black and white.
The MAGA Story
"We export American exceptionalism, the great America, the land of liberty and justice. If you ask anybody walking on the side of the street somewhere in the middle of the world they will tell you, ‘America the great,' but we don't live those values here. That hypocrisy is one that I am bothered by. I want America the great to be America the great.
-- Ihan Omar
Over the weekend Omar tried to explain her patriotism angle, and centered on the thought that America was previously 'great', and she'd like to return it to the status of 'great'.
Amusingly enough, she's basically uttering the Trump phrase.....Make America Great Again.
How would she achieve this status? Unknown. She left that part out of the discussion.
In professional wrestling, at the key point of really 'BAD' status, the tough evil wrestler will undergo some conversion situation, and suddenly appear in public as the 'GOOD' wrestler. Perhaps in this case, Omar has been given the script, and will suddenly appear as a Trump-supporter, and shock everyone.
Thursday, 11 July 2019
The Mitch Exit in 2021
Later this year, the Kentucky general election will be held, and Matt Bevin (current GOP governor of the state) will likely be re-elected. His term will start in December.
Right now....Bevin is given a six to eight point lead over the Democratic contender.
I anticipate that Mitch will go and run a strong race in the summer of 2020, and likely win his race by a minimum of ten points.
He'll (Mitch) will swear in and quietly go about his work in the spring of 2021, and around October/November...he'll give notice of retirement in January of 2022. The governor of Kentucky will then select himself (being GOP)....and the state law says that only when the next general election comes up, will the position be voted upon. So Bevin would have 3 years before that event occurs....giving himself enough time to build up accomplishments and 'charm'.
The question then comes up.....who replaces Mitch as GOP head in the Senate?
So I'm suggesting three names:
1. Tim Scott (the GOP might think that bringing a soft-spoken black to the job would gain them points). Scott would lack years in the Senate, but bring a different charm to the job.
2. Mike Lee from Utah. He has character to fill the shoes.
3. Rob Portman from Ohio. Generally liked by most all Republican Senators.
The end of Mitch? No.....I suspect that he's got a ton of campaign and PAC money sitting there and intends to be a major part of the 2022 election. There's probably three or four Democratic Senators are anticipating him influencing their race, and putting them in a world of hurt before he empties out his pot of money.
Right now....Bevin is given a six to eight point lead over the Democratic contender.
I anticipate that Mitch will go and run a strong race in the summer of 2020, and likely win his race by a minimum of ten points.
He'll (Mitch) will swear in and quietly go about his work in the spring of 2021, and around October/November...he'll give notice of retirement in January of 2022. The governor of Kentucky will then select himself (being GOP)....and the state law says that only when the next general election comes up, will the position be voted upon. So Bevin would have 3 years before that event occurs....giving himself enough time to build up accomplishments and 'charm'.
The question then comes up.....who replaces Mitch as GOP head in the Senate?
So I'm suggesting three names:
1. Tim Scott (the GOP might think that bringing a soft-spoken black to the job would gain them points). Scott would lack years in the Senate, but bring a different charm to the job.
2. Mike Lee from Utah. He has character to fill the shoes.
3. Rob Portman from Ohio. Generally liked by most all Republican Senators.
The end of Mitch? No.....I suspect that he's got a ton of campaign and PAC money sitting there and intends to be a major part of the 2022 election. There's probably three or four Democratic Senators are anticipating him influencing their race, and putting them in a world of hurt before he empties out his pot of money.
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