Wednesday, 16 April 2025

How Things Might Go

 Maryland Democrat Senator Senator Chris Van Hollen.....says that he plans to visit El Salvador to get some deal where MS-13 member Kilmar Abrego Garcia is returned to the US.

How this will go?

Hollen will fly down via American Airlines (they run a flight from Dulles).  He'll assume his staff has someone from the embassy to 'serve' him.  What he'll find is one single driver with a staff car, and nothing arranged for him.

Meeting the President of El Salvador?  There will  be some 15-minute face-to-face....probably at some cafe/coffee shop.

The conversation?  Mostly about how El Salvador got fed up with MS-13 and just plain jailed every single member they could lay their hands upon.

By 7 PM....Hollen will realize this was a total waste of time....calls his office, and rigs up a ticket to fly out of El Salvador by 10 PM.

As Hollen goes the next day to complain about the lack of attention/care by the US Embassy....Trump simply notes....he's not going to run a baby-sitting service, and if you run off outside of the US....you need to make your own arrangements.

A week later....Hollen is briefed by his staff and Maryland law enforcement....almost 1,000 MS-13 members originally existed in the state, and since El Salvador got 'tough'...it's  suspected another 1,000 have moved into the state.  State LE folks are asking for $100-million to expand their operations against the gang.  

Tuesday, 15 April 2025

This El Salvador Story

  For two weeks, I've been observing the daily 'chatter' of El Salvdorian Kilmar Abrego Garcia, who the Supreme Court says 'somehow'....Trump needs to facilitate a way for him to return to the US.

So, after reading up on this....Garcia one of those guys who crossed the border in 2011....at age 16....which he says...was to avoid gang-warfare.

Did he present himself for a Green Card?  NO.

Around 2019...he was detained when standing in a Home Depot parking lot....looking for day-work by state-police (Maryland).  One of the others  in the group...said Garcia was a gang-member at the time....zero-proof.

So here's the thing....without the Green Card (now 8 years in the US)....he was put  on "withholding of removal" status.  This status...allowed him to live and work legally in the U.S. due to threats in El Salvador, but had zero benefit for a path to a green card or permanent residency.

In this status....he was on a wait-and-see deportation list, and his name eventually came up (under Trump).

From 2020 to 2024....should he have done some legal work with Biden's team?  Well....a smart guy would have.

Gang-member status?  To this day....never proven.  

Is he still in El Salvador?  Humble belief?   I believe he's pretty near the Texas border and hoping to cross again.

How many zero-Green Card folks exist in the US like him?  Just a wild guess....five to eight million. 

Monday, 14 April 2025

My View Of This Real-ID Chatter

 From Bush saying 'go'.....it took almost five years for 50 states to build Real-ID/Star-Card from scratch.  

The incredible thing?  Well....most states still geared the  regular old driver's license to continue.....so there was path 'A' for the cheap normal license.....and path 'B' the more expensive Real-ID/Star-Card.  

Why?  Well.....states kept saying the documents to prove who you are.....where you live....was incredibly 'hard'.

To be honest.....over the four times that I've renewed my Alabama license....I went to the cheap normal license.....without the documentation crap.

Now?  I have a passport, military ID, and a German resident card.....which fills the requirement.  I guess in the next year......I will procure the Star-Card.  Why?  Something in my gut says....by November 2026....voting will be nearly impossible without the card.  

The grumbling business?  Well....it's mostly over a trip to the license office....which typically means two to three hours of sitting there. It also means you have at least three soap operas start up....where such-and-such character is half-drugged-up, and trying to explain why he's homeless and needs a ID.  

Sunday, 13 April 2025

Chatter

 This past week, I noticed a comment off social media....where the suggestion was....what would cripple the UK is Trump offering US citizenship to working-class and frustrated British.   

With the Labour gov't accomplishments (or lack of).....there's not much doubt that several million are reaching a breaking point where 'something' has to occur.

Current population? Around 68-million, and you can figure  around 10-percent are non-Brit.  

The disgruntled folks?   I'd  say it's in the 5-to-8 percent range....say 4-to-6 million.  And out of that....half of them probably would be of a mindset to move 'somewhere' beyond the UK.

If two or three million did leave?  Well....it'd set into motion a economical problem.  

How this would likely work?  I suspect the US would open a doorway where 20,000 a month could obtain a entry visa, and some method of citizenship within three years.

Weakening the opposition enough....to keep Labour in power for another election?  Obviously so.....that's the negative of this suggestion.

Saturday, 12 April 2025

Explaining Iran's Economic 'Darkness'

 Back around 2020....I watched an interview of a typical well-to-do  Iranian business guy....who had a couple of shops/stores.

Back around 2000....he and a number of other successful businessmen.....got this idea.  As monthly profits rolled in.....they took Rial...converted it to some other currency, walked it to a middle-guy who'd move the money to Dubai or Qatar, and either buy real estate, or invest in some way.

Putting it into an Iranian bank?  No.

So Iranian banks began to have this mortgage problem....rigging up home loans for young Iranians to buy/build houses.  As each year went....fewer homes were built...because the banks didn't have the money to loan out.  

Eventually, Iranian banks made up a new 'deal'.....you as a young couple come  in and start a house saving account....putting X-amount in yearly, and after seven years....they'd loan out money.  Sounding like a sanctioned pyramid-scheme?  Yeah...it works that way.  

The banks in some 'pit'? Well....yeah....they can explain all of this to the Mullah crowd...but economically speaking...their fundamental understanding probably doesn't pass the 5th-grade level of handling money.  In their mind....the gov't should just print more money....which in some way....that's what the gov't did.

Current exchange rate?  One dollar will buy you 42,000 Rial.  Or in revere.....1,000 Rial will buy you 2.4 US cents.

So a lot of the build-up of Qatar/Dubai....on the 'betting-aspects' of Iranian businessmen?  Yeah.

Fixing this?  I doubt if the leadership of Saudi Arabia, Qatar or Dubai....really desire this.  They've got a great deal going on.


Ten Humble Observations

 1.  I have this gut feeling.....that even in 2040....more than 10-percent of Americans will still be suffering from TDS (Trump Delusionary Syndrome).  At some point, with high blood pressure affecting them over this....doctors will resort to hypnosis.....inventing ways of forgetting Trump.

2.  I suspect....after Covid came and  'went'....that around one-third of Americans now suffer from diminished intelligence (lower IQ, say in the 80 to 90 range).  And 10-percent who were in the 85-IQ range to start with.....probably have slipped to 75.

3.  Just a humble guess....more than 500 people by the end of 2025....will find themselves arrested....charged-up...for damaging Tesla cars.  The majority will find themselves financially distressed....paying for the damage....court costs....and legal fees (figure minimum of $6k).  

4. A Democratic Party platform of waste, fraud and Let-Them-Stay-and-Kill-My-People....probably won't sell to about 75-percent of the public.   If Trump dares to dissolve all income tax for those making $150k or less....you can carve half of the remainder off.  

5. There's a day that passes....off social media or the news media....that I note at least one person that I suspect is under demonic possession. 

6.  The minute some lawyer says 'no-is-beyond-or-above-the-law'.....I have this gut feeling that they are lying.

7.  What the Green Card requires of you as a 'guest'....avoid trouble, drugs, criminal behavior, riots, demonstrations and find a 'safe-path' in life to enjoy.  It's advice that your parents gave you in the 1970s....as you left home (oddly).  

8.  You get the impression...reading newspapers....that there's ten times as  many brothels existing today....than existed in 1985.

9.  At this point.....Trump has probably answered 20 times more press questions than Joe Biden did in 4 years.  

10.  This promise by Trump to dump DST (daylight-savings-time)?  It'll be dragged into court, and some fed-judge will attempt to stop it....saying he has the 'power'.

Five Things I Now Believe

 1.  By the spring of 2026....Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin....sitting in jail over George Floyd....will be released from prison, and the previous court case against him deemed a 100-percent fraud.

2.  By spring of 2026....a quarter of Starbucks current customer traffic will up and walk away as consumers of the brand....over the crappy behavior/antics of the staff/workers.

3.  I'm patiently waiting for explanations to occur....pointing out a single nation that has created higher paying jobs specifically linked to exporting low wage jobs. 

4.  On an average day....if I were spending two hours watching CNN or MSNBC.....totaling up the minutes for the top ten Democratic politicians....virtually all of them are 'goofy', or acting like some TV comedy actor.  Why is that?

5.  San Francisco has erected a naked woman statue (figure about 50 ft tall) to greet tourists.  At current pace....with all the crap going on....fewer than 200 (weekly) will venture downtown to see the remarkable naked woman statue.