I sat for several days trying to understand what economic intercourse meant?
So this is the plain-blunt Alabama explanation for it: economic intercourse is a theory of exchange....where you are going to give up something of value (maybe cash, maybe booze, maybe your dignity, maybe your honor).....to get something that you seem to think is of 'more' value, but not readily proven or factual.
It's like you hook up with a trailer-trash gal, who seems to know a few extra tricks in life, and marry her.....thinking trailer-trash thing won't really bother you in the long run.
Or, it's like you agree to just stay permanently unemployed and getting $1,200 a month from the government to just lounge on the porch of your 'shack' and not feel dishonored over the 'free' money.
The problem is....you never quiet know the value of anything. You assume 'free' stuff is great but never ask questions. You also reach a level of always questioning how this exchange will ever get you ahead in life. On top of that, you generally rely upon some idiot who tells you values and information....who might be lying to you.
The trouble here is that we all do this in our lives, and each time we screw up.....we go back to the bar.....sip heavily upon whiskey and promise that we will never repeat that mistake again. Then the next day, we go and think about more economic intercourse, and try to persuade ourselves that value and self-respect will work out once again.
Friday, 1 May 2020
Thursday, 30 April 2020
The Problem With NY Cancelling the 'Primary'
Here's the thing....the normal primary would have occurred on 23 June. So what the state has said....there is NOT to be a presidential primary vote. There will just be a mail-in/absentee ballot for all other offices.
The fact that you could have included both the Republican and Democratic Presidential vote in this primary? That seems lost at this point.
If you were in the state and had paid attention to all of those debates in 2019....you'd be shaking your head because that attention given....means nothing at this point, it's Joe Biden or nothing.
Future debates? I would suggest that you flip the TV off and just read a book.
If anything, this proves the necessity of having all 50-state primary votes in a two-week period of May. Literally thousands of man-hours spent on the preparation for the debates in 2019, and various 'expert' chatter on the networks.....which really mean nothing at this point.
The fact that you could have included both the Republican and Democratic Presidential vote in this primary? That seems lost at this point.
If you were in the state and had paid attention to all of those debates in 2019....you'd be shaking your head because that attention given....means nothing at this point, it's Joe Biden or nothing.
Future debates? I would suggest that you flip the TV off and just read a book.
If anything, this proves the necessity of having all 50-state primary votes in a two-week period of May. Literally thousands of man-hours spent on the preparation for the debates in 2019, and various 'expert' chatter on the networks.....which really mean nothing at this point.
Gullibility
I sat through a YouTube video this past week, and the topic of gullibility came up. Someone wanted to suggest that it's reached a stage where people are seriously affected by gullibility, and that you need to reach out to people.....to bring them back to a state of reality (or really a new fresh stage of gullibility).
That's the chief problem with this discussion.....are you gullible right now, or would you allow yourself to believe you are gullible then flip into a serious state of new gullibility?
Can we even rate your gullibility situation (one to ten)?
Do more gullible folks come from California than Alabama?
Could you spend eight years at some college....getting a PhD, and emerge as a highly gullible smart guy?
Could you be a US Senator and a top-notch gullible idiot?
Are both political parties taking advantage of your gullibility?
Are TV networks consumed with influencing your gullibility?
We live in an unusual age where people are counting you on your gullibility and their whole lifestyle and success are set to your gullibility.
My advice....ask more questions. If it sounds pretty stupid or fake, then it probably is stupid or fake.
That's the chief problem with this discussion.....are you gullible right now, or would you allow yourself to believe you are gullible then flip into a serious state of new gullibility?
Can we even rate your gullibility situation (one to ten)?
Do more gullible folks come from California than Alabama?
Could you spend eight years at some college....getting a PhD, and emerge as a highly gullible smart guy?
Could you be a US Senator and a top-notch gullible idiot?
Are both political parties taking advantage of your gullibility?
Are TV networks consumed with influencing your gullibility?
We live in an unusual age where people are counting you on your gullibility and their whole lifestyle and success are set to your gullibility.
My advice....ask more questions. If it sounds pretty stupid or fake, then it probably is stupid or fake.
186 Days And Counting
We have 186 days until the 3 November election date. The ten things I might go and 'predict':
1. There's ten states which I see in dire circumstances by 3 November (all 'blue' states). The tax revenue bucket will be screwed up, and funds to pay state employees by that point will non-existent. Essential things like police and safety folks will be paid.....but I might take a guess that funding for state colleges in these states will be cut in a drastic way. Tuition, probably will go up in some NY state public colleges by 25-percent.
2. Joe Biden will be replaced....probably around the convention or shortly after that. Stacey Abrams is the likely 'filler'. A lot of the people who did the debates and paid millions for the primary run will be furious how this was arranged.
3. Goggle, Facebook and Twitter will likely lay off one-third of their employees because general downward trends on advertising. A lot of their 'dedicated' people will be hostile about being dumped, and expose a lot of their inside problems.
4. Start expecting gas stations to curtail hours, and it'll run this way in states limiting their economies. Don't be shocked if your local station which was open from 5 AM to 9 PM....flips to a 6 AM to 6 PM deal. Same with donut shops lessening their hours.
5. A small 'collapse' of the housing market will start up by mid-summer, and another bubble will likely occur.....but again in the same states or markets that existed in the problem period of 2008.
6. A number of lawsuits will start up against deaths in retirement homes, triggering operators to start shut-downs. Don't be shocked if 10 to 20 percent of homes are curtailed or shut-down by the last quarter of 2020.
7. NFL in 2020? At best, they will run 'ghost' games, with no fans allowed in the stadiums. Even baseball action is hard to figure at this point. For the minor leagues....it's dismal for 2020.
8. This absentee ballot/mail ballot chatter? You will see it pushed a good bit, but the majority of states won't buy into this. They will instead offer early voting.
9. At least 70 Democrats in the House are looking at the end of their period in Washington, and will be replaced.
10. Finally, some Democrats will breath a sigh of relief once Trump wins.....there's only four years left of his period.
1. There's ten states which I see in dire circumstances by 3 November (all 'blue' states). The tax revenue bucket will be screwed up, and funds to pay state employees by that point will non-existent. Essential things like police and safety folks will be paid.....but I might take a guess that funding for state colleges in these states will be cut in a drastic way. Tuition, probably will go up in some NY state public colleges by 25-percent.
2. Joe Biden will be replaced....probably around the convention or shortly after that. Stacey Abrams is the likely 'filler'. A lot of the people who did the debates and paid millions for the primary run will be furious how this was arranged.
3. Goggle, Facebook and Twitter will likely lay off one-third of their employees because general downward trends on advertising. A lot of their 'dedicated' people will be hostile about being dumped, and expose a lot of their inside problems.
4. Start expecting gas stations to curtail hours, and it'll run this way in states limiting their economies. Don't be shocked if your local station which was open from 5 AM to 9 PM....flips to a 6 AM to 6 PM deal. Same with donut shops lessening their hours.
5. A small 'collapse' of the housing market will start up by mid-summer, and another bubble will likely occur.....but again in the same states or markets that existed in the problem period of 2008.
6. A number of lawsuits will start up against deaths in retirement homes, triggering operators to start shut-downs. Don't be shocked if 10 to 20 percent of homes are curtailed or shut-down by the last quarter of 2020.
7. NFL in 2020? At best, they will run 'ghost' games, with no fans allowed in the stadiums. Even baseball action is hard to figure at this point. For the minor leagues....it's dismal for 2020.
8. This absentee ballot/mail ballot chatter? You will see it pushed a good bit, but the majority of states won't buy into this. They will instead offer early voting.
9. At least 70 Democrats in the House are looking at the end of their period in Washington, and will be replaced.
10. Finally, some Democrats will breath a sigh of relief once Trump wins.....there's only four years left of his period.
The 70/30 Situation
According to a study done.....roughly 70-percent of Democrats say that they can't date, hang-out, or marry-up with a GOP guy/gal. That puts 30-percent in the other bucket....they could go and have some kinda relationship with the GOP guy/gal.
There was a study done back in 2016, talking over this issue.
In that situation, they asked both groups about marriages.
Republican guys? In thirty-percent of cases, they were married to a Republican gal.
Democratic guys? In twenty-five percent of cases, they were married to a Democrat gal.
So if you were looking for a Republican guy married to a Democrat gal....that only occurred in 6-percent of cases.
Looking for a Democratic guy married to a Republic gal.....that only occurred in 3-percent of cases.
I worked with a gal around a decade ago who was approaching 35, and still single. She admitted that finding the right guy was now next to impossible. He had to show zero interest in sports, not smoke, have no bad habits, owe no real debt, and only marginally drink alcohol (wine was it). She also admitted along the way that he had to have marginal interest in politics, like cats, and be handsome. I commented to her....that this filtering system of hers would ensure no guy ever got through.
Looking at this Democrat versus Republican thing....man, this would be tearing some die-hard women apart at age 25.....meeting up with a dynamic 30-year old guy....successful, charming, mildly interested in sports, no debt, able to cook 50 different dishes in the kitchen, likes cats, and even plays the banjo.....only to discover that he's fairly dedicated to Trump.
There was a study done back in 2016, talking over this issue.
In that situation, they asked both groups about marriages.
Republican guys? In thirty-percent of cases, they were married to a Republican gal.
Democratic guys? In twenty-five percent of cases, they were married to a Democrat gal.
So if you were looking for a Republican guy married to a Democrat gal....that only occurred in 6-percent of cases.
Looking for a Democratic guy married to a Republic gal.....that only occurred in 3-percent of cases.
I worked with a gal around a decade ago who was approaching 35, and still single. She admitted that finding the right guy was now next to impossible. He had to show zero interest in sports, not smoke, have no bad habits, owe no real debt, and only marginally drink alcohol (wine was it). She also admitted along the way that he had to have marginal interest in politics, like cats, and be handsome. I commented to her....that this filtering system of hers would ensure no guy ever got through.
Looking at this Democrat versus Republican thing....man, this would be tearing some die-hard women apart at age 25.....meeting up with a dynamic 30-year old guy....successful, charming, mildly interested in sports, no debt, able to cook 50 different dishes in the kitchen, likes cats, and even plays the banjo.....only to discover that he's fairly dedicated to Trump.
Sunday, 26 April 2020
Simply Observations
1. What's with North Korea's Kim?
Well....there's a pretty reliable Chinese news journalist who has said in the past 48 hours.....Kim had a heart problem (maybe an attack). Some doctor got dragged into the situation for a stint, and something went wrong. Kim is hooked up and clinically....not dead, but real 'ify' if he comes out of this.
The problem? No one in the family or government wants say anything much, or even suggest to pull plug. They don't want to be accused by the people in power of terminating Kim.
So you can imagine at least a thousand North Koreans very aware of the mess, and just sitting there.
How long can you do something like this? No idea. But it makes for an interesting development. Maybe you could go twenty years without fully recovering, or even reaching the state of declaring the guy dead.
2. My mama washed my mouth out with soap. With all the Trump disinfectant chatter, is there a chance I'm gonna die?
If this was Dove or Irish Spring.....it's not that way. If this was your Dad's auto shampoo, you better get on your pony and ride to the emergency room and tell them your Mom is a member of some Trump-cult and you might be bad off.
3. What's the jest of all this journalists hype over Trump's medical advice?
Here's the thing....a whole lot of people in the past thirty years went off to college and more-or-less got 'de-educated'....meaning the professors were dishing out political indoctrination instead of higher education. So they are near to being dumb-as-dirt (a term we use in Alabama).
These people simply watch TV, live in a bubble for a life-style, and anything they hear (like licking doorknobs or eating Tide-pods)....they just do it. So there's a fear that folks might over-react.
So this NPR and CNN anti-Trump hype is good for you.....cause you can't really think straight or reason with facts. Don't worry.
4. Odds that Biden is out because of that Larry King video from the 1990s?
Biden was out anyway.....just a matter of putting public appearances into an acceptable format. This Larry King video simply sped up the process.
The people who look really stupid....are the CNN folks, because it was their video.
5. Have we hit absolute quarantine 'peak'?
Yes. There might be forty-percent of folks with some pep in their system to play this out for another month. But the vast majority of folks are fed up. But politically, it's the biggest chunk of political hype that has come along in forty years.
6. Is it true that there is a beer 'surplus'?
Well....with all those NBA games cancelled, and the MLB season suspended (so far)....there's tons of beer just laying there. The brewery folks kinda need a light at the end of the tunnel, and they have yet to see it.
7. Is there anything we can do about media-bias?
Turn off the TV, and refuse to engage. Set your social media to just stupid cat pictures, and chatter about aliens.
8. Does anyone really care what Megan McCain (daughter of John McCain) thinks about?
She seems to think that she has a following. Even if true....it probably amounts to less than 5,000 women.
Listen....let people have their 'empire' and rest assured....if they didn't have this gimmick going on, they'd be all hyped-up to repaint the garage at least once a month, or trying to lecture people on global warming.
9. If there is no real entertainment cash flow, or musicals open on Broadway, or movies being shown.....won't the Hollywood crowd or New York 'freaks' just go crazy shortly?
They can probably survive six months of quarantine 'play'. But eventually, their agent will call up and say that public attention for their name or status is dwindling. Without movies being made or shown.....and with Broadway shutdown, a whole lot of 'nothing' is occurring.
Course, we may be getting a ton of fake reality TV shows this fall from folks who are desperate for public attention.
10. This story that came out Friday about Trump having a loan that was connected to the Chinese National Bank.....was this totally fake news?
Listen....here are the facts.
There is one single NY City building which is at the heart of this fake news story.....1290 Avenue of the Americas.
The Trump company did own 30-percent of the 'deal' (yes, his company is a minority player in this).
The original loan did go to a GROUP of banks....which there was a Chinese bank involved. But they were just one of the group (USB, Deutsche Bank, etc). So it was not one single bank.
This all occurred around 2012....but then this got bought (the loan deal) by Wells Fargo (yes, those folks). So the Chinese bank deal lasted maybe two or three years at best.
The question you want to ask now.....how did the Politico fake news folks get their story so wrong? Basically, you can discount the whole piece that got published on Friday.....there's one single part of it correct in a minor way (there was a Chinese bank involved with a NY property for a brief period of time). Beyond that....none of the story works.
It's another example of 5th grade kids running a news service and refusing to do real homework.
Well....there's a pretty reliable Chinese news journalist who has said in the past 48 hours.....Kim had a heart problem (maybe an attack). Some doctor got dragged into the situation for a stint, and something went wrong. Kim is hooked up and clinically....not dead, but real 'ify' if he comes out of this.
The problem? No one in the family or government wants say anything much, or even suggest to pull plug. They don't want to be accused by the people in power of terminating Kim.
So you can imagine at least a thousand North Koreans very aware of the mess, and just sitting there.
How long can you do something like this? No idea. But it makes for an interesting development. Maybe you could go twenty years without fully recovering, or even reaching the state of declaring the guy dead.
2. My mama washed my mouth out with soap. With all the Trump disinfectant chatter, is there a chance I'm gonna die?
If this was Dove or Irish Spring.....it's not that way. If this was your Dad's auto shampoo, you better get on your pony and ride to the emergency room and tell them your Mom is a member of some Trump-cult and you might be bad off.
3. What's the jest of all this journalists hype over Trump's medical advice?
Here's the thing....a whole lot of people in the past thirty years went off to college and more-or-less got 'de-educated'....meaning the professors were dishing out political indoctrination instead of higher education. So they are near to being dumb-as-dirt (a term we use in Alabama).
These people simply watch TV, live in a bubble for a life-style, and anything they hear (like licking doorknobs or eating Tide-pods)....they just do it. So there's a fear that folks might over-react.
So this NPR and CNN anti-Trump hype is good for you.....cause you can't really think straight or reason with facts. Don't worry.
4. Odds that Biden is out because of that Larry King video from the 1990s?
Biden was out anyway.....just a matter of putting public appearances into an acceptable format. This Larry King video simply sped up the process.
The people who look really stupid....are the CNN folks, because it was their video.
5. Have we hit absolute quarantine 'peak'?
Yes. There might be forty-percent of folks with some pep in their system to play this out for another month. But the vast majority of folks are fed up. But politically, it's the biggest chunk of political hype that has come along in forty years.
6. Is it true that there is a beer 'surplus'?
Well....with all those NBA games cancelled, and the MLB season suspended (so far)....there's tons of beer just laying there. The brewery folks kinda need a light at the end of the tunnel, and they have yet to see it.
7. Is there anything we can do about media-bias?
Turn off the TV, and refuse to engage. Set your social media to just stupid cat pictures, and chatter about aliens.
8. Does anyone really care what Megan McCain (daughter of John McCain) thinks about?
She seems to think that she has a following. Even if true....it probably amounts to less than 5,000 women.
Listen....let people have their 'empire' and rest assured....if they didn't have this gimmick going on, they'd be all hyped-up to repaint the garage at least once a month, or trying to lecture people on global warming.
9. If there is no real entertainment cash flow, or musicals open on Broadway, or movies being shown.....won't the Hollywood crowd or New York 'freaks' just go crazy shortly?
They can probably survive six months of quarantine 'play'. But eventually, their agent will call up and say that public attention for their name or status is dwindling. Without movies being made or shown.....and with Broadway shutdown, a whole lot of 'nothing' is occurring.
Course, we may be getting a ton of fake reality TV shows this fall from folks who are desperate for public attention.
10. This story that came out Friday about Trump having a loan that was connected to the Chinese National Bank.....was this totally fake news?
Listen....here are the facts.
There is one single NY City building which is at the heart of this fake news story.....1290 Avenue of the Americas.
The Trump company did own 30-percent of the 'deal' (yes, his company is a minority player in this).
The original loan did go to a GROUP of banks....which there was a Chinese bank involved. But they were just one of the group (USB, Deutsche Bank, etc). So it was not one single bank.
This all occurred around 2012....but then this got bought (the loan deal) by Wells Fargo (yes, those folks). So the Chinese bank deal lasted maybe two or three years at best.
The question you want to ask now.....how did the Politico fake news folks get their story so wrong? Basically, you can discount the whole piece that got published on Friday.....there's one single part of it correct in a minor way (there was a Chinese bank involved with a NY property for a brief period of time). Beyond that....none of the story works.
It's another example of 5th grade kids running a news service and refusing to do real homework.
Saturday, 25 April 2020
Getting Lectured.....24 Hours a Day
I spend a fair amount of time each week (since in early retirement) focusing business, politics, chaos, and technology news.
Out of this....probably one-third of what I view or read.....is more of a lecture, than practical reporting. It doesn't matter, if you are talking Brit news, the US scene, or even here in Germany. A lot of individuals are hyped to lecture you.....feeling it's their 'duty' (where they got this idea.....I have no idea).
The problem for these folks is that I dig into the topic area, and usually out with forty-odd facts, and the lecture for me....is basically that of a 5th-grade kid trying to explain to me nuclear physics, but never actually touching on anything related to physics. Their hint.....it's all bad, so I shouldn't ever jump into anything nuclear-related.
Maybe in my thirties and forties.....I might have sat for an hour to listen to the lecture, and try to grasp all of the insider information. To be truthful about me at this point.....I don't have the patience anymore to sit for lectures.
The lectures from the Fridays for the Future 'kid'? Sorry, you need more life experience before you come around and try to lecture me.
The lectures on diesel cars being evil? You were the idiot trying to lecture me forty years ago that we all needed cars which got 50 miles-per-gallon, and basically.....the diesel guys were the only ones who could deliver your expectation.
The lectures on wind-mill generator energy? Once you said they were 'evil' because they killed all these birds.....I kinda started laughing.
The lectures on kids being stupid to borrow $100,000 to get a college education, and then being shocked at age forty that they were still owing massive debt? I saw through all those lectures from day one on.
The lectures on intellectual folks being the only ones who you should allow to run governments? It was a funny argument from day one on.
The lectures simply went on and on.
So my advice.....once you reach my stage, don't waste time....flip the channel over to reruns of Flipper, or watch the 1937 movie 'Lost Horizon', or walk the dog an extra hour today. The lecture simply isn't worth the time or effort.
Out of this....probably one-third of what I view or read.....is more of a lecture, than practical reporting. It doesn't matter, if you are talking Brit news, the US scene, or even here in Germany. A lot of individuals are hyped to lecture you.....feeling it's their 'duty' (where they got this idea.....I have no idea).
The problem for these folks is that I dig into the topic area, and usually out with forty-odd facts, and the lecture for me....is basically that of a 5th-grade kid trying to explain to me nuclear physics, but never actually touching on anything related to physics. Their hint.....it's all bad, so I shouldn't ever jump into anything nuclear-related.
Maybe in my thirties and forties.....I might have sat for an hour to listen to the lecture, and try to grasp all of the insider information. To be truthful about me at this point.....I don't have the patience anymore to sit for lectures.
The lectures from the Fridays for the Future 'kid'? Sorry, you need more life experience before you come around and try to lecture me.
The lectures on diesel cars being evil? You were the idiot trying to lecture me forty years ago that we all needed cars which got 50 miles-per-gallon, and basically.....the diesel guys were the only ones who could deliver your expectation.
The lectures on wind-mill generator energy? Once you said they were 'evil' because they killed all these birds.....I kinda started laughing.
The lectures on kids being stupid to borrow $100,000 to get a college education, and then being shocked at age forty that they were still owing massive debt? I saw through all those lectures from day one on.
The lectures on intellectual folks being the only ones who you should allow to run governments? It was a funny argument from day one on.
The lectures simply went on and on.
So my advice.....once you reach my stage, don't waste time....flip the channel over to reruns of Flipper, or watch the 1937 movie 'Lost Horizon', or walk the dog an extra hour today. The lecture simply isn't worth the time or effort.
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