Tuesday, 17 August 2021

The Design of a Plan for Biden to Fail Miserably

 When you go back to the July press conference, and President Biden gives his 'zero-speech'....this is a position taken by his own White House advisers.  All the BS in this Q-and-A session....all position points written by his own people.

The attempt to keep the carrot-and-stick approach by Trump?  Gone.  Any real exit plan to anticipate the fall?  Marginally existing.  

When you stand and admire the landscape on this moment in history....it's like some group intentionally wanted Biden to fail in a fairly miserable way.  They gave him this one particular position....giving him the words for the July chat with the news media, and held his hand all the way up until last week when reality finally struck.

If you were a normal guy....you'd fire the advisers (not tomorrow or next week, but today).  You don't see that....so I'd anticipate for the foreseeable future....the same 'design-team' is at work....creating the next blunder for President Biden to walk into and accomplish. 

In simple terms, we all realize now that we are in the Biden-Yugo, and are utterly dependent upon 'luck' to make it onto the next repair station (2024).  

Monday, 16 August 2021

Public Confidence to React to Biden

 As this Afghanistan business unfolds....the question is....if 'fools' are gathered within the CIA, State Department, Pentagon, and White House staff...providing advice to Biden of a crappy nature....is he even smart enough to fire them?

The problem here, night after night for the next ten days...the news media is stuck with one single message....this was all Trump's fault.

By the end of the ten days, the question will arise....over the next two years, how many other events will occur where Trump is gone from DC and the 'Trump-power-complex'....is still running America and triggering magnificent and chaotic events?

Three?  A dozen?  Forty?

By the end of 2021....I don't expect too many Americans to really believe into this media message.  You'd have to paraphrase every single question that Biden gets.....since you aren't responsible for Trump-events, how can you reshape things to occur in a Biden-way?  Or is this the total landscape for the remaining three years?  

In simple terms, if you don't get off the 'blame-Trump-horse' soon....you will wake up to realize the horse has collapsed and actually be lying dead-like on the ground for a whole year.  Riding a dead horse....doesn't get you far.  

FYI....for all that training and equipment that the Pentagon and State Department talked about for almost 20 years....it all collapsed in a matter of hours and days in Afghanistan.  

This Kabul 'Rescue'

 Five observations:

1.  How this chaos unfolded quickly?  Well....throughout 2020, as the Trump administration talked to the Taliban folks....the suggestion was that any attempt to create a wave of warfare as the Americans would exit, would result in a massive amount of bomb-dropping.  

So as the Trump folks exited....there probably was a meeting where the Pentagon folks and the CIA folks met, and openly discussed how this exit would go.  I would imagine that both agreed on the Trump 'carrot-and-stick' routine to be a fundamental part of the strategy.  Then the State department folks (with Biden appointees) stepped in and said that was not the sophisticated way of handling this.  

The carrot-and-stick business?  Dumped.  I would suspect back in June, the Taliban had their strategy laid out and aggressively began their campaign, with nothing to worry about from the Biden folks.

The Pentagon and CIA now?  Probably at the furious level.  But hey....sophistication rules the game.

2.  How f**ked-up will the 'rescue' business go?  It'll be bad enough that most news organizations won't cover it or mention much on the nightly news.

3.  President Biden getting any positive spin out of this?  Zero.  

4.  Resurrection of al-Qaeda?  Somewhere in this chaos...there's this young guy with dreams of terror acts, and within two years....his name will be mentioned weekly as the CIA admits that history repeats itself.  

5.  A movie over this rescue business?  No....no one in Hollywood will touch this topic.  

Saturday, 14 August 2021

Observations

 1.  Cuomo.  I suspect if you went and ask Governor Cuomo about his situation....he'd tell you that he's utterly shocked at events, and that he's just acting the same way as he has for the past thirty years.....never grasping that he's been on the line of bad behavior for the whole three decades.  

2.  Kabul, Afghanistan.  Within ten days, I expect the city to fall.  US evacuation efforts?  By the end....they probably will manage to get 30-odd thousand people out of the capital by cargo planes.  President Biden?  He'll be unable to say much over this, and just avoid any mention.

3.  At some point in the next five years....we will end up finding half of the US states having education standards that mirror Bolivia of the 1960s.  No one will be able to explain the rational sense to this, and the US Army will admit it's hard to recruit when the typical 18-year-old kid can't read beyond the 3rd grade level. When you ask the kid about this issue....he'll ask why reading is such a big deal. 

4.  Maybe I'm wrong, but I'd start to suggest a food crisis starting up in China in the next month....with serious public discontent over how this developed.  Trigger?  Floods, Covid, and shutdown regulations. 

5.    The next official of the Biden administration to likely leave?  Homeland Security chief Mayorkas.  The job is beyond his expertise.  

Friday, 13 August 2021

Observations

 1.  With all the chatter going on about Critical Race Theory (CRT), I'll make the judgement and future prediction that ten-percent of white kids in America (particularly in urban environments) leave the public school, and either do private schooling or home-schooling.  The shock will be that they advance further by age 18, than they would have done via the public school system (suggesting that either the teachers are crapped-out, or the system was designed as a failure).

2.  The average cost of a 12-ounce Coke, bought at a non-cheapo place (like a interstate gas station) in the US....is now around $1.90.  

3.  Senator Rubio pushed up an idea of a zero-interest student loan deal.  You borrow $80,000.....you pay back $80,000.  Using normal conditions/rates, if you borrowed $80,000 and had a 4.6 rate, the twenty year period would involve you paying $510 a month for the period.  Amount?  $122k for the whole 20 years.  

To be honest, if you used his program, the 'kid' could finish up his $80k (if he had a valued degree) in 12 years without much trouble...maybe pushing himself to do it in 8 years.  

Course, I would add one stipulation....if you are getting a worthless degree, the government should limit the loan to just $25,000 max.  Telling the kid in a blunt way....you won't make more than $45k a year over the first dozen years....might be some harsh reality though....for some kids.  

4.  Did Joe Biden actually say the chances of the Taliban recovering and taking back over Afghanistan were unlikely?  Yeah, he did say that.

It would be interesting to ask him who in the CIA or Pentagon suggested that.

5.  Some folks in Baltimore tested some recent high school graduates (from June), and found that a fair number were only capable of handling reading/writing/math....down to the 2nd grade level (being HS graduates).  From the group tested....60 percent were at this level....only 10-percent were at the expected level.

The question I'd ask....why bother even hiring college-degreed teachers?  You could hire out-of-work bartenders or waitresses to do the same work.  

Another question....has anyone bothered to test the teachers in this crap?

6.  Finally. Wuhan is mostly all shutdown this week....the next wave of the virus hit.  I'll predict that as you get to summer of 2022....same shutdown occurs again, and locals start to loose serious confidence in the political system.  

Wednesday, 11 August 2021

My Oregon Story

 So I'll tell this story, and try to keep it simple.

Oregon went and had a legislative process.  A bill was drafted, and passed.  No ceremony was held by the governor, as it was signed.  Entry into the state legislative database?  Well....it only occurred two weeks later.

So what the bill says is that there will be NO process to identify a high school graduate as being able to read, write, or perform math (even adding two and two).

Nothing.

This goes into effect in the next school year, and stands there for five years.  So if you are 13 years old in Oregon today.....you can chill out and not worry about anything.  

I sat and pondered upon this deal.  The question is....why even bother attending school?  I could get a landscaping job and just mow lawns for the next five years, and not worry about attendance or learning anything.

In fact, I kinda wonder why you need college graduates as teachers.  You could just as easily hire transmission mechanics, waitresses, and retired professional baseball players to teach.

Was There Ever a Biden Strategy on the Border and Migrants?

 As each week passes, it becomes painfully obvious that what the Biden team developed was five to ten strategies....'roped-together', and never fitting into anything that President Biden could explain in front of the cameras without tripping over logic or himself.

Six months into this 'game'....the Sunday talk-show moderators can't even find a person from the insider group to really drill down and explain the various strategies at work here.

My general prediction?  As you get to spring/summer of 2022....the obvious failure of this multi-plan situation will be laid out and harm the Democratic message for the mid-term election. 

After November of 2022, I'll predict that President Biden brings a minimum of two new individuals in, and assembles a task force to get one single plan with three simple objectives....that he can explain in two minutes or less. Yes, a coherent plan.

As this period develops....at least half of the old insider crew pack up and leave the White House....frustrated because they can't agree with the simplicity of the new plan, or the end-result.